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IT'S NOT OVER - COULD HOFFMAN WIN? Recanvassing shows NY-23 race tightens even as Rep.
Syracuse ^ | 11/12/09 | Mark Weiner / The Post-Standard

Posted on 11/12/2009 2:09:01 PM PST by American Dream 246

Democrat Bill Owens delivers his victory speech at his headquarters in Plattsburgh last week. Owens declared victory after Conservative nominee Doug Hoffman conceded the 23rd Congressional District race election night. Now recanvassing shows the special election has narrowed to a 3,000-vote difference, and will be decided by a count of absentee ballots.

The Associated PressDemocrat Bill Owens delivers his victory speech at his headquarters in Plattsburgh last week. Owens declared victory after Conservative nominee Doug Hoffman conceded the 23rd Congressional District race election night. Now recanvassing shows the special election has narrowed to a 3,000-vote difference, and will be decided by a count of absentee ballots.» Updated county-by-county NY-23 vote totals (PDF)Washington -- Conservative Doug Hoffman conceded the race in the 23rd Congressional District last week after receiving two pieces of grim news for his campaign: He was down 5,335 votes with 93 percent of the vote counted on election night, and he had barely won his stronghold in Oswego County.

As it turns out, neither was true.

But Hoffman’s concession -- based on snafus in Oswego County and elsewhere that left his vote undercounted -- set off a chain of events that echoed all the way to Washington, D.C., and helped secure passage of a historic health care reform bill.

Democratic Rep. Bill Owens was quickly sworn into office on Friday, a day before the rare weekend vote in the House of Representatives. His support sealed his party’s narrow victory on the health care legislation.

Now a recanvassing in the 11-county district shows that Owens’ lead has narrowed to 3,026 votes over Hoffman, 66,698 to 63,672, according to the latest unofficial results from the state Board of Elections.

In Oswego County, where Hoffman was reported to lead by only 500 votes with 93 percent of the vote counted election night, inspectors found Hoffman actually won by 1,748 votes -- 12,748 to 11,000.

The new vote totals mean the race will be decided by absentee ballots, of which about 10,200 were distributed, said John Conklin, communications director for the state Board of Elections.

Under a new law in New York that extended deadlines, military and overseas ballots received by this coming Monday (and postmarked by Nov. 2) will be counted. Standard absentee ballots had to be returned this past Monday.

Conklin said the state sent a letter to the House Clerk last week explaining that no winner had been determined in the 23rd District, and therefore the state had not certified the election. But the letter noted that Owens still led by about 3,000 votes, and that the special election was not contested -- two factors that legally allowed House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to swear in Owens on Friday.

"We sent a letter to the clerk laying out the totals," Conklin said. "The key is that Hoffman conceded, which means the race is not contested. However, all ballots will be counted, and if the result changes, Owens will have to be removed."

Before Owens was sworn in Friday, Rep. John Garamendi, a Democrat who won a special election in California, was sworn in Thursday. The two gave Pelosi the votes she needed to reach a majority of 218 and pass the historic health care reform legislation in the House.

The bill passed 220-215 late Saturday with the support of only one Republican. The Republican, Rep. Anh "Joseph" Cao of Louisiana, said he voted for the legislation only after seeing that Democrats had the 218 votes needed for passage.

Now Hoffman, who campaigned against the health care reform bill, is carefully watching as the 23rd District race tightens and he is left to wonder if he conceded too soon.

"I don’t know if we would have conceded on election night," Rob Ryan, Hoffman’s campaign spokesman, said Wednesday while discussing the latest results of the recanvassing. "I’m someone who doesn’t like to look back. But would we have taken longer to make a decision on election night? Probably, if we knew it was only 3,000 votes making the difference."

Ryan, while acknowledging that Hoffman’s chances of pulling off a come-from-behind victory are still remote, said the campaign is looking at its legal options.

"We’re basically watching and waiting," Ryan said. "We’ve been looking very closely at the recanvass. We’re going to see how this week shapes up, and then we’re going to determine what to do."

Ryan said an important factor in the decision to concede was the unexpected -- and erroneous -- close vote in Oswego County, where polls had Hoffman with a double digit percentage point lead heading into Election Day.

