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Delaware: O'Donnell Cuts Coons' Edge (Monmouth Poll, 51-41 and Closing)
Monmouth University Poll ^ | 10/29/10 | Patrick Murray

Posted on 10/29/2010 7:43:12 AM PDT by TonyInOhio

In the past two weeks, Republican Christine O'Donnell has narrowed Democrat Chris Coons' lead in Delaware's US Senate Race from 19 points to 10 points. The latest Monmouth University Poll finds Coons has the support of 51% of likely voters to 41% for O'Donnell. Two weeks ago, the race stood at 57% to 38%.

~ snip ~

O'Donnell has also made gains among independent voters, now leading Coons 47% to 42% among this voting bloc. Two weeks ago, she trailed in the independent vote by 51% to 41%.

"While Coons still has the advantage, it has to be uncomfortable knowing that O'Donnell was able to shave 9 points of his lead in just two weeks."


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Delaware
KEYWORDS: chriscoons; christineodonnell; coons; delaware; obama; odonnell; palin
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To: TonyInOhio
So if this race is competitive then the race here in Oregon is competitive???

Huffman (R) went from 36% to 42% in a poll released yesterday, while Wyden(D) remained at 53%. Should I be hopeful???

BTW, I think it was a missed opportunity for the RNC not to campaign harder here for Huffman. The Governors race looks like it will go the the Repub and 2 or 3 House races will flip!!! I am VERY connected to the Oregon GOP and feel VERY good about what I just said.

I really think they blew it with not attacking the Senate race.

We shall see...

21 posted on 10/29/2010 7:55:51 AM PDT by Anti-Hillary (Pretty soon everything in this country will be "free", except it's people!)
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To: kevkrom
I don’t have much faith in the raw numbers, one way or the other, but the trend is the important thing.

The most important trend identified in this poll is the reversal of leads with Independents - O'Donnell went from losing them by 9 points to winning them by 5 points. That's a clear indicator of the tide turning in her favor. Now it all comes down to who turns out to vote.

This one may be going down to the wire.

22 posted on 10/29/2010 7:56:11 AM PDT by TonyInOhio ( Live free or die: Death is not the worst of evils.)
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To: TonyInOhio
Nobody saw here coming in the primary. Even Dems are moving Republican. Obama’s get out the vote tour has been a dismal failure. It actually is likely to have an opposite effect, convincing Dems to stay home.
23 posted on 10/29/2010 7:57:52 AM PDT by faucetman (Just the facts ma'am, just the facts)
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To: TonyInOhio

fight folks fight!


24 posted on 10/29/2010 7:58:39 AM PDT by rrrod (at home in Medellin Colombia)
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To: TonyInOhio

A very credible poll. Crosstabs are at the bottom.

Coons has a 23% lead among women, the sort of crazy behavior that encourages misogyny...


25 posted on 10/29/2010 7:58:51 AM PDT by mrsmith
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To: TonyInOhio
Does anyone know the D/R/Indy breakdown in Delaware voter registration? If she is leading 5% points among Indies, the overall total should be a LOT closer than 10%.

I know there are a lot of registered Democrats here in SW Pennsylvania who don't vote the party line. In our county, the D registration outnumbers the R registration by about a 60%/40% ratio. Yet McCain-Palin carried our county by 58% two years ago.

26 posted on 10/29/2010 7:59:21 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Anti-Hillary
Huffman (R) went from 36% to 42% in a poll released yesterday, while Wyden(D) remained at 53%. Should I be hopeful???

This could have been made a race. I agree they blew it.

27 posted on 10/29/2010 8:02:47 AM PDT by NeoCaveman (I can see November from my house. Final Prediction, +9 in the Senate. +72 in the House)
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To: marlon
AMEN TO THAT!!!

AMEN DOUBLE!!!!!!

AMEN AGAIN!

28 posted on 10/29/2010 8:03:30 AM PDT by MestaMachine (Mp>)
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To: TonyInOhio

This is a University poll! Imagine what she REALLY has!


