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The Delphi Technique, what it is and how to counter it
TCOT Action Projects ^ | March 6th, 2009 | Jenny Hatch

Posted on 03/06/2009 6:55:10 AM PST by Jenny Hatch

I just wanted to make everyone aware of the Delphi Technique. It is a Consensus and Facilitation technique that keeps those who are unaware of how it works from being effective political activists. For those who are just beginning as politically active conservatives, mastering the countering techniques will help us be much more effective as we move against the Marxists who have overtaken our government.

(Excerpt) Read more at tcotprojects.ning.com ...


TOPICS: Government
KEYWORDS: delphi; democrats; party; tea; teaparty; technique
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To: Jenny Hatch

Ping for later.


81 posted on 03/06/2009 12:24:32 PM PST by Question_Assumptions
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BFL


82 posted on 03/06/2009 12:25:10 PM PST by Trailerpark Badass (Happiness is a choice!)
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To: agere_contra
The very essence of Conservatism is to let our true ideas wrestle naked with the alien deceits of the Socialists. If we start using subterfuge to cloak our ideas then we deny our ideas their power.

"Conservatives believe they have better ideas. Leftists believe they are better people." And, they intend to make you a "better" person whether you want to be one or not."

True ideas aren't going to win the day.

83 posted on 03/06/2009 1:23:44 PM PST by LeGrande (I once heard a smart man say that you canÂ’t reason someone out of something that they didnÂ’t reaso)
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To: conservativeharleyguy
I was much amused when the Royal Welsh Fuseliers were employed in a fashion similar to the Navajo Talkers in the Kosovo engagements.

Your observation of the Arabic + Koranic knowledge is spot on. It gives them a common frame of reference that requires tremendous study to equal."

84 posted on 03/06/2009 1:31:08 PM PST by Myrddin
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To: mnehrling; All

WOW!!!

Simply amazing. Thank you for the much valued info.

I now see distinct parallels in many arguments, long since past.

Now we need to honestly, carefully frame the explanation of this manipulative technique in such a manner that will drastically erode support for the left and in turn result in monumental, righteous indignation for all those that employ it’s use.

The sense of victim-hood the left breeds can be a critical Achilles heal if the explanation of the Delphi Technique is properly framed and allowed to foment intellectual resentment for those that callously use it.

Those that have been “Duped by the Delphi” should be allowed to conclude, through reasoning on their own, that they have been pawns in an insidious, systematic plan to deny them of their basic human rights.

Imho, by not insulting the Delphi target’s intelligence, we can further establish within that person, the Constitutional precepts of Life, Liberty and Freedom.

I, for one, have been “Duped by the Delhpi” and now feel much more optimistic in countering it’s cowardly, unethical use.

As we speak, BO is currently employing the Delphi Technique on ‘your’ member of Congress.

thaDeetz


85 posted on 03/06/2009 1:32:13 PM PST by ebiskit (South Park Republican ( I see Red People ))
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To: Pessimist; All

Can, and has, the electoral Iowa caucus system, among other early political contests, been infiltrated by this method?

The Iowa caucus in particular, seems quite vulnerable to attack using Delphi.

How can we make sure that honest debate is maintained in this process for 2012 and for any other similar methods used for picking congressional candidates in 2010?

thaDeetz


86 posted on 03/06/2009 3:50:01 PM PST by ebiskit (South Park Republican ( I see Red People ))
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ping for later


87 posted on 03/06/2009 4:50:19 PM PST by pelicandriver
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To: Martin Tell
Right after I skimmed this article I heard about this on our local Detroit news broadcast. This is an excerpt from the Detroit Free Press:

WASHINGTON -- Senior members of President Barack Obama's administration are to be in Dearborn next week for a health care reform discussion, one of several such meetings that will be held across the nation as the president begins wrestling with how to cut insurance costs while improving access to coverage.

On March 12, the president will attend a forum on health care reform to begin the discussion. Gov. Jennifer Granholm is expected to lead it and Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich., is expected to attend.

The gathering is considered a starting point for the president's effort to come up with a plan with Congress to reform health care.

