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Barack Obama Would Lose All 12 Swing States Today, Poll Says
Sunshine State News ^ | 12/13/2011

Posted on 12/13/2011 7:08:23 AM PST by RockinRight

A survey of 12 swing states that Barack Obama carried in 2008 now finds the president losing to both Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich there.

USA Today-Gallup -- polling registered voters in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin -- found Obama trailing Romney 43-48, and Gingrich 45-48.

Because Obama is expected to hold the big states of California, New York and Illinois, he maintains a popular-vote advantage nationwide, where he leads Gingrich 50-44, and edges Romney 47-46.

But the Electoral College math would deliver the White House to Republicans if they can carry the swing states, as the USA Today-Gallup poll shows.

Even more heartening for the GOP is the poll's methodology. Surveys of "registered" tend to artificially inflate Democratic numbers. Scientific samplings of "likely voters" tend to produce more conservative, and accurate, outcomes.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; elections; gingrich; newt; obama; poll; romney; swingstates; teapartyrebellion
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To: RockinRight

81 posted on 12/14/2011 2:42:50 PM PST by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: Georgia Girl 2

I know us conservatives are hungry for a front-runner to appear but, the media and the Dems are hungrier because then they will be more able to focus their attacks. I love it that we have so many candidates in the GOP field and I think America has heard the media pundits call conservatives enough names (think O’Donnell, Palin, Angle, etc) that they are wise to the media’s ways and it has lost it’s effect.

I also think it’s in the conservative’s best interest to keep it looking like a close race to keep the Dems in check. If it looks like a blow out for the GOP, I do believe there is nothing from preventing the Dems from acting on a “scorched earth” policy. I also expect Gloria Allred to come forward with some “client” who has the “dirt” on whomever the GOP nominee is..


82 posted on 12/14/2011 5:56:51 PM PST by austinaero (Obama or America - can't have both)
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To: GonzoGOP
Obama will refuse to leave office and the occupiers will ensure that he is kept there.

I have no such faith in new age hippies to protect the Won.

83 posted on 12/15/2011 3:52:45 AM PST by hattend (If I wanted you dead, you'd be dead. - Cameron Connor)
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To: RockinRight

84 posted on 12/15/2011 8:46:42 AM PST by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: BenKenobi
Why are you counting Ohio going Democrat?

Moreover, it is likely we will win both MI and Penn.

85 posted on 12/17/2011 12:35:46 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. Burke)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Because, that’s the most likely outcome.

This is a shady way to cite citations. Saying that Newt is up in the battleground states, provides us little information.

He could be wayyy up in Florida, and behind in all the others, and that statement would still be true. The most likely arrangement (all else being equal), is to split the EVs. I leave that proof up to the reader. If you have 5 bins and 10 red socks and 10 blue socks, what’s the most likely arrangement for any bin? :)


86 posted on 12/17/2011 9:30:50 AM PST by BenKenobi (Honkeys for Herman! 10 percent is enough for God; 9 percent is enough for government)
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To: kearnyirish2

Yeah, that 1916 election was a real hoot, and it is the right lesson.

Charles Hughes was nominated. Wilson won in a very, very tight election 277-254, over California that Hughes lost by 3,700 votes. Not as close as in 2000, (which was 500 votes), but still very, very close.

If people think that this is going to be an EASY task, Hughes was both Governor of New York AND a supreme court justice, and he still lost.


87 posted on 12/17/2011 9:44:12 AM PST by BenKenobi (Honkeys for Herman! 10 percent is enough for God; 9 percent is enough for government)
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To: BenKenobi
From the report, it appears that Newt is leading in all of the swing states, that fact that the lead varies is irrelevant to the fact that Obama is not going to carry the same States he carried in the last election.

And it is likely he will lose some of his own Blue States as well.

The American People do not want Obama for 4 more years.

88 posted on 12/17/2011 5:02:43 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. Burke)
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To: fortheDeclaration

“Newt is leading in all of the swing states”

When aggregated together, yes. Each individual swing state? No. Depending on how they are aggregated and how they are distributed, it’s possible for him to be up only in Florida, and behind Obama everywhere else.


89 posted on 12/17/2011 8:50:55 PM PST by BenKenobi (Honkeys for Herman! 10 percent is enough for God; 9 percent is enough for government)
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To: BenKenobi
What use is a poll like that?

That doesn't even make any sense.

90 posted on 12/17/2011 9:01:26 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. Burke)
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To: BenKenobi
Where do you read that in the poll?

It states individual States.

91 posted on 12/17/2011 9:03:30 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. Burke)
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To: BenKenobi
1. Florida: Obama beating Romney by 7 and Gingrich by 12: NBC/Marrist 2. Pennsylvania: Obama beating Romney by 4 and Gingrich by 17: Morningcall 3. Ohio: Quinnipiac shows Gingrich and Romney up on Obama by 1 but PPP shows Obama up on them by 9. 4. Colorado: Obama beating Romney by 2 and Gingrich by 8: PPP 5. Iowa: Obama beating Romney by 7 and Gingrich by 10: NBC/Marist

No way Fl. or Ohio go to Obama.

92 posted on 12/17/2011 9:06:36 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. Burke)
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To: fortheDeclaration

People are deluding themselves if they think this is going to be an easy fight. Especially not when we’ve handicapped ourselves.


93 posted on 12/18/2011 12:43:45 AM PST by BenKenobi (Honkeys for Herman! 10 percent is enough for God; 9 percent is enough for government)
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To: fortheDeclaration

You’re asking me? That’s the poll you’re referring to...


94 posted on 12/18/2011 12:44:38 AM PST by BenKenobi (Honkeys for Herman! 10 percent is enough for God; 9 percent is enough for government)
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To: fortheDeclaration

“Where do you read that in the poll?
It states individual States.”

Read it again. It states the battleground states -as a whole-, not separately.


95 posted on 12/18/2011 12:45:52 AM PST by BenKenobi (Honkeys for Herman! 10 percent is enough for God; 9 percent is enough for government)
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