This doesn't tell the real story of 1984. The final electoral score was 525-13.
People need to stop comparing Obama to Reagan as far as approval numbers because of this one clear fact:
Reagan’s Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 was not enacted until 1983, so the first two years was a washed.....Obama’s “stimulus reinvestment act” Started in a few months after he took office in 2009 and is about to finish in later this year in 2010 and things is get worse
This doesn't tell the real story of 1984. The final electoral score was 525-13.
Actually what will propel him to a second term will be the fact that the house and the senate, in republican hands, will hold in check the O’s mad dash to the left, which will bring a stabilizing effect to the economy and a host of other issues. Unfortunately, this will redound his favor and the electorate, gullible as they are, will say, “hey, things are getting better, lets not rock the boat, let this guy stay in office.”
I remember back when I was smoking pot, I thought how screwed up the world would be if everybody was on drugs. Well here we are, all screwed up...
Jay Bookman....LOL! He and Cynthia Tucker have locked themselves in the cockpit of the Atlanta Journal and are determined to crash it into the ground. Not unlike our current Regieme, actually.
“Gee, let’s alienate the people with money who can read and throw the whole editorial weight of the newspaper behind the impoverished illiterates so we can feel good about ourselves and sip a little Chablis in the gallery lofts of the intelligentsia.” Great business plan, AJC board!
Arizona, at the very least, will demand a birth certificate. More states are likely to follow suit.
Besides, he never planned on a second term. The Cloward-Piven plan was to inflict the maximum amount of damage in the minimum amount of time.
Mission accomplished!
Obama's re-election might be plausible with the kind of economic recovery typical since the Great Depression. However, Obama's economic policies are designed to repeat the errors that lead to the Great Depression. The policies did not work for Hoover/Roosevelt, haven't worked for the Japanese for the past 18 years, and won't work now. We will not see a booming economic recovery begin until January 20, 2013.
Hey twit....just a liiiiiiiiiiiitle difference between the two, don't ya think?
Moron.
Will Obama have to produce a B.C.?
Jay Bookman: Turd Polisher
Mr. Bookman engages in a feeble attempt at humor.
Whistling through the graveyard.
Let's see - since the end of World War 2, well within the life span of almost all of the existing people who are likely voters, how many Democratic Presidents were reelected based on their own 4-year performance?
Trueman - had a partial term after FDR died, won in 1948 but lost in 1952.
Johnson - had a partial term after JFK was assassinated, won in 1964 but didn't/wouldn't run in 1968.
Carter - 1976 to 1980.
Clinton - 1982 - 2000. The exception because he ran, very hard, to the center after 1994.
The Presidents who won a second term based on their performance were all Republicans.
So, will BHO run towards the center to be reelected in 2012 like Clinton did? That's the real issue not all of the false flags raised in this editorial.
I KNEW Ronald Reagan.....
Barry, you ain’t no Ronald Reagan.
Second, I am guessing Reagan gained strength with independents and moderates over time, even though he lost the support of some union Democrats in 1984. Obama has likely permanently lost any Republican support, and certainly has lost some of his independent/moderate support, and does not seem to be gaining any independent/moderate support.
Look at the electoral college maps for 1980 and 2000. Reagan won all but Georgia (Carter's home state), Minnesota (Mondale's home state), WV, MD, RI, HI, and DC in 1980. 489 electoral votes to 49. Mondull would have needed to swing 221 votes to reverse it in 1984. Obama's electoral total was 365 to 173, a 97 vote swing is needed to reverse it.
Then there is the Reagan economic recovery. It kicked in after the 1982 midterm elections, but was strong and fast enough to drive wavering support strongly back to Reagan in 1984. What are the chances of a strong recovery in 2011? What about the perception of Reagan's foreign policies compared to Carters, and how Obama will be compared to Bush in 2012? What about America's return to space in 1981 after Carter had zero manned space flights during his administration, and compare that to Obama's NASA (Not About Space Anymore) ending America's manned space legacy and turning NASA into a Muslim self-esteem organization? My point is, people believed in 1983 and 1984 America was fundamentally heading strongly and quickly in the right direction.
Will the youth vote still be there in 2012? Or will they stay home this time?
Finally, there is the census. The 1980 census put more electoral votes into Reagan's strongholds in 1984. The 2000 census will put more electoral votes into red states and swing states in 2012. This could result in a 14 electoral vote swing to red and southern swing states. Basically, if the Republicans can get the presidential election back to the 2000 and 2004 numbers (a 50/50 nation), with the electoral college changes, the 200 result would be 278 to 259, and the 2004 result would be 293 to 245. With Ohio likely losing another electoral vote, means the Republicans could still lose Ohio in 2012 and win the presidency.
Simply put, Obama has a much bigger uphill climb, and he seems to have no footing whatsoever beyond his shrinking base of true believers.
agree
We are blessed by Obama’s tendency to go Muslim jihadi when his back is against the wall. His use of “diversity” racism in an effort to keep power is going to do him in big time. He has set it into motion and he is going to progress from smearing racial enemies to hurting innocent people. But when Americans see it, that will be the end of Dear Reader.
Reagan did the opposite by encouraging unity beyond race with a natural and worthy goal for America - expanding prosperty, liberty and justice and getting out from under the boot of liberalism’s poverty, inequality, hate and violence.
