Posted on 09/18/2010 11:19:16 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
We've added another Vulnerable Dem to our Master List: WV-03
That brings our list to 99 seats. We now have 87 Vulnerable Democrats and 12 pretty safe Republicans on out list.
This weeks news:
It was a pretty average week for our six "Experts" with a total of 23 upgrades to the races on the KHR Master List but the Dems managed to get just 3 of those 23.
We've added the Freedom's Lighthouse to our list of Pickup Projections and they currently are predicing a 49 seat pickup.
We are now listing all the Pickup Projections we can find on the Home Page at KHR.
And we've revised our list of the latest Polls. We now list all of our polls sorted by both District and the KHR Posting Date. You can find those Polls HERE.
We've also added a link on the KHR Home page to our Tier 2 List. That's the list of Districts that are showing some movement in the polls and with our 6 "Experts". We've promoted 8 of these races to the Master List in the last few weeks.
Here's the summary of the changes to our Experts' ratings:
Those changes moved our index to -.160 from last weeks -.158.
Yikes you say - just like last week. How can we make such a small pickup with all those positive changes for the Republicans????
The answer is that we've added another Vulnerable Dem to our list that is, at this point, still favored to hold on to his seat. This skews are index. We knew that would happen when we add new Dems to the list. But we've added one more target and that is what counts.
September 18: Hawaii Freepers - Go vote for Charles Djou. Show the power of the Tea Party.
How people will vote is not the issue. How much the dems cheat is the deciding factor. Many of these races are close and it is my belief that the amount of cheating will hold those seats for the dems.
Just being pragmatic and praying that I am wrong.
#60 ID-1 / Democrat Walter Minnick vs Republican Raul Labrador
-1.0 / Leans D
Boise Tea Party endorsed Raul Labrador should be running away with this race, but the national Tea Party Express endorsed Minnick some months back in a typical Washington politics move to give itself ‘bi-partisan’ cover.
Because of this, the waters in Idaho district 1 have been significantly muddied. The Democrats may keep this seat, and Pelosi may keep the Speaker’s gavel, thanks to the Tea Party express.
Minnick did not seek Tea Party support, and took the opportunity to reject the Tea Party Express endorsement and then ridicule the Tea Party movement.
Please, contact the Tea Party Express and tell them that if they can’t get behind the true Tea Party candidate in the race, at least stop supporting the Pelosi supporting Democrat.
www.teapartyexpress.org
CONTACT: Levi Russell at (509) 979-6615 or via email at: Levi@FrontLineStrat.com
You have found that thread. We post a status update every Saturday and the website, KeyHouseRaces.com, is a 100% Freeper creation. It's just us. Just the good guys.
And you have stated quite well the reason KeyHouseRaces and this thread exist. We want to show people which races are really in play and which are the ones we should support. Right now I think the Toss Up races on our list are the right ones to give financial help to.
So I guess you are supporting Crist over Rubio, too?
Raul was born in Puerto Rico, is a life long American citizen, and not a supporter of illegal immigration or amnesty. He has local Tea Party support throughout Idaho. Only the national and overly political Tea Party Express has endorsed Minnick, and they did it thinking it could be a carrot to other Democrats to oppose 0bamaCare... As if Democrats cared about Tea Party support. Quite the contrary, Minnick proceeded to spit on the Tea Parties, denouncing the movement and rejecting the endorsement.
Labrador will not vote for amnesty, but all of Pelosi’s Democrats will if they keep the House. Minnick will do what Pelosi tells him to do, and that includes voting for amnesty or 0bamaCare if she needs the votes.
Are you willing to give Minnick the tie-breaking vote to let Pelosi stay Speaker of the House? Are you saying things might be better with a Pelosi supporting, Tea Party hating Democrat than a Tea Party endorsed Republican, just because he has a Hispanic name?
Rubio has taken public positions contrary to yur claims.
You’ve lied about both Rubio and Labrador’s positions now.
But I ask you again, you’d prefer Minnick and his possible tie-breaking vote for Speaker Pelosi, assuring amnesty pushed through the next congress?
Such is the scale of the expected losses, that according to local polls, Democrats are on course to lose the governorships of left-leaning states such as Michigan and Pennsylvania..............and may be vulnerable in Illinois, long a Dem party bastion, and home to Ohaha and his WH crew.
" Holy Allah. Illinois? Gone? Get that little twerp Rahm
in here. Him and his permanent Democrat majority."
LOL! Love this line. There ain't no such thing as a Blue Dog!
Yup...life-long. He lost a primary for a judgeship in '08. According to an interview I heard when he first announced, he switched in Nov.'09.
WV GOP is da pits!
If there is a ‘’tidal’’ wave defeating many RATS we must remember it is going to take many many more ‘’tidal waves’’ till this current crop of leftists dies off or is in an old folks home somewhere. One big year ain’t gonna cut it.
I'll do a survey this week and see how our other 5 "Expert" view the race. If anyone else has it as Leans D it will go on the Master List.
Marco Rubio actually respects the rule of law and supports legal immigration. He is awesome!You are the one who is pathetic.
Raul Labrador does pro bono work for criminal illegal aliens and doesn't respect the rule of law. He is a scumbag.
This doesn't have anything to do with race. You are pathetic.
Andy Harris can beat the rat Kratovil but he could use some help.
Please donate.
Is this of all seats in the House? If so, we are basically looking at only having a solid pick-up of 17 at this time?? That is well short of our magic number...
that is 10 more then needed to retake the House.
Our list is the seats in the House that are in play. We have 99 seats and 87 of those are Dem seats. The Republicans figure to lose 2-4 seats max. We need 39 plus 4 or 43 plus a few more to keep the cheating down. There are 48 Dems who are rated Toss Up or better from a Republican perspective and that number grows weekly. We can win the House. Give some money to the Republicans in the Toss Up category and you will help achieve that goal.
Our list is the seats in the House that are in play. We have 99 seats and 87 of those are Dem seats. The Republicans figure to lose 2-4 seats max. We need 39 plus 4 or 43 plus a few more to keep the cheating down. There are 48 Dems who are rated Toss Up or better from a Republican perspective and that number grows weekly. We can win the House. Give some money to the Republicans in the Toss Up category and you will help achieve that goal.
Friends don’t let friends vote Democrat.
The only good Democrat is a defeated Democrat.
If we wan’t to stop the Obama regime, there needs to be a 100% house cleaning from top to bottom of any and all Democrats. Democrats who voted 80% with Pelosi can and will betray conservatives.
Everything else is noise right now.
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