Posted on 11/14/2011 10:10:48 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Washington (CNN) – A new national survey of Republicans indicates that it's basically all tied up between Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with Gingrich on the rise and businessman Herman Cain falling due to the sexual harassment allegations he's been facing the past two weeks.
According to a CNN/ORC International Poll released Monday, 24% of Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP say Romney is their most likely choice for their party's presidential nominee with Gingrich at 22%. Romney's two-point advantage is well within the survey's sampling error.
While the level of support has pretty much stayed the same for Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who's making his second bid for the White House, Gingrich has seen his support jump 14 points since October.
The poll also indicates that 14 percent back Cain, down 11 points from last month. Four women have alleged that Cain sexually harassed them during the late 1990s when he headed the National Restaurant Association. Cain denies the allegations.
"Cain is struggling with the charges of sexual harassment, and while most Republicans tend to dismiss those charges, roughly four in 10 Republicans think this is a serious matter and tend to believe the women who made those charges," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said.
The survey indicates that only a bare majority of Republicans tend to believe Cain, and more than a third say he should end his presidential campaign. Among the general public, Cain has a bigger credibility problem - 50% of all Americans say they tend to believe the women and only a third say they believe Cain.
"Not surprisingly, there is a big gender gap on this matter - women say this is a serious matter and believe the women,
(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...
I do believe it. It tracks with my conservations here in Ohio.
Republicans are worried that the Chicago Democrats are holding back the silver bullet October surprise that will prove Cain’s sexual harassment. The idea is that they have no reason to prove the charges right now. Better to save it until October 2012.
That, however, doesn’t bother me. What bothers me is that Cain can become president and go any direction on pro-life based on the various statements he’s made so far. Also, I do NOT want to give the feds a new revenue stream until the old one is constitutionally invalidated.
Looks like Romney has begun his long-deserved fade.
Yea!
No they can’t. He served ten 2-year terms in the House. That’s 20 years.
If I were a Perry supporter, I would take a small bit of solace from the shifting polls.
If Cain is dropping, and Gingrich is rising, it again reflects a move by a really uncommitted electorate who is shopping around for whatever candidate has the best buzz, who they think looks “electable”, or maybe just the “winning” guy.
They aren’t settling down with a candidate, so they keep jumping based on the latest news reports. Bachmann looks good in Iowa, jump to her. Bachmann gets negative press for her advisors and some poor word choices, hey here’s a new guy Perry we can support. Perry sucks at debating, well here’s Herman Cain, and he won a straw poll. Cain looks gaffe-prone, inexperienced, and has a lousy campaign staff? Well everybody says Gingrich is winning all the debates, so let’s support him.
If that is the case, and realise it’s just idle speculation, that means the swarm could just as easily buzz back to Perry if he has a couple of more good debates like the last one, and if he can do a couple more solid policy roll-outs like his first.
On the downside, the swarm has yet to go BACK to any particular candidate. But now that Gingrich is on top, you can expect a lot of negative articles about him, both true and false; it is possible the swarm will move on, and there aren’t many new candidates left for them to jump to. Santorum anyone?
Zulu said primaries, not the general election, he is talking about Republicans voting for which republican nominee they want to run for president.
He quit in 1998, after just being re-elected.
You may not believe, but primary and caucus voters feed on this kind of information. They want to go with the winner, and that’s whoever leads, even if by 1 percent.
The PPP is an actual Democrat run poll. I find PPP to be the worst of all the polling outfits.
And all this time I thought he had the hots for Hitlery...
Newt Gingrich: Hillary Clinton ‘Terrific’ Defense Secretary
http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2010/11/newt-gingrich-hillary-clinton-terrific-defense-secretary/
Newt: Hillary Is the ‘Most Effective’ Candidate
http://archive.redstate.com/stories/elections/2008/newt_hillary_is_the_most_effective_candidate
Newt: Hillary shows courage, integrity
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0108/7851.html
I can’t see supporting someone with such poor judgment.
I know all the arguments against Newt.
I’ve made them myself.
I’ve decided I’m not going to defend Newt on FR. He defends himself quite well and doesn’t need my help.
I’m just going to say that I support him for the nomination despite the arguments against him and that I really, really, really look forward to him SHREDDING Obama in the debates.
The difference with Newt is he may have some boneheaded fuzzy rhetoric, but governs conservatively, whereas most Republicans have conservative rhetoric, but govern like RINOs.
I don’t believe anything published by CNN
This year may be different as independents are more motivated this year since they, along with everyone else, have lost jobs and are concerned about the economy. This will send more of them to vote in the primary.
I don’t believe this poll, but I do think the PPP poll is reasonably likely as Cain has likely fallen a few points, most of which has probably gone to Newt.
FIXED POLL - Democrats know that there’s a herd mentality with voters that was swinging Cain’s way and they mean to stop it by making it look like Gingrich is surging. A Gingrich surge is not real. He just doesn’t have that kind of charismatic leadership accomplish such a feat.
If Cain or Newt or Bachmann is the result that is good news.
If its Romney, then we can look forward to another four years of Obama.
It appears the poll queried “Republicans” but not necessarily ones who vote. Big difference. Just another outcome based poll and just in time for the new RINO push for Gingrich—Romney and Perry having failed to get traction.
CNN also discovered support for Onadacare rising. Pure BS.
This is a “National” Survey; doesn’t mean much at this stage of the game. Cain is still leading in the early Primary/Caucus States. Newt is definitely my second choice.
That government shutdown got us the first balanced budget in a generation.
McCain is not even in the same league as Newt. Newt far outshines McCain on any aspect of conservatism.
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