Posted on 10/05/2010 10:02:14 AM PDT by MissesBush
The Gallup high turnout and low turnout numbers suggest it looks like 1894, when Republicans gained more than 100 seats in a House of approximately 350 seats.
Told ya
Been tellin ya
For months
120+
I’ve never thought this year was like 1994. In 1994 we had no idea that what happened was coming. We also didn’t have such an arrogant absolutely detached President and Congress willing to disregard the will of the people with such flair. Passing health care politically traumatized America it is not something that can be forgiven. The rise of Tea Party has been the best thing to happen for conservatives and has been the glue allowing independents to gravitate to an even more conservative cause and align with Republicans without being a Republican.
This is a major realignment. People thought Obama was a realignment but he ran on tax cuts and claimed to be a centrist. It wasn’t a realignment but a wholesale deception of America. Tea Party politics is non Machiavellian politics. It is the proud full spectrum conservatism of Reagan and it is beautiful.
I can hardly wait....
This closing the gap canard is blown when you look at the number of unwinable R seats are coming into striking distance and the solid numbers other have had with a lead.
The same can be said with the media spin that the D’s are out raising the R’s thanks to Obummer. The numbers are not panning out on that either.
That polling result of 56-38 R for a low turnout would yields a crazy result putting it into an algorithm... R 336 - D 99 in the house. That is just too odd... The 53-40 result would make the parties R 308 - D 127. We have seen 10s, but not 13s or 18s before in terms of margin... But when Newt said 150 seats could be in play last Spring, I think we all thought his analysis a bit off...
Great points. If this doesn’t wake people up, they’re as dead as a Chicago voter.
Dems ARE “closing the gap.”.............between them and the door...............
That's the story the media haven't told. Obama and the Dems lied their way into power and the people are holding them accountable for their lies. The majority don't want this radical liberal agenda we've been force fed.
In 1994 I was watching C-Span and The republican pollster was saying it looked like the republicans would win in a landslide taking about 45 seats! I had this funny feeling during the fall that we the conservatives would win. I listened to conservative talk radio.
need to keep up the pressure AFTER the election..Real pressure. We cannot afford to go back to the days of making deals.
If Republicans reach across the isle they damn well better have a subpena or an invitation to a duel in their hand!
Chip Craavack is the real deal. He finally got Big Papa Pork to agree to a public debate and since Oberstar is incapable of expressing short, coherent thoughts I expect he will do very, very well. If this poll is accurate Oberstar is in big trouble — at last.
High turnout - R +13
Low turnout - R +18
Normal turnout - R +4
Isn't that peculiar. I would expect a more linear change along the turnout continuum.
I'll try to intepret it:
Low turnout = Dems staty home in fit of depression / GOP turnout stays normal. (R+18).
Normal turnout dutiful Dems show up closes the GOP gap to +4.
High turn out: While the dutiful dems show, the GOP votes like it's a presidential year making it +13
“I’ve never thought this year was like 1994. In 1994 we had no idea that what happened was coming. We also didn’t have such an arrogant absolutely detached President and Congress willing to disregard the will of the people with such flair. Passing health care politically traumatized America it is not something that can be forgiven.”
I hope I can disagree without being disagreeable. It was Hillarycare that put the hole in the hull of Clinton’s ship of state. That and her sheer arrogance. You may not remember that almost every republican candidate for governor was elected that year. A notable exception? Sheffield Nelson, Republican candidate for governor of Arkansas. I was at his “victory” party the night of the election. His loss was mitigated by the republican sweep around the country. It was not a surprise.
And even a caveman could figure it out.
Yes but Hillarycare failed which was the assumed point of my comment. :-) The Democrats this year did not stop when faced with a wall of angry growing opposition. They shoved it down our throats and the arrogance of the Clinton’s did not compare to the outright contempt for the will of the people that Obama and this Democrat congress has displayed. When I said I did not think this was like 1994 I meant I always assumed it would be much much worse for Democrats which it is shaping up to be.
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