Posted on 06/11/2011 12:05:03 PM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
MAY 18, 2011 - Being a Southerner conveys certain advantages upon a Republican presidential candidate.
Since 1980, a Southerner has finished first or second in every Iowa Republican presidential caucus.
[snip]
The White House has been occupied by a Southerner — counting the Massachusetts-born and decidedly patrician George H.W. Bush, who resided in Texas at the time he ran for office — in 30 of the past 46 years. I’m not sure this is entirely a coincidence....
[snip]
If a candidate dominates the South — and it’s much easier for a Southern candidate to do that — he’ll have made a lot of headway into winning the votes and delegates that he’ll need to secure his party’s nomination.... a candidate like Mr. Perry, who would have advantages like fundraising and establishment support that would extend to all corners of the country, ...doing very well in the South and still well enough outside of it to win his party’s nomination.
For a Republican candidate, in fact, this advantage may be especially powerful because of a demographic quirk related to Iowa, the first and most important state in the nominating process. Some 60 percent of Iowa Republican voters are born-again Christians — about the same fraction as in many Southern states....
......He’d stand a good chance at doing well in Iowa, and if he did, he’d probably follow it up with a win in South Carolina, and possibly also Florida. And then he’d pick up plenty of delegates in the Southern states that voted on Super Tuesday and beyond — including of course Texas, which itself accounts for 140 delegates.
So don’t sell the Southern Republicans short yet — the advantages the primary system offers to candidates like Mr. Perry could be more than enough to make up for a late start.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...
If Mr. Silver can't get these fundamentals right, I doubt if he can get much of anything right. I demand that Nate Silver release his school transcripts from elementary through high school to prove he really took (and passed) some US history, geography and state history classes. Or maybe his formative education was limited to NYT crap.
As an Okie, I find Mr. Silver's premise flawed from the start and insulting.
Nobody has to simply “ claim “ anything”.
The TTC land grab plan for foreign crony owned gas stations and industrial parks along the proposed route meets the definition.of socialism.
There is no requirement for other posters to teach you English. It is not surprising you don’t know English well, since you are stumping for one of the La Raza water carriers on a rightwing site.
Good point.
“Perry lurks to the rino side until election time , then he talks all tough and conservative. He’s a finger in the wind politician who can’t be trusted.”
Isn’t it something how the lame stream media keep pushing these RINOs?
I agree with what you said. Rick Perry is like a snake in the grass. I don’t trust him. He’s another bush type. He talked a big game, then got in and threw us conservatives a few bones. Then was cozy buddy buddy with the liberals passing liberal laws and giving us junk like the patriot act, etc. No more RINOs! People, don’t fall for the deceit.
Yes, BUT, their brutality is always reserved for other Republicans, never the Democrat majority they seek to court and fail to convince.
It seems certain to me that our little Republican primary voters are incapable of separating the wheat from the chaff or the real thing from the RINO. We will lose again out of the ignorance of our own primary voters.
You need to quit listening to bovine secretions and do some research...Perry is only a RINO to a vocal minority who would call anyone a RINO except Adolph Hitler!
You are right. TEXAS created those jobs, not Perry. Please, for the love of God, do not make Perry into some sort of superman. For those of us that have lived here and followed his career from democrat legislator forward, we all know what he is. He has NEVER been a principled Conservative LEADER. He is the Texas version of a RINO - definitely more to the right than a Romney or Pawlenty. He is a political opportunist of the first order. If there had been a competent Conservative to run against him, you would have never heard of him.
Is he better than Pawlenty, Romney and all the rest of the crumbs the GOP establishment is tossing our way, yes! But there is no passion, even in Texas, for Perry except within the Anybody But Palin Cult. Before the GOP insiders started whispering sweet nothings in his ear, was there anyone in Texas creating web sites begging him to run? Has there been any grassroots effort on behalf of Perry in Texas or elsewhere? No! That SHOULD tell you something.
Besides, shouldn't he take two years off to "bone up" on policy? Or is that required only of female candidates.
You in addition to being a pain in the azz are a sick puppy who has RINOitis.....get over it You single issue trans corrider and guardasil folks are getting to be nothing but annoying..with your “one trick pony” message about Rick Perry. Maybe if one of the females in your family had cervical cancer would bring you to your senses about guardasil...nah..not you....it takes a brain to sort things out and from the posts I see from you...nah....asking entirely too much...because you are all talk....as my Grandpa used to say “If bullshiite was music you would be a one man brass band”....now reply with some more insane asinine blather....
Hey, I wonder who the media and establishment will throw out there...next week...to be the new “flavor of the week”.
I am ont looking for “superman”, just a reasonable conservative to beat Obama.
Lady, you speak with much wisdom. Rick Perry is exactly what America needs. Sarah Palin is exactly what America needs and I think that Allen West and Herman Cain is exactly what America needs.. The rest are just eastern yankee favorite “jackwads”
Go sit in the corner...you are either drunk or win the dumbass of the year award.....
Frank...the intellectual giant you are try this on for size as a reply...One is a verb...the other a pronoun!
Meanwhile,Texas is about the best off economically state in the nation by several measures.
The corridor is a good thing, good for the country and very good for business. I have no opinion on the guardasil thing but It seems to be like DPT, Polio and other such.
I hear he was a Democrat. I would guess he was a conservative, give m hell Zell type
I still favor Sarah with Cain a very very close second but
How is it that someone from Colorado, being the socialist leaning state that it is...finds time to be so critical of a Texas Governor.. Seems to me you need to worry about the dumbcrats that you elect....and not worry about RINO’s that you falsely label here in Texas. You do in fact win the dumbass of the year award for getting into an argument that you are ill prepared to debate with any intellectual power..
The team the Pubs finally pick will surely have one southerner on it , top or bottom. The Pubs need to get back all 11 states of the South. I can see Perry on the ticket , top or bottom. He is a Center Right guy who will surely have borders, jobs, oil drilling in his platform as well as abolishing regs for farmers via the EPA. We shall see.
OK, maybe you’re not smoking anything, just drinking the kool-aide. Get serious, Romneybot.
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