29 posted on 10/29/2010 8:03:35 AM PDT by Sal (We have no JUSTICE Dept. We have Eric Holder instead.)
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To: TonyInOhio
I would not be shocked to find Christine as a US Senator come Wednesday morning.
It may be a very different United States of America next week.
("Behold, I am doing something new....")
30 posted on 10/29/2010 8:04:25 AM PDT by Psalm 73 ("Gentlemen, you can't fight in here - this is the War Room".)
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To: TonyInOhio
See that, all those pro-Castle people who wanted to stick with the "she's behind 19 points poll" now have to face a "Hey, she whacked Coons' lead in two OVERNIGHT ~ the momentum is with her"

Must be tough to stick with Castle about now.

And what about that "one night stand" attack? Was it Coons or was it Castle who engineered that piece of garbage. Whatever, it's so typical of that crowd it's difficult to know which puke to sue first!

31 posted on 10/29/2010 8:04:30 AM PDT by muawiyah ("GIT OUT THE WAY" The Republicans are coming)
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To: hampdenkid

Have you sent your advice directly to AFP?


32 posted on 10/29/2010 8:05:01 AM PDT by Mountain Mary ("May we always be happy and may our enemies always know it" Sarah Palin)
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To: TonyInOhio

Reminds us again on how much Mike Castles was leading Christine in the polls a few days prior to the primaries....

And by how much was Scott Brown trailing Martha Coakley in Massachusetts prior to the elections?


33 posted on 10/29/2010 8:05:05 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: Vigilanteman
Does anyone know the D/R/Indy breakdown in Delaware voter registration? If she is leading 5% points among Indies, the overall total should be a LOT closer than 10%.

Dem/Rep/Ind registration goes something like 47/29/23 percent

34 posted on 10/29/2010 8:05:14 AM PDT by r9etb
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To: marlon

I want Reid more than any other, but this one would be a dagger in the left’s heart, and more importantly a RINO destroyer. Even if she loses and is within 5, our movement’s next decision is to isolate and then dispose of the Rove/Beltway thinking that has so destroyed our party. Their damage in the 24 hours after the primary will be what determined the outcome.


35 posted on 10/29/2010 8:05:29 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: marlon

The one I want the most (besides Angle in NV) is Alaska. Princess Lisa is the epitome of the arrogant, condescending, elitist and power-hungry politician. She need to be slapped hard about the head.

I predict that if she wins and if the Democrats retain control of the Senate, she will bolt the party and join them. When she went as a write in candidate, the Republicans stripped her of some posts but left her in charge of others. I don’t know if they were hedging their bets or not, but she plays dirty and for keeps so I doubt she can be kept in line.


36 posted on 10/29/2010 8:05:51 AM PDT by CedarDave (Juan Williams to NPR: "You and your far left-wing mob fired me. Wasn't that enough for you? ")
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To: NeoCaveman

I saw that poll last nite and agree it was a missed opportunity with Dudley ahead. No reason why Huffman shouldn’t have been given money and resources and could have had another Johnson/Feingold.


37 posted on 10/29/2010 8:06:29 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Vigilanteman
Does anyone know the D/R/Indy breakdown in Delaware voter registration? If she is leading 5% points among Indies, the overall total should be a LOT closer than 10%.

I can't find the regristration numbers off-hand, but the primary did yield a hint about likely intensity. Michael Barone said that 58,000 Republican voters and 35,000 Democrat voters went to the polls in the primary, an advantage of 23,000 for the GOP. Of course, the Dem primary was meaningless, but if the parties actually show up to vote in anything like equal numbers, O'Donnell has a shot. It all depends on who casts the votes.

38 posted on 10/29/2010 8:06:58 AM PDT by TonyInOhio ( Live free or die: Death is not the worst of evils.)
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To: bwc2221

Yup... Conservatives have to work for a living and don’t answer “anonymous” phone calls from pollsters. Gosh, if 60% of Conservatives and Independents vote she will win!

I really want this one...


39 posted on 10/29/2010 8:07:22 AM PDT by mikelets456
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To: TonyInOhio

Wonder why they used the word Shaved? Typical Establishmedia writer thinking he’s cute.

Pray for the Election


40 posted on 10/29/2010 8:11:15 AM PDT by bray (A November to Remember)
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