"That’s the thing that threw us off," Ryan said.

Oswego County elections officials blame the mistakes on "chaos" in their call-in center that included a phone system foul-up and inspectors who read numbers incorrectly when phoning in results. Of 245 races in the county -- not including the congressional and court races -- 84 had incorrect totals reported election night.

In the congressional race, more votes were cast in Oswego County than any other in the 11-county district.

The district’s second biggest voter turnout was in Jefferson County, where Hoffman also has benefited from a turnaround since election night, gaining about 700 votes. Owens led Hoffman by 300 votes on the final election night tally. But after recanvassing, Hoffman now leads by 424 votes, 10,884 to 10,460.

Jerry Eaton, the Republican elections commissioner for Jefferson County, said inspectors found a problem in four districts where Hoffman’s vote total was mistakenly entered as zero.

"Hoffman definitely gained votes where he didn’t have them," Eaton said.

Jefferson County, home of Fort Drum and the Army's 10th Mountain Division, distributed 2,299 absentee ballots for the special election. As of this week, 1,303 had been returned but not counted, Eaton said. He said the county will begin counting the absentee ballots earyl next week.

Conklin, of the state Board of Elections, said officials did not have updated absentee ballot totals from the other counties.

When asked about the tightening race, Owens spokesman Jon Boughtin released a statement without directly addressing the election. "Since being elected, Congressman Owens has remained focused on the issues at hand: working with local leaders to address the Champlain Bridge closure, meeting with commanders at Fort Drum and continuing the work to strengthen Upstate New York," the statement said.

Ryan said the absentee ballots are likely to favor Hoffman because most were likely mailed before Republican Dede Scozzafava suspended her campaign three days before the election.

"For Doug to win, we needed a three-way race," Ryan said, adding that the campaign’s internal polls showed Hoffman would win with all three candidates.

"Given the majority of these ballots are from a three-way race, we think the ballots are going to break Doug’s way," Ryan said.

Ryan declined to say what percentage of the absentee vote the campaign believes Hoffman would need to win the race. Nevertheless, Hoffman’s campaign is optimistic.

"When people look back at this race, it was a remote possibility that Doug Hoffman would be a contender," Ryan said. "But miracles do happen.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 111th; bush; duncanhunter; education; elections; government; healthcare; hoffman; hunter; military; notbreakingnews; ny2009; ny23; obama; obamacare; palin; politics; presidentbush; publiceducation; sarahpalin; veterans
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To: OldDeckHand

How can they swear him in if the race wasn’t certified?


61 posted on 11/12/2009 3:01:24 PM PST by Kenny
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Pelosi is not required to accept the winner of a House seat.


62 posted on 11/12/2009 3:02:08 PM PST by skr (May God confound the enemy)
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To: Kenny

Absolutely. The race is NOT certified yet.


63 posted on 11/12/2009 3:03:06 PM PST by American Dream 246
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To: Kansas58
Hoffman did a FANTASTIC job, for a 3rd Party candidate.

Of handing the seat to the Democrats.

64 posted on 11/12/2009 3:03:07 PM PST by Mojave (Ignorant and stoned - Obama's natural constituency.)
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To: cherry

I was thinking the same thing. I, for one, smell a ‘rat.


65 posted on 11/12/2009 3:03:58 PM PST by fhayek
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To: American Dream 246

It is preposterous, in our computerized age, votes cannot be accurately tabulated.


66 posted on 11/12/2009 3:04:29 PM PST by NoControllingLegalAuthority
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To: skr
Pelosi is not required to accept the winner of a House seat.

Article 1, Section 5.

And with Owens already seated, she's holding all of the cards.

67 posted on 11/12/2009 3:05:51 PM PST by Mojave (Ignorant and stoned - Obama's natural constituency.)
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To: American Dream 246
Still uphill but the thought of Pelosi having that stupid smile smacked off of her face would be most delightful.
68 posted on 11/12/2009 3:09:49 PM PST by JPG (Obama's plan for America...today, Labor Unions...tomorrow, Labor Camps.)
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To: Mojave

If the race had only been between Owens and Scozzafava, a Democrat was going to win either way. At least this way, the less liberal Democrat won.


