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Will Sarah Palin be the October surprise?
Christian Science Monitor ^ | 09/23/11 | Liz Marlantes

Posted on 09/23/2011 7:04:32 AM PDT by winoneforthegipper

It’s been a good few weeks for Sarah Palin.

Now, a new national poll shows her trailing President Obama in a head-to-head matchup by just 5 points, 44 to 49 - this, after she had trailed him by more than 20 points for most of the year. That’s better than current GOP frontrunner Rick Perry, who trails the president 41 to 50 in the same poll.

According to the survey, Palin’s recent jump in support has come mostly from independents, who have lately been abandoning the president in droves. Still, she remains a controversial figure: 72 percent of Republicans and independents in the same survey also said they don’t actually think Palin should run.

And that remains the question: will she or won’t she? Palin recently told Fox News that she thinks there’s “still time” for candidates to get into the race, and that she’s “still considering” it. She repeatedly said she believed it would be an “unconventional” election year.

(Excerpt) Read more at csmonitor.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: memebots; palin; palinpredictions; palinpunditry; runsarahrun; sarahpalin
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To: kevkrom; no-to-illegals
unlikely to see any entry after October 15 or so...

Factor in that Sarah is headed to S. Korea as a speaker from Oct 10-13. She cannot enter, say, Oct 9 and then leave the country the next day - so what's the appropriate amount of time to be stateside after jumping in? Florida and S. Carolina deadlines are 10/31 and 11/1. Seems to me an entry would happen by the end of Sept (in the next week), and not left for return from Korea. Also, part of the timing is to let Perry collapse based on the real-Perry. After last night, we may be seeing the bottoming of Perry's initial surge.

81 posted on 09/23/2011 8:23:17 AM PDT by C210N (0bama, Making the US safe for Global Marxism)
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To: no-to-illegals

Great video. It really captures, in pictures, why people like her.


82 posted on 09/23/2011 8:31:05 AM PDT by LuvFreeRepublic (Support our military or leave. I will help you pack BO!)
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To: winoneforthegipper
eagerly holding breath...........NOT!

This is really getting so 5 minutes ago.

83 posted on 09/23/2011 8:33:34 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: winoneforthegipper
New York is October 15th....

I don't know when NY is exactly, but I know its AFTER 11/1. South Carolina and Florida are around halloween, and I know the two of them are first in filing deadlines.

84 posted on 09/23/2011 8:33:54 AM PDT by C210N (0bama, Making the US safe for Global Marxism)
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To: ConservativeDude

“...there seems to be something in the GOP primary DNA that tilts the table to those who have run before.”

Huh? Did you forget about ‘08?


85 posted on 09/23/2011 8:34:26 AM PDT by ngat
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To: jerseyrocks

“... Palin will win. ZERO chance. She is a package deal. It will not only be her words and behavior monitored, but her family’s as well. There is a current video of Bristol riding a bull and getting into a confrontation with a guy about her mother. The man was off the wall...”

In this day and age, I disagree. I think the media image you describe enhances the package of a family that gets out there and lives life to the fullest, makes some mistakes but picks themselves up and moves on, and keeps on trying.

The days when politicians can sweep things under the rug, and pretend, and worry the moral majority will vote against you because your daughter went to a bar while in college are fading fast.

If you are worried about what the media and the leftists are going to do to you as a candidate, you might as well surrender.


86 posted on 09/23/2011 8:45:36 AM PDT by ngat
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To: ngat

Huh? Did you forget about ‘08?”

Uh, no. I was using 08 as Exhibit “A”.

Did you forget about 2000?


87 posted on 09/23/2011 8:48:54 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: winoneforthegipper

Sarah Palin is a caucus teaser.


88 posted on 09/23/2011 8:51:27 AM PDT by GSWarrior (To activate this tagline please contact the Admin Moderator.)
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To: dps.inspect
the Perry-Romney thing of, “yah, but, in your book, you said...”, is starting to get old.