I'm sure it is merely a way do steer the discussion in their direction while looking like they are open to debate. We are all being played like a violin.

88 posted on 03/06/2009 5:19:39 PM PST by stayathomemom (Cat herder and empty nester)
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To: ponygirl

Figuring it out, you are....


89 posted on 03/06/2009 5:33:45 PM PST by anniegetyourgun
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To: ebiskit
Can, and has, the electoral Iowa caucus system, among other early political contests, been infiltrated by this method?

Did you see the video "We Will Not Be Silenced" about Obama's Acorn goons manipulating the caucuses? Bill Clinton even complained about it. I've been thinking about this Delphi Technique off and on all day and that video certainly came to mind.

90 posted on 03/06/2009 5:38:29 PM PST by stayathomemom (Cat herder and empty nester)
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To: Jenny Hatch
I just wanted to share the information so that these techniques can be diffused by people who understand what is going on. When the usefully idiotic in the media and the congress truly realize how they have been played - and some of them are already backing away - after the denial stops and the anger kicks in, we’ll have a backlash...

I think we need some big voices, eg. Rush, Hannity, Glenn Beck, to instruct people on how to recognize and combat this.

91 posted on 03/06/2009 5:44:43 PM PST by stayathomemom (Cat herder and empty nester)
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To: Jenny Hatch
Some historical context.

The "Delphi Technique" as described in the link is indeed insidious and its use is fraudulent.

However, you may from time to time read that the Delphi Technique was developed at the RAND Corporation. In fact, I recently read that, with the further statement that it was developed as a mind control technique.

WRONG!

Two of my friends at RAND did indeed develop something they called Delphi. However, it was not a method for forcing consensus. It was instead a means for efficiently extracting information and opinion from a group, without the frequent committee problems of dominant personality, social pressure from a majority, and settling on a least-common-denominator simply to get agreement.

RAND Delphi was conducted as follows.

Round one: people were asked to submit written statements relevant to the issue the group was to take up. These statements were summarized.

Round two: the consolidated list of statements was submitted to the group as a whole, with the identity of the originator of each statement eliminated (anonymity). Each group member responds, again anonymously (degree of agreement on a numerical rating scale; numerical response to the issue, etc.). These numerical responses are described statistically (usually median and upper and lower quartile).

Round three: The statements, and the statistical description, go to each group member, again anonymously. Each member again responds with a numerical estimate. Those whose estimates fall outside the quartiles must provide a reason why they believe 3/4 of the group is wrong.

Round four: each group member again receives the statements, and the statistics from round three. Each member gain provides a numerical response. Again, the "outliers" must provide reasons. In addition, anyone can provide an argument for or against the numerical estimates of the rest of the group.

The final result is the statements, the median estimates, and the quartiles.

Note this is not at all like what the group dynamics people call Delphi. The anonymity, the requirement to make numerical responses (even if on a rating scale), and the statistics that take into account the entire range of group opinion, eliminate forced consensus.

I have frequently used RAND Delphi in my profession as a technological forecaster. It is an excellent means for obtaining the opinions of a group of experts, giving both the central tendency of the group, and the degree of disagreement within the group. I usually conduct these studies by mail, as the technique lends itself to that quite readily.

When someone tries to tell you that the group dynamics session you're in was invented at RAND, they're telling you a lie. It's that simple.

92 posted on 03/06/2009 6:41:05 PM PST by JoeFromSidney
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To: mnehrling

Interesting topic. I’d love to be on the pinglist if you make one.


93 posted on 03/06/2009 6:55:28 PM PST by Ramius (Personally, I give us... one chance in three. More tea?)
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To: JoeFromSidney

What year did your two friends develop that Delphi Technique and why did they choose that particular name for it?

Just curious.

Jen


94 posted on 03/06/2009 7:19:50 PM PST by Jenny Hatch (Mormon Mommy Blogger)
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To: Jenny Hatch
Olaf Helmer and Norman Dalkey of the RAND Corporation developed what they called Delphi some time in the late 1950s or early 1960s. Their first use was to get estimates from industrial leaders of how long it would take for industry to recover from a nuclear attack. So far as I know, the resulting report was never declassified.

