extremely depressing numbers. I wish there was somewhere else to go but we were the last hope for humankind. I fear for the future of my children everyday.
It’s hard to imagine that 10% of those polled have changed their minds about Obamacare (around 60% down to 50%) in two weeks. However, it may be that Democrats are successfully motivating their base to vote. So, the pool of likely voters is growing with addition of more democrats.
Not surprising.
The “generic” republicans are getting less generic now. And there isn’t much to see there.
And the Dems and their cohorts still have plenty of money for campaign ads.
There is no reason to believe the electorate is any smarter now than they were 2 years ago. And more of them are on the dole now.
The waves of attack ads and lies from the left have drawn blood, unfortunately. Pundits can say all they want about “voters tiring of character attacks, etc.,” but the fact is... negative ads work.
Races tightened because of what? What has improved the Dems chances in the last month? What have they done?
I think this is another Dem oversample.
“It is either a bad sample, or the race has significantly tightened.”
#1 - Republicans have hurt their image. GWB and the compassionate Republicans branded Republicans as Democrat lite.
#2 - Politicans have shown themselves to be mercenaries, not people of principle. More so now than in the recent past. Spector, Crist, Lieberman.
#3 - Many people who said they would vote R this time are either Democrats or Independants. It’s coming down to the wire, they’re getting cold feet. They’ll do what they always did, blindly vote D.
#4 - In general, the American public is uninformed, and lacks critical thinking skills.
I believe this poll, and fully expect that November won’t be all we wished for.
Weekend polling heavily favors (D)..................
It will be up by 8% in a week or two
That percent is way too high, on the leftist side!
I don’t believe the polls...I believe the Dems are now using them as campaign tools and have thoroughly infiltrated this “media” market.
Why kid ourselves? America is lost forever.
My oh my how things have changed! Nine months ago it was "going to be a rout", then it became "an unfair contest", soon after it became "probable that conservatives would win both houses", then "probably that conservatives would win a narrow margin in the House...then recently it became " a real toss up"....and now, it's "little probability that conservatives will win either chamber at all".
Seems the "fire in the belly" turned out to be nothing but gas....as it usually does.
More's the pity too!
All polling outfits are going to tighten up their propaganda until just before the election... they cannot sell any polling data if it appears to be a blowout election.
LLS
Perhaps the “community organizer” is proving successful to remind his followers they have to go back and vote again, to keep the stuff government is doling out to them under Obama and his dems.
I don’t see genuine “middle of the roaders” and “inependents” being swayed by his overtures. Just the minority takers class, who showed up in DC and left the mess for others to clean up.
This is why I’ve been discounting Dick Morris’ rosy predictions of a “tsunami,” “wipeout,” etc. for the dems. It’s always far too easy to forget the dems have the media, unions, illegals and most judges in their back pocket.
We’re going to see some gains for the GOP in November, but far fewer than hoped. One should always manage expectations of American voters, because they have an enormous propensity for stupidity at critical moments. It’s akin to running backwards and taking a safety when a winning touchdown is a near-gimme.
I trust Rasmussen pretty well. I think this is something of a statistical outlier. It’s bound to happen from time to time.
There have been some positive reports on Obamacare, but I don’t think that changed six percent of minds over a few days.
The more important number is the 18% gap among independents. People are abandoning the Democrat and Republican parties and labels. I think if Ras is missing anything, he might be slightly behind the shift from Repub/Rat to Independent in his sampling. That’s where the fault line is, and that’s where the Big One will hit.
If the Dems recover and hold the House, it will be a “mandate” for accelerating Socialism/Fascism and a disaster that is “historic” and “unprecedented”.
The Statist are gaining ground in the population. Thievery, money and corruption host rewards for the population which demand them.
We must acknowledge that there are entire populations in the United States which are wholly corrupt and destructive to the rights of their countrymen.
I see no redemption for theses folks, should they become the majority in a land who’s constitutional law is practicably meaningless our only means of protection will necessarily be nullification and if that fails secession(defended by whatever means necessary).
What we are looking at is tyranny of the majority. An abusive and explosive population of people bent upon the subjugation of the rest of us in-order to provide for them. This is oppression and ultimately little more then slavery.
This is one poll. Realclearpolitics average forecasts 47 Repubs in the Senate with five toss-ups; 207 Repubs in the House with 38 toss-ups; and 27 Repub Governors with eight toss-ups. The Repubs need only 12 toss-ups to take back the House and four toss-up senate seats to win. If the Dems keep the majority in both houses it will be a combination of conservative voter apathy and Dem scorched earth politics. If this happens, the Repub Party is dead and by 2012 we will see a new and ferocious conservative party. By then, of course, the US will have been destroyed.
Negative nimrods on this thread:
Percentages don’t matter in “potential voters”. What really matters is our side is fired up and pissed and will be voting much more than the other side who sees their beloved messiah failing.