Will Perry Make It?

Dick Morris TV ^ | Sept. 17, 2011 | Dick Morris

[org.whodat]

Simple answer, Obummer will beat, McCain the second, by the same margin.

[Larry Lucido]

Ask me in a year.

[9YearLurker]

No.

[Artemis Webb]

Re #2:

Well at least we’re making headway. At least you now admit that Perry will be the nominee.

[TexasFreeper2009]

lol

Perry leads in nearly every state polls taken to date, Romney has no path to the nomination what so ever, and everyone else is in the low single digits.

[9YearLurker]

Morris is in the tank for the Romney/Bachmann tag team, no doubt.

But of course Romney has a path to the nomination. NH’s pretty much assured for him, he’s got a chance with the Mormon vote in NM to win 2 of the first 4 states, and then he’s in pretty good shape in FL.

Polls 5 months ahead of the first vote don’t really count for much.

[TexasFreeper2009]

Only some of the states having polling as of this moment, but as of right now Perry is winning:

florida
iowa
georgia
nevada
south carolina
oklahoma
alabama
louisiana
wisconsin
north carolina
ohio
west virginia
kentucky

and Romney is winning:
new hampshire
michigan
connecticut

Toss Up
california - one poll has Romney slightly ahead (but within the margin of error) and a 2nd poll has them tied there.

And you can probably put Texas in Perry's corner and Massachusetts in Romney's even though neither have been polled.

So how is Romney going to win? where is his path to the nomination with almost every state with an early primary is polling for Perry, as Perry starts racking up wins, the momentum and money will shift further and further towards him.

[org.whodat]

Now you are projecting. The question is a what if.

[treetopsandroofs]

Can someone please summarize what are Perry’s biggest failings according to the architect of the Great Clinton’s “Comeback Kid”?

[onedoug]

Nope. Palin will take it.

[dusttoyou]

You still blindly follow the lil Martian tootin his Pan pipe playing ya the libertarian lullaby?

[Grunthor]

“Nope. Palin will take it.”

I bet she won’t.

[TexasFreeper2009]

New Mexico is one of the last primaries along with California on June 5th. And their haven’t been any state polls of it anyway to know which way it’s leaning. And Perry is ahead by 9 in Florida.

But I have a hard time imagining anyone in New Mexico finding a yankee from Mass. compelling.

[DaxtonBrown]

[At least you now admit that Perry will be the nominee.]

That may be, but if he is forced down our throats by insiders a lot of us will stay home. Perry’s biggest problem is he looks a lot like Bush 3.0

[9YearLurker]

Have you ever looked at where primary polls were five months before the first vote in previous elections? Even just back to 2008 is a good example.

[P-Marlowe]

Perry’s biggest problem is he looks a lot like Bush 3.0

And you would prefer Obama 2.0?

[Oshkalaboomboom]

Perry sucks. Romney sucks worse. The fact that these 2 are the frontrunners shows me that Conservatives are the Blacks of the GOP. We complain then get right back on the plantation come election time and vote for whoever the Masters decide should be our nominee. The did it with Dole, they did it with McCain and now we’re getting it again.

[TexasFreeper2009]

2008 is a horrible example, because all the choices bit, and no serious contender from the South.

This would be far more comparible to the 2000 primary with Bush and McCain.

[org.whodat]

Call juan mccain up at the white house and ask him if the illegals position did not cook his goose, not to mention the few hundred million Obummer will spend telling the old people they are going to eat dog food and die in the streets after Perry kills socials security.