Posted on 08/25/2011 12:43:08 PM PDT by Sarabaracuda
President Obama continues to lead all named Republicans in early polling on the 2012 race for the White House, but the numbers suggest a competitive race may be possible.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows the President earning 43% of the vote if Texas Governor Rick Perry is the GOP nominee. Perry attracts support from 40%. Ten percent (10%) say they’d prefer some other candidate while seven percent (7%) are not sure.
If Congresswoman Michele Bachmann is the GOP candidate, the president leads 43% to 39%. In that match-up, 12% would prefer some other candidate and seven percent (7%) are not sure.
With former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney as his opponent, the president leads 46% to 38%. In an Obama-Romney contest, eight percent (8%) would look for a third party option while nine percent (9%) are not sure. (To see question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The match-up surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters were conducted August 17-22, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error for the surveys is +/- 3% with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Perry leads the race for the GOP nomination by double digits. However, it’s worth noting that the 2008 nominee, John McCain, never led in national polling until the end of December in 2007. The frontrunner for the nomination often polls better than other candidates in match-ups against an incumbent president.
Data released earlier shows the President leading Congressman Ron Paul by a single point and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin by double digits.
The previous round of match-ups showed the president leading Perry by five and Bachmann by seven. At that time, Romney held a one-point lead over Obama.
Perry leads Obama by 69 percentage points among Republicans. Bachmann leads by 61 among GOP voters and Romney by 59. The president leads all three among unaffiliated voters. However, the president’s support among unaffiliateds ranges from 41% to 44% and a quarter of unaffiliateds remain either undecided or interested in a third party option.
A Generic Republican leads the president by five percentage points. One of the best measures of a president’s prospects for re-election is his Job Approval rating. Recently, the president’s approval has held steady in the low-to-mid 40s, a sign of potential vulnerability. However, it is very early in the election cycle and there is plenty of time for the president’s numbers to improve (or possibly to decline). In either case, as election day approaches, the president’s share of the vote is likely to be very close to his Job Approval rating.
Match-ups for each candidate were conducted on separate nights as part of the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
I am thrilled that Perry is losing too. I can’t wait for Sarah to announce. People will be saying, “Perry who?”
“Data released earlier shows the President leading Congressman Ron Paul by a single point and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin by double digits.”
Yikes.
Romney acts like he’s entitled to the nomination. Like Bob Dole in 1996, he figured that the Republican Party would practically beg him to be their candidate. He misjudged. This is an anti-establishment type of election year, and no one on the Republican side screams establishment tool more than Mitt Romney.
43% is crazy! Who in the hell? but wait, I was watching Meghan Kelly on her daily show with 10 guests all different political ideals well she asked a show of hands on how many will vote for Obama.... 6 of 10 raised their hand. STUNNING and scary
I think the GOP establishment has made Romney to believe that nonsense.
Despite Carter’s unpopularity, Reagan was down big in the polls right up until election day.
The only poll that matters is the one taken on the first Tuesday in November.
OH...what kind of audience are you going to have in NYC...that’s expected.
I think it’s almost impossible for Mitt Romney to win the nomination, but he has the money to stay in the race for quite some time. This particular Ras poll IS devastating, for Obama - these numbers indicate that Obama is the unelectable one this time.
The fact that Obama is only polling at 43% has to be very, very frightening to his handlers. I am sure the media will make statements like “Obama leads Perry and Romney...”etc...but for ANY incumbent to only poll 43% — this has to be very frightening to Obama’s campaign.
How badly does Obama need to screw this country up to be behind in the polls? Who are these zombies still supporting him?
great then Obama will be up by 20
Rasmussen had Palin losing 33% to 50% against Obama on Aug 22. The GOP can nominate Palin, but it can't make the American electorate vote for her.
You mean, Sarah Palin? The one losing the worst of all, 50/33? That Sarah?
Did any of them say WHY they would vote for Obama? I just don’t get it.
The fact that 4 media types said they would not is encouraging. The other 6 are lying to save face.
November 2012.
Many FReepers stated they ‘are thrilled that B.Obama beat Perry. Even though they would have supported Sarah Palin had she decided to run’.
Well isn’t that special.
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Maybe you missed this part;
"Data released earlier shows the President leading Congressman Ron Paul by a single point and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin by double digits."
Free stuff?
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