Posted on 04/04/2010 1:52:48 PM PDT by rmlew
“Conclusions
Using standard statistical methods, this research has directly estimated the impact of the rising percentage of immigrants across U.S. counties on Republican presidential voting in the eight presidential elections from 1980 to 2008. The conclusion is inescapable and uncomplicated. As the immigrant population has grown, Republican electoral prospects have dimmed, even after controlling for alternative explanations of GOP performance.”
Are you listening GOP???? How ‘bout it Mr. Steele...stop your pandering!
It’s April Fools’ Day all year long at the RNC (Malkin on Michael “Amnesty” Steele)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2484788/posts
And there are still Rs, they probably think they're conservative too, who don't understand that code words "pathway to citizenship" = amnesty.
“Hardcore anti-illegal immigration voters who wouldn’t vote for McCain can look forward to the Obama Amnesty.”
Only you could twist this study into your own agenda. The ONE thing the blacks, latinos, muslims, and native Indians have in common is they see each other as groups of ‘color and ‘YT’ as the enemy. Rather like you, once-ler. THEY are who elected Obama, and others who are soft on illegal aliens.
McCain helped Obama in many ways, other than stating O would make a fine president.
McCain headed the Indian Senate affairs, and penned CFR. He helped Obama SO much. He excluded Indian tribes from giving amounts like everyone else, and then Obama cleaned up on the Indian $$$.
In fact, I can’t think of one piece of McCain legislation that wasn’t hand in hand with the democrats or that ever did one ounce of good for America. Can you?
[snip] Many of the tribes that have given the most to help Sen. Obama are rich with gambling revenue. They’ve used a loophole in campaign-finance law that allows one tribe to donate more than $200,000, unlike corporations or trade groups, which can’t give any money.
The Seneca Nation of New York, which operates casinos upstate, gave $213,000 to Sen. Obama’s committees, according to campaign-finance data compiled by CQ MoneyLine. Three other tribes have each given more than $100,000 to his campaign or to party coffers he is using to get out the vote: the Mississippi Band of Choctaw Indians and two California tribes, the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians and the Viejas Band.
The Indian vote, which has traditionally been overwhelmingly Democratic, could be pivotal in a number of swing states, notably New Mexico.[snip]
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122523468911877799.html
The 2006 Senate bill (Hagel-Martiniz) never got to the Rep controlled House. Sensenbrenner helped put a stop to it. The House passed an enforcement only bill (HR 4437), but it never got to the Senate. The WH (read Rove) put a stop to that bill.
In Nov they lost their leadership positions. Just prior to the 2006 elections the Congress passed, and Bush signed, a border fence and ID reform. In every Mexican border state the GOP lost at least one (anti-illegal) congressmen, and the rats lost none
The 2006 Secure Fence Act passed overwhelmingly in both Houses. Obama and Hillary even voted for it. It is mythology that the 2006 losses were affected by immigration issue
AMERICAN VOTERS DID not TURN AGAINST TOUGHER ENFORCEMENT OR LOWER IMMIGRATION. 2006 Elections
The loss of Latino votes who voted for Bush in 2004 was reflected in the defeat of Graf, Hayworth, Hostettler, DeLay, Pambo, Bonilla, Gilcrist, Harris, Santorum, and other conservative Republicans.
Not so. For example, Hayworth did not lose on the issue of immigration. Mitchell tried to position himself as being stronger on the issue than Hayworth. Nor did DeLay lose for that reason.
The Republicans’ Hispanic Delusion
Pursuing the Latino vote is a losing proposition. It reminds me of the factory owner who when told he was losing a nickel a widget, said that's OK, we'll make it up in volume.
In 2008, if John McCain had received 60 percent [vice 55 percent] of the “white vote,” he would have won even if Barack Obama had received the entire Hispanic vote. Credible surveys indicate that the major policy concerns of Hispanics/Latinos were no different than the concerns of non-Hispanics/Latinos. The economy and jobs topped the list. There is little evidence that immigration policy was an influential factor in Hispanics’/Latinos’ choice between the two candidates once basic party predispositions are taken into account. The size of the Latino voting population should be kept in perspective alongside other subsets of the electorate. An estimated 11.8 million voters were of Latino ancestry, compared with 17 million African Americans, 19.7 million veterans, 23.6 million young people, 45 million conservatives, and 34 million born-again white Christians.
