Posted on 11/15/2011 10:33:39 AM PST by presidio9
Yes, Newt Gingrich has spiked in the polls. No, hes not going to be the nominee. Ive been trying to duck this one because it feels like laying out the obvious, but, briefly, three reasons:
1. The baggage hes always had the marital difficulties, the ethics troubles, a whole bunch of deviations from conservative orthodoxy over the years (such as that ad he shot with Nancy Pelosi: Our country must take action to address climate change) just isnt going to go away. Republican voters dont have those things in mind at the moment, but no candidate is more vulnerable to attack ads than the former Speaker.
2. Message discipline, lack thereof. Its impossible to imagine Newt not saying something that hurts him if theres a microphone in front of his face for a three-week stretch, which is what wouldgoing to happen if the press decides he actually has a chance at winning this thing. We have a couple decades of evidence, including earlier this year, showing that hes just not able to do it. For whatever its worth, Id add that as I read the polling over the years, Newts basic act is unlikely to wear well with voters after extended exposure. People just dont like the guy.
3. Both of those might be overcome, but this one wont: its highly unlikely that anyone who worked with Newt Gingrich when he was Speaker would want him anywhere near the White House. As detailed in many places, but perhaps most memorably by David Maraniss and Michael Weisskopf in their
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
No charge!!
Not only Freepers and Tea Partiers get to vote, more's the pity.
As a Christian, I take Newt at his word that he has undergone a religious epiphany. Personally, I have never been that interested in a candidate's personal life. My concern was with the story of the first wife, how the press keeps alluding to it, and how it will inevitably destroy him. I think Newt has been smart to ignore it, and let it build up as much as possible. When he eventually does blow the myth out of the water with facts, I bet no one will care that much that he had an affair with wife number three. My posting interest in FR has always been on the psychology of the electorate.
I will just wait until she appears on FOX tonight, maybe she will share her preference. She has spoken favorably of Newt recently, so we shall see.
Why is he a RINO?? Hes the best candidate.Because he's not South40's pick, that's why.
Once South40 makes a pick, everyone else, including all other posters in FR who dare to disagree with him, are RINOs.
Those are the rules.
Don't like 'em?
Too bad.
Rules is rules, Fawn.
Rules.
Is.
Rules.
Newt is the desperation candidate because he sounds great in the debates.
But you can’t trust him. He is establishment and not trustworthy.
He is all over the place people. He will also lose.
I agree. The choices are going to be Mitt, Herman or Newt. I can live with Newt or Herman although I’m leaning more toward Newt as knowlege of foriegn policy is especially important right now.
CFS.
That’s one way of describing them.
I can think of other ways.
“No it was a lame ass attempt to equate a great man and leader to a little Bonapart.”
Funny how history becomes a “lame ass attempt” at something when you’re as wrong as often as you, isn’t it, Skippy? My point was that many great men make many great mistakes and yet become terrific leaders. You are just a poor sap that can’t see that. I pity your blind partisanship. Wake up, son, there’s a big scary and ugly world full of truth out there...one with which you should acquaint yourself.
The left is rooting for Romney, because Obamacare (one of our most powerful clear-cut campaign issues) gets neutralized if he wins the nomination. After South Carolina, this election will be about Romney Vs. "not Romeny." It is appropriate for us here on this conservative website to vet every alternative, and then to stand behind the strongest "not Romeny," even if we sometimes disagree with him. The alternative is Romney himself. This is how we wound up with McCain three years ago. It is also why (at this point in the election cycle) if people want to come on threads attacking a particular "not Romney" candidate, the responsible approach is "I prefer Mr. X, because..." or "I'm not voting for Newt because he's a RINO. or because of that picture with Pelosi, about which I can't really explain," is not helpful and is in violation of Reagan's 11 Commandment.
I agree with you completely. Either Herman or Newt. Either one would be good, my personal preference would be Newt, but if Herman gets the nomination I’m behind him all the way.
No Romney, and the others aren’t really in the race.
At some point I’d like to see Newt and Herman make a gentleman’s agreement to team up, once it’s clear one is clearly ahead of the other.
Whichever one it is.
At least he's coherent and doesn't speak in vague generalities such as, "I'll check with my advisors."
Those not old enough, or not paying attention in 1994 to have heard of "Contract with America," may want to listen to this:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=_hd23sdf4CE
Furthermore, no one, other than Gingrich has laid out ANY plans on their web sites nor offered anything definitive in their ads. Their tired, old mantra of "Getting America back on track" is pure BS. We heard this crap back in '08 from Obama and Hillary.
So tell me Sam, how’s that Cat herding thingie going for you? I gave up months ago.
About as good as can be expected.
Sadly again, most voters don't begin paying attention to the election until the debates. The debates have become far more important than they should, but there it is.
Newt is the only one in the field who has what it takes to bi*ch slap the Kenyan in the debates. That bodes well for us if he can keep his ego and foot in mouth disease under control.
Newt’s my favorite. He’ll get my vote...
You'll need a fresh supply of these:
Since the biggest fans of the term have always been liberaltarians, if I had to guess, I'd probably go with Ron Paul. But there has to be some John Bircher somewhere who suspects that even Paul's ideas aren't quite goofy enough.
“At least he’s coherent and doesn’t speak in vague generalities such as, ‘I’ll check with my advisors.’”
Or say, “Duh. That’s above my pay grade.” I love that he gives straight answers.
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