It's like watching a bunch of 10 year olds fight. I'm waiting for the, "Well my Dad can beat up your Dad" moment.

89 posted on 09/23/2011 8:58:26 AM PDT by uptoolate (For the record: I have complete assurance that nothing can pluck me from His hand)
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To: shadeaud

Palin would be a fool to accept such an offer.


90 posted on 09/23/2011 8:59:30 AM PDT by Gator113 (Palin 2012, period.....)
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To: Linda Frances
Sarah is part Reagan, Cain, Bush & the sane part of Ron Paul

Ha! Very good. I concur wholeheartedly.

91 posted on 09/23/2011 9:10:45 AM PDT by Claud
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To: C210N

IOWA CAUCUS: No deadlines and no paperwork filed, no signatures collected. The Caucus is currently scheduled on February 6th, 2012. So Gov. Palin could declare candidacy on February 5th, 2012 and still be able to participate.

Some of the Filing Deadlines I could find...right now it looks like South Carolina is earliest deadline.

SOUTH CAROLINA: Nov 1, 2011
TEXAS: Dec 12, 2011
ALABAMA: Dec 14th, 2011
NEVADA: Mar 12, 2012

Some require signatures for example
PENNSYLVANIA: Feb 14th, 2012 filing deadline with 2000 signatures required

NEW YORK is currently set for an April 24th primary. I cannot find a filing deadline.


92 posted on 09/23/2011 9:14:29 AM PDT by An American! (Proud To Be An American!)
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To: isthisnickcool
These guys are not fighting the Spanish Armada


93 posted on 09/23/2011 9:18:45 AM PDT by Oztrich Boy (New gets old. Steampunk is always cool)
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To: Linda Frances

Well said.... all of it.


94 posted on 09/23/2011 9:24:22 AM PDT by Gator113 (Palin 2012, period.....)
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To: winoneforthegipper

I wonder about that poll that says she shouldn’t run. I wonder how many of those think she shouldn’t run because they don’t like seeing her and her family go through the MSM dirty tricks. Maybe they would, from their own personal preferences, just rather see her enjoy her newly acquired wealth and enjoy her family and life like they would if they were her.


95 posted on 09/23/2011 9:44:33 AM PDT by CynicalBear
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To: An American!
The most complete URL that I've found with these deadlines is at the following, and it is FAR from complete:

ACTION ITEM: Compile all the ballot deadlines for appearing as a candidate in the 2012 Republican primaries and caucuses

It does not list the date for Florida, which I believe is the earliest: 10/31. But, I've lost the link that corroborates that...

96 posted on 09/23/2011 9:46:43 AM PDT by C210N (0bama, Making the US safe for Global Marxism)
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To: winoneforthegipper

October of what year?


97 posted on 09/23/2011 9:47:44 AM PDT by SoJoCo
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To: An American!
According to this, Florida is 1/3/12.
98 posted on 09/23/2011 9:49:45 AM PDT by C210N (0bama, Making the US safe for Global Marxism)
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To: ngat

Unfortunately media image carries a lot of weight. If you are a liberal your comments might be true, but as a conservative a whole different set of rules. Come on, you have to realize that? The most recent Bristol incident could demonstrate that the Palin family keeps making mistakes and has not learned after 4 years of constant microscopic dissection. If by now they have not learned to ignore and walk away, but to encounter and exacerbate, it maybe be a lost cause. Every where Bristol goes she will now be confronted with some one trying to get a reaction because of this incident. Giving Sarah the nomination is waving the white flag. The media and libbies will have all the ammo they need to beat us. I’d rather take my chances with a Cain, Romney or Perry.


99 posted on 09/23/2011 9:50:13 AM PDT by jerseyrocks
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To: An American!

Thank You for doing the research.


100 posted on 09/23/2011 10:00:52 AM PDT by no-to-illegals (Please God, Protect and Bless Our Men and Women in Uniform with Victory. Amen.)
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