Dalkey and Helmer published an unclassified Delphi forecast of space technology in 1964. I read that report shortly after it was published. I decided to try an experiment with RAND Delphi, and my results were published in the IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT in 1968. I've had other articles on RAND Delphi published in TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE since then. I've used the technique numerous times for government and industrial clients.

I never asked why the name was chosen, but I always assumed it was because the first use was as a forecast, hence "Delphic."

The important point is not to let the "social engineers" hoodwink you with the tale that what you're being subjected to was developed at RAND.

95 posted on 03/07/2009 11:12:14 AM PST by JoeFromSidney
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To: Jenny Hatch
Free Republic has been on this for years and it's good to see more posts like this.

Here's the earliest I could find on Delphi: The DELPHI Technique -- (Let's us Freepers Dominate Liberal Planning Groups), posted by Laz.

There's another from August of '99, So, have you been Delphi'd?

96 posted on 03/07/2009 11:40:28 AM PST by metesky (My retirement fund is holding steady @ $.05 a can.)
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To: JoeFromSidney

I appreciate that background because I in fact have had some people claim the Delphi Technique was based in pure science because of its connection to the Rand Corporation etc etc..When I claimed it was completely tied to Marxism and the collectivization of America they shouted me down.

What gets me is how Obama uses it EVERYWHERE in his administration. He “Delphis” while giving his first big press conference, (No follow up questions, completely staged, with preset answers on the teleprompter). The outcome is set, the stooges are in place and he just plays the country with his Alinski tactics.

It’s all he knows. And it just sickens me.

Jen


97 posted on 03/07/2009 6:04:59 PM PST by Jenny Hatch (Mormon Mommy Blogger)
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To: metesky

“Free Republic has been on this for years and it’s good to see more posts like this.”

I first read about it when I read Beverly Eakmans Educating for the new world order back in the day (around 1993) http://www.amazon.com/Educating-New-World-Order-Eakman/dp/0894202782

I was trying to decide wether or not to homeschool our children and that book completely blew my mind. When we in fact did decide to put our kids in a parent run charter school, I experienced The Delphi Technique first hand as a school board member played us during a meeting where we were debating how gay the curriculums in Boulder Valley were going to become.

Nobody noticed what she was doing as she did it, but later on I felt so dumb.

I actually have not thought about it for years, but as I’ve observed Obamas tactics during the campaign and watched him these past few weeks, I realized the other day that he was using it EVERYWHERE.

We HAVE to call him on it and educate as many people as possible.

Let Freedom Ring.

Jen


98 posted on 03/07/2009 6:08:50 PM PST by Jenny Hatch (Mormon Mommy Blogger)
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To: concerned about politics

“PS.....there’s also something else Oboma uses, which is why he MUST keep his face before an audience (t.v camera and u-tube). It’s called Covert Hypnoses. You know he’s using it when he trys to get you to “picture/Imagine/dream about/ see/ seriously think about” what it is he’s he wants you place into your subconscious mind. The pictures aren’t filtered by the analytical mind (which is why the left does so well with the visual media and not so well with talk radio)”

It’s not just what he says—its how he looks and how he says it. I believe that the Dems focused grouped Obama’s face like crazy before putting him up as their candidate. It’s no accident that his face with a big grin is plastered all over every magazine. They must have discovered that even little old ladies found him open, honest, non-threatening, etc. based on appearance. My son also noticed that he must have been studying Rev. Wright’s speaking patterns while attending his church. He said Obama’s speaking cadence is similar to a preacher, in a hypnotic way.


99 posted on 03/07/2009 6:36:49 PM PST by Fu-fu2
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To: nuconvert

Conservatives use honest methods of persuasion. Real debate, good facts, solid evidence. We don’t claim to be neutral when we’re not and trick people into thinking they came up with a fake consensus answer. We don’t like using marxist ways of tricking people.


100 posted on 03/07/2009 6:47:07 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (I'd like to tell you, but then I'd have to kill you.)
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