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RED ALERT: FX Dislocation In Process
Market Ticker ^ | 2-16-2009 | Karl Denninger

Posted on 02/16/2009 7:47:40 PM PST by dangermouse

8:17 CT

I do not know what is going on here, and I don't think I want to.

Someone, apparently someone in Asia, wants dollars. A LOT of dollars. There is a forced-liquidation event underway that is massive, it is against all asset classes and it is spreading.

It originated at approximately 7:15 CT this evening and originated out of Asia somewhere. All of the primary currency crosses got hit at once - Euro, Pound, Yen - all weakened dramatically against the dollar and it is still going on. The Asian stock markets got walloped at the same time in coordinated waves of forced selling.

At the same time the US futures markets got nailed as well, down some six handles on the /ES in a near-vertical drop. While this sounds "not that big" to move these markets in a coordinated fashion like this is a trillion-dollar enterprise - this is not some small company that went bankrupt, or even a large company.

There is no news coverage at the present time identifying the source of this but it is not small and contrary to some reports it is not "automatic selling"; this is forced liquidation.

Folks, if this translates into Eastern Europe where there are severe instabilities already brewing literally everything in the financial world could come apart "all at once."

The worse news is that if this happens Bernanke will have killed us (in the US) by extending those swap lines all over the planet during the last six months. These will become utterly uncollectable and they are massive, in the many hundreds of billions of dollars.

To those who are reading this, I hope if you're in the markets you are prepared for extreme levels of violence. You must expect that the authorities will try to arrest the destruction if they are able, but you must also be prepared for the possibility that we have reached a "critical mass" point beyond which "duck and cover" is the only winning strategy.

Unfortunately.

I hope I'm wrong; this is going to be a long night.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Japan; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: asia; currency; denninger; dollar; economy; tm; yen
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To: farlander; steve86

Why all the panic “protect yourself” posts on that site?

I read ‘experts’ who say the “toxic mess” is going to crash/unwind this or that and lead to deflation (payoff debt immediately or die!!!)

I read ‘experts’ who say the “toxic mess” is going to crash/unwind this or that and lead to inflation (keep debt and payoff with free dollars or die!!!)

Does anybody have a consistent “if you see this, do this....if you see that, do that” site?!!?!?! =(


81 posted on 02/16/2009 8:22:42 PM PST by sam_paine (X .................................)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

I would say Soros being involved is something most of us agree is behind some of this. I think he has been involved with maniupulation of money and the markets for some time to get ZERO elected.


82 posted on 02/16/2009 8:22:52 PM PST by PhiKapMom ( BOOMER SOONER! Sam Bradford Heisman! LetsGetThisRight.com RED STATE Oklahoma Republican)
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To: farlander

I like your posts the best.


83 posted on 02/16/2009 8:23:27 PM PST by Velveeta (I'm feeling like I should panic - but I don't know why.)
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To: IrishPennant

ROFLMAO BIG TIME!!!!!


84 posted on 02/16/2009 8:24:01 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: farlander

sky...falling...Chicken Little


85 posted on 02/16/2009 8:25:09 PM PST by Palladin ("...the one with the big ears--he AIN'T my President!"...Etta James)
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To: Azzurri
You are correct — Bush's fault. I find the timing of this the night before the pork giveaway being signed ironic. Once ZERO signs that, the economy is all his — lock, stock, and barrel.
86 posted on 02/16/2009 8:25:29 PM PST by PhiKapMom ( BOOMER SOONER! Sam Bradford Heisman! LetsGetThisRight.com RED STATE Oklahoma Republican)
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To: dangermouse

http://www.fxstreet.com/rates-charts/currency-rates/

there isn’t much change here that I see...


87 posted on 02/16/2009 8:25:32 PM PST by RaceBannon (We have sown the wind, but we will reap the whirlwind. NObama. Not my president.)
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To: RaceBannon

Man I was hoping you would come up on this.

Explain this so an old Jarhead can understand it.


88 posted on 02/16/2009 8:27:07 PM PST by Semper Mark (Second Amendment Guarantees The First Amendment)
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To: RegulatorCountry
We’re in a bad situation domestically, but the rest of the world appears to be much worse off, at least for now. That’s the upshot, with the dollar situation.

However, the global economy is predicated on a.) we buy everybody else's stuff, then b.) they buy stuff from us.

If they can't afford to buy from us, where are we then?

89 posted on 02/16/2009 8:27:14 PM PST by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA: Ignorance on Parade)
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To: Velveeta

All we can do is wait and watch.


90 posted on 02/16/2009 8:27:23 PM PST by txhurl (ralph)
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To: sam_paine

Markets are always such confusing things....


91 posted on 02/16/2009 8:27:44 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Just type slow so I can follow along.


92 posted on 02/16/2009 8:29:37 PM PST by IrishPennant ("We're surrounded...That simplifies our problem.")
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To: farlander

Hey I’m not panicking either. I don’t know what to make of this, is Poland’s currency collapsing, and what follows from that, I dunno.

Iceland looked like it was going straight from credit cards to canned-goods and shotguns for a couple of days, and after about the fourth day that was the end of that story.


93 posted on 02/16/2009 8:29:40 PM PST by jiggyboy (Ten per cent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: RegulatorCountry

WOW! If I was in the military in Europe, I would be going shopping tomorrow and stocking up with the Euro going down and dollar going up.

How are all of these countries in such bad shape and how did they get there? This did not happen over night and now with that huge deficit we are now facing thanks to ZERO/Pelosi/Reid, we could be in real trouble.

Stupid people who elected ZERO with absolutely ZERO background in governing or making a decision.


94 posted on 02/16/2009 8:30:10 PM PST by PhiKapMom ( BOOMER SOONER! Sam Bradford Heisman! LetsGetThisRight.com RED STATE Oklahoma Republican)
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To: HangnJudge
Euro$
95 posted on 02/16/2009 8:30:12 PM PST by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture)
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To: Markos33

someone might be making a run on currency

however, at the links I was posting, I saw almost no changes, up/down .01 to .12 dollar

one was up 16$ though! :)

however, the live charts show what appears to be only $.05 rats of change, with highs and lows only $.50 apart

sounds like a hoax


96 posted on 02/16/2009 8:30:39 PM PST by RaceBannon (We have sown the wind, but we will reap the whirlwind. NObama. Not my president.)
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To: IrishPennant

Any day is a good day to buy ammo!


97 posted on 02/16/2009 8:30:44 PM PST by SouthTexas (oops there goes another trillion bucks...)
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To: okie01

We’re not all that dependent upon exports, like, say, South Korea, Japan or China are. What they buy from us is treasuries.


98 posted on 02/16/2009 8:31:03 PM PST by RegulatorCountry
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To: cmj328

Sinclair constantly recommends gold.


99 posted on 02/16/2009 8:31:03 PM PST by jiggyboy (Ten per cent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Markets are always such confusing things....

Nobody even agrees on exactly what happened in the market 79 years ago much less to be able to predict what happens tomorrow!

100 posted on 02/16/2009 8:31:49 PM PST by sam_paine (X .................................)
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