[Homer_J_Simpson]

This is the second thread for this article and I haven't seen anyone ask the obvious question.

High turnout - R +13
Low turnout - R +18
Normal turnout - R +4

Isn't that peculiar. I would expect a more linear change along the turnout continuum.

[NeoCaveman]

Isn't that peculiar. I would expect a more linear change along the turnout continuum.

I'll try to intepret it:
Low turnout = Dems staty home in fit of depression / GOP turnout stays normal. (R+18).
Normal turnout dutiful Dems show up closes the GOP gap to +4.
High turn out: While the dutiful dems show, the GOP votes like it's a presidential year making it +13