Posted on 10/18/2011 1:47:02 PM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
Right and I don’t consider Paul a ‘serious’ contender (but certainly serious enough to raise millions and garner overheated support). I think we’ve seen close to the end of both Perry and Bachmann. As far as political damage Perry took a fatal hit. Cain’s challenge is 999. He is in danger of becoming a one-trick pony.
Overlooked yet interesting fact:
Newt Gingrich continues his steady climb, and is about to overtake Mitt Rimney in several states.
Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm...........
If you’re going to keep 5% Perry then you have to keep 7% Paul! lol
I had the same tagline for a long, long time. Changing it to the URL for this thread. Thanks for the post.
That and he can help deflect during the debates. He can keep the pressure on the RINOs and the moderator.
They’ve been saying that for at least 2 weeks now. Maybe longer and his numbers keep rising.
Wouldn't surprise me a dang bit! If he does, there will be a lot of crow served around this site.
Self inflicted at that!
Dang!
You just slapped some folks whom I believe have been duped hard enough to leave a mark.
Good job!
Maybe so. It wouldn’t surprise me if he did, but if Cain picks up 30% of Perry’s support, that’s the end of Willard.
After the debate Somebody talked to Rove. He mentioned that Michigan and Indiana (?) are thinking of splitting their votes. That would help a little. Seems fair since the eastern side of the state is dem and the western side is rep. A few is better than 0.
| Sample | Cain | Romney | Gingrich | Paul | Perry | Bachman | Huntsman | Santorum | Spread | |
| U.S. COMPOSITE | 2606 RV | 30.4 | 24.8 | 9.8 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 1.8 | unknown | Cain +5.6 |
| OH | 500 RV | 34 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Cain +15 |
| HI | 293 RV | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Cain +12 |
| SC | 476 RV | 32 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | NotAsked | Cain +16 |
| FL | 505 RV | 30.2 | 32.6 | 11.7 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 2 | NotAsked | Romney +2.4 |
| IA | 422 RV | 26 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 1 | NotAsked | Cain +8 |
| NH | 409 RV | 24 | 39 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 5 | NotAsked | Romney +15 |
Thank you for voting!
Mitt Romney 38.96% (4,733 votes)
Herman Cain 61.04% (7,414 votes
Nice compilation, but a) IA is a caucus state, so the winner of that will be the best organizer, not necessarily the most popular, so candidates with a passionate following such as Paul or Bachmann could win this even though they are well behind the pack in popular rankings; b) timing matters: if Romney retains his lead in NH and wins that first primary, that will give him momentum that spills over into downstream contests, especially as more minor candidates are forced to drop out due to lack of funds etc.
“They’ve been saying that for at least 2 weeks now. Maybe longer and his numbers keep rising.”
Duly noted, and I think he acquitted himself well last night. But I just feel that at some point, “the facts” have to catch up to him. He keeps saying his plan is not a VAT, yet his own analysis/advisors say it is! It may take some time for this to get sorted out, but once it does, I think a large swath of his supporters is going to think “gosh, maybe this guy doesn’t know what he’s talking about after all.”
Can he pull that off without a ton of money and a big organization?He could garner a ton of money and a strong organization if he would commit to running for President and not Vice President. He is barnstorming Tennessee when the serious candidates are spending time in Iowa, NH, and SC. He pulled in about $3M last quarter. He needs to pull in 20 times that, and he can if he commits to it, this quarter.
Good work. For a limited multi-state composite, I’d suggest adding a column indicating the number of electoral votes, and weighting based on that.
Yes We Cain!
IMHO these faux debates are becoming more and more irrelevant. They are nothing more than sound bite/gotcha events. Many voters understand the importance of this election and are looking for the candidate that has traditional American values and can articuate those values. In addition, we’re looking for the candidate who understands he/she is in a street fight for the soul of our country and is willing to fight accordingly. I think we’re also looking for new people in the arena who are not connected to the political class who participated in the demise of American exceptionalism.
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