Republicans are deluded if they believe that altering their views on immigration and amnesty will win them more Hispanic votes. Ronald Reagan signed a “one-time” amnesty in 1986, but that did not change the fact that the majority of Hispanics still vote Democrat. The reality is that historically the majority of immigrants, not only Hispanics, vote Democrat. Unless the Republican Party can slow down the immigration numbers, it will be the permanent minority party or become just another wing of the Democrat Party.
“They are all part of a victim group, which entitles them to affirmative action, mninority business set asides, etc. And most of them are dependent upon big government.”
Well said.
“It is mythology that the 2006 losses were affected by immigration issue”
Yes, a myth that has been shown as nonsense over and over to the same people time after time.
The lie, “anti-illegal immigration people cost the repubs the 2006 election!!
The truth:11.5% of all Republican seats in Congress were lost as Democrats took back control of Congress
But only 6.7% of the Members of Tancredo’s Immigration Reform Caucus lost their seats.
# 9.6% with an A grade lost
# 25.0% with an F grade lost
http://www.numbersusa.com/hottopic/electionanalysis.html
The U.S. adds one international migrant (net) every 34 seconds. Immigrants account for one in 8 U.S. residents, the highest level in more than 80 years. In 1970 it was one in 21; in 1980 it was one in 16; and in 1990 it was one in 13. In a decade, it will be one in 7, the highest it has been in our history. And by 2050, one in 5 residents of the U.S. will be foreign-born.
Currently, 1.6 million legal and illegal immigrants settle in the country each year; 350,000 immigrants leave each year, resulting in a net immigration of 1.25 million. Since 1970, the U.S. population has increased from 203 million to 309 million, i.e., over 100 million. In the next 40 years, the population will increase by 130 million to 439 million. Three-quarters of the increase in our population since 1970 and the projected increase will be the result of immigration.
Well .. if that’s true .. then why do they push Amnesty ..??
Defeatism on your part.
The Establishment Republicans are being fools or panderers to business for supporting open borders.
Hispanic in Texas came to a state with proud heritage and that demanded that they assimilate. This is changing. And if you look at the country map in Texas, the most Democrat are the border areas and cities. This will get worse. Grievance politics and the racial goodies system moves groups to the left. Asians were once Republican, no more.
Japanese and Filipino Americans have been largely Democratic for decades. Chinese Americans leaned pubbie (albeit slightly) from the fall of Chiang until the early 1990s, when the large wave from the mainland made its presence felt in the diaspora. Koreans are traditionally Democratic on a national level, but have been known to support GOP candidates locally in New Jersey (Bergen County having the most Koreans per capita of any county in the US) and California.
That’s a good point. Grievance Politics rots the mind. Japanese Americans should hate the party of FDR.
I work with a lady who is Phillipino, and she’s a staunch conservative.
"Democracy" has never been of any value...It has always been a precursor to dark tyranny...
Precisely why the Founders created a Constitutional Republic to avoid a future in which mob rule invariably leads to violence and tyranny...Just as is now inexorably unfolding before our eyes.
One only has to look at the Nation's first bonafide RINO, Teddy R., to pinpoint the beginning of the outright disintegration of the Republic and the emergence of social democracy.
Filipinos are similar to the half-assimilated older Polish side of my family: hard working and devoutly Catholic, albeit with a “working class” orientation that causes them to lean left on economic issues. Many Filipino Americans in Hawaii have been swinging to the GOP in recent elections, but I would like to see more GOP outreach to Filipinos (to say nothing of Koreans) in places like Bergen County, NJ.
They have no spine, AuntB!!
The “conservative” Latino’s are all about the money - government money. The social values take a back seat to the government give aways.
It really is money that is the primary mover of people’s politics that is why Republicans should strongly emphasize that the GOP is the party of the middle class and those who want to become middle class. There should be a stong “it’s YOUR money” message, driving home the point that you work hard for your money and you do not want big government politicians squandering your hard earned money. This is a message with universal appeal.
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