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How big will the Republican presidential field be (and does it matter)?
Wash Post ^ | 2/2/11 | Chris Cilliza

Posted on 02/02/2011 7:21:05 PM PST by pissant

Jon Huntsman's planned resignation as ambassador to China this spring seems to be a clear indication that former Utah governor is planning on running for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012.

He'll be far from alone.

There are currently 18 Republicans mentioned as 2012 candidates and the vast majority of that group is doing the sorts of things -- visiting Iowa and New Hampshire, writing books etc. -- that people who want to run for president do.

Assuming even two-thirds of that group runs, it will match the largest field in presidential history and create a decidedly chaotic primary season. But will it help or hinder Republican chances of winning the White House?

Let's take a look back at history first. (The Fix should have been a history major in college.)

Since the 1968 election, the largest number of candidates to run for a party's nomination is 12, which has happened four times: 1972 (Democrats), 1976 (Democrats), 2000 (Republicans) and 2008 (Republicans). (The last presidential election holds the distinction as the largest combined field with 20 total candidates seeking their respective parties' nominations.)

The reasons for these large fields are relatively obvious: no incumbent president or even an heir apparent to hold down the number of ambitious pols willing to jump into the race. In other words: opportunity.

(Excerpt) Read more at voices.washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: potus2012
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Out of the 18, we'll be lucky to get 2 or 3 conservatives.
1 posted on 02/02/2011 7:21:10 PM PST by pissant
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To: pissant

From what I’ve observed in the state run “media” over the past couple of weeks, it appears that the DemocRATS have already selected Mitt Romney for us.


2 posted on 02/02/2011 7:23:15 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (ObamaCare funds 16,000 new tax collectors but no new doctors. Now that's what I call "green" jobs.)
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To: pissant

Yes the size of the field matters. If there are multiple conservatives going into the primaries, we’ll have to choose in November between a socialist and a Marxist.


3 posted on 02/02/2011 7:26:07 PM PST by freedomfiter2 (Brutal acts of commission and yawning acts of omission both strengthen the hand of the devil.)
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To: pissant
Sarah.

Period.

4 posted on 02/02/2011 7:26:58 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("If they bring a knife to the fight, we bring a gun." -- Barry Soetoro, June 11, 2008)
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To: pissant

DeMint


5 posted on 02/02/2011 7:27:47 PM PST by freedumb2003 (The TOTUS-reader is a Judas Goat, leading the American sheeple to the slaugherhouse /Parmy)
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To: pissant; onyx; 2ndDivisionVet
How big will the Republican presidential field be?

About 5' 4" and turning 47 this month.

6 posted on 02/02/2011 7:28:00 PM PST by DTogo (High time to bring back the Sons of Liberty !!)
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To: freedomfiter2

Exactly, so far none of the R names being mentioned does a thing for me, they are mostly bland bland men who have the vigor of a corpse.

Debates will be like Accounting Practice Meetings..


7 posted on 02/02/2011 7:31:26 PM PST by padre35 (You shall not ignore the laws of God, the Market, the Jungle, and Reciprocity Rm10.10)
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To: pissant
Out of the 18, we'll be lucky to get 2 or 3 conservatives.

Good. Let the other 15 split the vote.

8 posted on 02/02/2011 7:33:38 PM PST by Tanniker Smith (I didn't know she was a liberal when I married her.)
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To: padre35
Debates will be like Accounting Practice Meetings..

I think you'll change your mind if we see Palin, Cain, Bachmann and DeMint on the same stage.

9 posted on 02/02/2011 7:35:21 PM PST by buccaneer81 (ECOMCON)
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To: buccaneer81

I hope that does NOT happen! I don’t want to see the, fighting one another!
THAT will not help Conservatism at all.


10 posted on 02/02/2011 7:39:12 PM PST by acapesket
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To: DTogo

I was thinking 5’2” and 54


11 posted on 02/02/2011 7:41:12 PM PST by pissant ((Bachmann 2012 - Freepmail to get on/off PING list))
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To: pissant

Mix-n-match, a winning ticket!


12 posted on 02/02/2011 7:42:58 PM PST by DTogo (High time to bring back the Sons of Liberty !!)
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To: acapesket
I hope that does NOT happen! I don’t want to see the, fighting one another! THAT will not help Conservatism at all.

I agree, and I truly don't see it happening in reality. Sarah is the only one of those four who has any staying power.

What we will probably see is Palin, Romney, Pawlenty, maybe Pence and an outside shot of a current governor (Christie, Kasich, Perry; take your pick.)

13 posted on 02/02/2011 7:48:43 PM PST by buccaneer81 (ECOMCON)
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To: pissant

The more the merrier. While, with a large number, some of the best will be knocked off early, it will generate more interest. DumBO will not have a good target and will spend much at poor prospects.


14 posted on 02/02/2011 7:49:01 PM PST by depressed in 06 (The only thing the ZerO administration is competent at is bad ideas.)
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To: pissant
1972 (Democrats), 1976 (Democrats), 2000 (Republicans) and 2008 (Republicans)

Large fields must equal weak nominees. McGovern, Carter, George W. Bush, McCain.

Doesn't bode well for 2012.

15 posted on 02/02/2011 7:50:05 PM PST by PAR35
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To: pissant

I can support Huntsman, as well as Cain. My favorites are in my tagline. I also have a nightmare list on my homepage.


16 posted on 02/02/2011 7:50:26 PM PST by matthew fuller (My list: Bachman, Barbour, Bolton, Cain, Liz Cheney, Daniels, DeMint, Inhofe, Palin, and Pawlenty .)
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To: pissant

Under no circumstance should the slime stream media be allowed to pick our candidate like last time.


17 posted on 02/02/2011 7:50:52 PM PST by depressed in 06 (The only thing the ZerO administration is competent at is bad ideas.)
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To: PAR35

Yikes


18 posted on 02/02/2011 7:51:08 PM PST by pissant ((Bachmann 2012 - Freepmail to get on/off PING list))
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To: buccaneer81

Hmm, AFAIK Bachmann and Demint or not running in 2012?

The other grim reality is Obamao will raise 1 billion for his re-election bid, whomever wins the nomination will have to be able to come close to matching him or 1 billion along with the MSM literally fellating his failure of a Presidency and a R can find themselves buried by October.

Let’s hope they do not make the Bob Dole mistake once again.


19 posted on 02/02/2011 7:54:37 PM PST by padre35 (You shall not ignore the laws of God, the Market, the Jungle, and Reciprocity Rm10.10)
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To: padre35

The Republican nominee will have to far, far, far outstrip in legitimate domestic donations what BO can raise in illegal overseas donations.


20 posted on 02/02/2011 7:56:32 PM PST by thecodont
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