Posted on 05/26/2010 12:03:24 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
FORT LAUDERDALE, Florida (Reuters) The threat of an above-average 2010 Atlantic hurricane season has increased over the last month and it now promises to be "very active," two leading U.S. forecasters said on Wednesday.
William Gray and Phil Klozbach, who head the respected Colorado State University hurricane forecast team, said they would ramp up their prediction for the 2010 season in a report due out on June 2.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Their negatives won't mean a whole lot compared to what many sections of the country will see and casualties incurred, God forbid.
The worst is what happens to the population and we'll face disasters we never thought could happen.
Imagine, our air traffic facing landing accidents on slick runways in hit areas, deforestation galore, hydrocarbon vapor explosions in population centers, inside restaurant kitchens and where open flames are, on the roads with hot pavements and car engines. Not to talk about run-off to sewers and lighting up methane gas incidents.
Yes, it ain't gasoline or alcohol, thank God. The crude oil vapor pressure is a lot lower than lighter hydrocarbons.
Sorry, GOPJ1 I meant to answer you and instead I typed Bob J!
Sorry, Bob J!
Global warming predicts that there will be more hurricanes. If that is false, then that casts doubt on global warming. Can't have that.
Current models have Solar Cycle 24 being the lowest sunspot cycle since the Dalton Minimum (the cycle where we had "The Year Without A Summer"), and recent readings show Cycle 24 seems to be fizzling (drooping black dotted line is actual, red line is prediction):
Do hurricanes rain salt water?
The rain from hurricanes comes from evaporated water. To the extent that oil slicks hamper evaporation, they will reduce hurricane power.
No. The hurricane's wind centrifugal force acts like a giant agitator equipped with a vacuum that evaporates more water at the lower pressure. The oil/dispersant will be entrained (suspended) and lifted up on the walls because of the pressure gradient is the driving force. The higher the elevation, the lower the pressure, results in more vacuum effect.
The rain from hurricanes comes from evaporated water. To the extent that oil slicks hamper evaporation, they will reduce hurricane power.
I said that much in my previous post. However, the hurricane may go down in strength by one category, but it can still make landfall at substantial strength.
Thank God crude has higher specifc gravity than lighter hydrocarbons.
A small storm won’t be as devastating as hurricane wind velocity, agitation area and vacuum effect in lifting heavy crude particles.
We will get oil on the coast whether the storm is
large or small,,,
The larger the storm the more the chance of water spouts,,,
IIRC : Just a few days after the blowout a small storm
came through and washer oil over the booms,,,
Once the oil gets into that marsh there is no way to
clean it up...
Temps are far below normal this year in the Northern Hemisphere so most likely there will be few if any hurricanes.
Absolutely. Any storms will bring more oil to the the beaches and beyond.
Two words...La Nina.
But they know how to control Global warming right out of your pocket into alBore’s bank account!!!
Not so much...William Gray may be wrong about his hurricaine predictions but he’s not a GW alarmist...in fact he called bulls*t on the scientific consensus a couple of years ago.
Fox also has an article on this....
Very Severe Hurricane Season Ahead, Say Top Meterologists
http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/05/27/active-hurricane-seasons-record-year-say-scientists/
Seems to me that they had one thunderstorm make landfall last year.
LOL!
That’s great.
Likely HE’LL be right......
They need to work on getting the oil mopped up before hurricane season is on us.
Hay, the quicker picker upperer! (oil remedy)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2507615/posts
That’s all we need; a hurricaine to pick up all that oily water and spray it all over Arkansas.
You're right about the water temps.
The surface water temperature has to be above 80 F for hurricanes to even get started.
This map shows the water temperatures and there's a black dashed line that shows the 80 F mark.
I don't recall from year to year exactly what the temp maps look like, but I'd say that we've got some breathing room as far as hurricane development goes.
The warmest water is near land, which inhibits hurricane strength to begin with, and the water out to sea is cool enough that even if we get a tropical depression started, it's not likely to really strengthen much.
By the time it gets to the water warm enough to be a problem the land is interfering.
The storm surge is way more likely to bring in a lot of oil than it being picked up by rain would.
That oil will stick to anything it comes in contact with. The water will recede somewhat clear, but what a mess being left behind.
I think this is just a WAG ;^)
A S WA G is much better than a WAG.
A WAG is simply a Wild Ass Guess.
A SWAG is a SCIENTIFIC Wild Ass Guess.
Much much more accurate than a mere WAG!
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