69 posted on 11/12/2009 3:10:08 PM PST by San Jacinto
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To: skr
"Pelosi is not required to accept the winner of a House seat."

This is where it gets tricky and controversial. According to a 1969 case decided by the Supreme Court, Powell v. McCormack, she very well may be. Powell (Adam Clayton Powell) was reelected to the House, the the Congress refused to seat him because of some allegations of impropriety. Powell sued.

The Supremes eventually heard the case, and did overturn a lower court decision that ruled because of the political question doctrine the House couldn't be forced to seat someone. Here's where it gets complicated. While that was the holding of the court, as a practical matter the court's decision was rendered moot because by the time of the ruling, Powell had already been seated after winning reelection again

With the Illinois Senate seat controversy, we saw a possible revisiting of the Powell decision. The Dems said they didn't have to seat Burress, but Burress threatened legal action, citing Powell. The Senate Dems capitulated and seated him.

Powell has never been tested in a practical way, but most scholars believe that it could lead to a Constitutional crisis if it ever was.

70 posted on 11/12/2009 3:12:04 PM PST by OldDeckHand (Obamacare - So bad, even Joe Lieberman isn't going to vote for it.)
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To: OldDeckHand

The state of NY has not certified Owens as the winner. He can be removed. Many years ago a situation like that took place with a guy in Delaware. He was installed, then it turned out the vote count was done wrong, and he had to give up his seat. He was a Dem in a Dem dominated House.


71 posted on 11/12/2009 3:12:33 PM PST by EDINVA
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To: TexasFreeper2009

” if the media is telling them they are losing”
+++++++++++++

One thing we know for sure if that we can’t trust the RAT media...we know that.


72 posted on 11/12/2009 3:13:05 PM PST by SeattleBruce (God, Family, Church, Country - Keep on Tea Partiers - party like it's 1773!)
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To: San Jacinto

Hoffman supported universal health care, insuring everybody, laxer immigration laws, no “wall” to keep people out, earmarks, bailouts and faster stimulus spending.

Just a CINO.


73 posted on 11/12/2009 3:13:36 PM PST by Mojave (Ignorant and stoned - Obama's natural constituency.)
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To: OldDeckHand

BS...democrat


74 posted on 11/12/2009 3:13:51 PM PST by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: EDINVA
The state of NY has not certified Owens as the winner. He can be removed.

Only by Congress.

75 posted on 11/12/2009 3:15:53 PM PST by Mojave (Ignorant and stoned - Obama's natural constituency.)
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To: OldDeckHand
We sent a letter to the clerk laying out the totals," Conklin said. "The key is that Hoffman conceded, which means the race is not contested. However, all ballots will be counted, and if the result changes, Owens will have to be removed."

Then what does this statement mean?

76 posted on 11/12/2009 3:16:04 PM PST by abigailsmybaby (To understan' the livin' you got to commune wit' da dead.)
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To: Mojave

I don’t believe a word you just posted.


77 posted on 11/12/2009 3:16:04 PM PST by San Jacinto
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To: American Dream 246; Kenny

I think they swore him in before certification because Hoffman conceded, thus leaving Owens the last candidate standing.


78 posted on 11/12/2009 3:16:11 PM PST by Jedidah
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To: Kenny
"How can they swear him in if the race wasn’t certified?"

Because the race wasn't contested, and the initial tally was greater than 3K votes, as the article states.

This never happens in normal elections, because if the election isn't certified by the first week in January, it's virtually guaranteed that there's a pending election challenge. In this case there wasn't, so Pelosi was legally able to seat Owens. Owens is the Representative from that district. There's no other way around it.

79 posted on 11/12/2009 3:16:38 PM PST by OldDeckHand (Obamacare - So bad, even Joe Lieberman isn't going to vote for it.)
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To: San Jacinto

Herd mentality.


80 posted on 11/12/2009 3:16:52 PM PST by Mojave (Ignorant and stoned - Obama's natural constituency.)
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