Posted on 03/28/2010 3:42:44 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
I have been thinking for some time that we need a really good list of the House Democrats that we hope to unseat in the 2010 election. Freeper randita has compiled a very nice list that is continuously being updated and I have used that as my primary source. The idea is to get Freeper recommendations on who we should be supporting in primaries and, after the primaries, who we really think can and should win. Given those inputs I will update the chart as necessary.
I've expanded the basic "who's running" to include the kind of data that Larry Sabato uses to evaluate the races. Based on a randita recommendation, I will also add in the Primary dates. I have also recorded the YES or NO vote by the House on the final Obamacare vote. Look for errors and report them if you see them.
Also, to keep the size of the chart down to a reasonable size I have limited the number of Challengers listed to 3. The # column shows how many that are actually showing on randit's list. And I may not have the best ones listed so we need Freeper comments on who the really serious candidates are. And for sure we need to know who the RINOs are.
So I'm soliciting inputs to add to the chart, to correct errors, to identify the best candidates etc. Don't be shy. Let us know what you think.
And lastly, the chart is currently just a .png to solicit help. I will work on filling in the blanks and at some point issue a real table version with live links to the candidates websites which are in fact already entered in the Excel file.
I agree 100% re: Raul Labrador. He has proven electoral success in a state house district entirely within the ID-01 and a solidly conservative voting record. There is no need to support someone flown into Idaho by the NRCC like Ward (who is certainly a patriot, but so is Labrador). And Labrador would give us the added bonus of increasing the number of Hispanic Republicans in Congress, which will help us increase our share of the Hispanic vote in 2012.
Alan Mollohan is NOT running unopposed.
Try an updated list.
But McCain got 51.75% of the vote in Nueces county. Nueces county was actually the most populous county in Texas that voted for McCain.
Exactly. This list shouldn't be a "when pigs fly" list. We'd all love to see Pelosi ousted, but it's not a possibility. The focus needs to be on possibilities, not on pipe dreams. This list will probably be in flux right up to the election.
There is a fifth VA Democrat that could be taken down in 2010: Jim Moran in the VA-08, who is polling very poorly against conservative Republican Matthew Berry, a former Federal Communications Commission General Counsel. http://berry2010.com/
BTW, in Nye’s VA-02, am I correct in thinking that conservative Republican Navy veteran and entrepeneur Ben Loyola is our best bet to win and hold the seat? http://benloyola.com/
He’s on my list. InterceptPoint is just starting his list. It will get more complete. Who do you like?
WV 1-Alan Mollohan’s challengers:
David B. McKinley, http://www.mckinley2010.com/
Sarah Minear, http://minearforcongress.com/
Mac Warner, http://www.macwarnerforcongress.com/
Patricia Levenson, http://www.levensonforcongress.com/site/
Tom Stark, http://www.tstark2010.com/
Cindy Hall, http://cindycongress.wordpress.com/
We’re going to win a whole bunch of districts in which McCain got 45% or below. As you mentioned, President Bush got 55% in the TX-27 in 2004 and if longtime incumbent Solomon Ortiz was held to only 57% in 2008 it could be a sign that his act is getting old. The one thing that Ortiz could always point to was his solidly pro-life voting record, but after voting for the abortion-funding Senate version of ObamaCare he can’t even claim to be pro-life anymore.
Veto-proof in the Senate in 2010 is impossible. In the House is possible, but not likely. We may do better in 2012 though.
In the Senate, we need to hold all our seats, plus pick up 10 (in Dem vacated open seats or by defeating a Dem) to even get a majority. That’s a pretty tall order, but if the political climate for Obama and Dems continues to plummet, it’s possible.
FYI, IL’s slate is set (Feb. primary)and except for a couple of runoffs on April 13, TX’s slate is set (Mar. 2 primary).
In May, 10 more states will have their primaries, 14 in June, 2 in July and the rest (22) in Aug./Sept./Oct. (only 1 in Oct.
Thanks Smooth...................
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Basically I know what anybody can find out from his website. But what I’d like to know is if the rumors that he’s being financed by Soros are true. There are accusations of carpetbagging too — he seems more closely aligned with the Houston area than Central Texas. It’s as if he popped up overnight. Do you know much about him? I don’t think Curnock can beat Edwards.
Unless I misunderstand you, you are incorrect. Off the top of my head I suggest Tarrant, Collin, Ft Bend, and Denton, are all bigger and voted for McCain. Williamson and Galveston have as many or more voters though their pop may be less.
I know nothing about him except what backers of some of his primary opponents say. We missed out on a couple of real good people in this primary. I blame it on aggies!
Great idea putting up the spreadsheet!
I’ve spoken with Brian Miller in AZ (8th district according to chart). He’s awesome! Strong 2nd amendment supporter, currently in the USAF Reserves as an A-10 guy. I’ve donated a small bit, if you can please do the same. It’s a small district and he hopefully will pick it up!
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