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I need some positive reasons why not to plan for a SHTF scenario.

Posted on 11/16/2008 3:15:11 PM PST by rfmad

I am seriously thinking of taking to steps to go to a survivalist approach planning to survuve total chaos and financial and institutional break down. Some one please help me see why this is not going to happen. Thanks


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: emergencyprep; preparedness; shtf; survival; survivalism; thecomingdarkness; tshtf; wtshtf
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To: rfmad

I have been planning for the worst as much as my limited means will allow me to. I feel like I’m not at all prepared for an off the grid scenario, however.


401 posted on 12/07/2008 9:18:20 AM PST by mysterio
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To: rfmad

survival bump


402 posted on 12/07/2008 9:42:49 AM PST by jim-x (God help America survive its enemies within.)
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To: rfmad

to read later


403 posted on 12/07/2008 10:03:08 AM PST by Mercat (God doesn't call me to be successful. God calls me to be faithful. Mother Teresa)
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To: steadfastconservative
I thought this thread might be a joke but apparently FR does have its share of conspiracy theorists/survivalists. Why would anyone think that the election of Barack Obama would lead to a complete breakdown of social order? I realize that his election is a bad thing but it isn’t so bad that we should all start running to hills.

Through out history, civilizations and countries have declined and some have been VERY rapid. Ours is no exemption. It will happen, the real question is when and how hard.

I saw the after effects in Mongolia after the demise of USSR. It was not pretty when the system collapsed. It became real to me that that could happen in the US also and there isn't going to be anyone to bail us out.

Regarding Obama, most Conservatives understand it is not just him but several things potentially coming together at once.

Conservatives study and understand history, understand nothing is perfect and take personal responsibility for their future.

By the nature of your question, I wonder if you have personally experienced the effects of an economic/social turn down yet. Many have not. If you ask, most posters here probably have seen tough times or been told about them and understand.

During the great depression, a third were losing, a third were surviving and a third were doing well. It is more luck than management. With the coming chaos, there is no obvious port in the storm. Those that survive and do well will say they made wise decisions, but it will be more luck than management. This crap storm can go anywhere and hit any port of refuge. I still plan for a future, and make the best decisions I can but suspect most of them will be the wrong decisions.

404 posted on 12/07/2008 10:27:52 AM PST by PeterPrinciple ( Seeking the truth here folks.)
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To: Terry Mross

Walmart and Walgreen’s have discount plans for meds that you can fill for 3 months at a time. Your MD will give you an extended script if you explain to him that you need some on hand for emergencies or travel situations.

My husband’s BP meds are prescribed in a dosage that his physician recommends he cut in half. So, he gets a 3 month refill and when he fills it again, he has 6 weeks extra stashed. The doc is a family friend who fully expects disruptions of various sorts, so we figure we will have access in the beginning of any emergency, but the goal is to have several months extra supply.

I realize some meds won’t fall under this scenario or the generic discount plan. I would talk to my MD about any concerns. All it would take is something that impedes transport or affects the factory where the drugs are manufactured. There are a variety of weather-related scenarios that could result in a shortage, so you don’t have to sound like like a paranoid when you speak to the physician.


405 posted on 12/07/2008 11:57:54 AM PST by reformedliberal
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To: rfmad

marker


406 posted on 12/07/2008 4:39:04 PM PST by JDoutrider (Heading to Galt's Gulch... It is time.)
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To: PeterPrinciple

I guess one of my objections to this business is that even if the country were to go through some kind of economic downturn or even if it went into a depression, that doesn’t mean that the social order would breakdown. It doesn’t mean that people would be rioting in the streets, or looting, or killing. After all, people didn’t act that way during the Great Depression.

My other objection is that for those of us who don’t live in remote, rural areas, there really isn’t anything that we can do to “plan” for a breakdown of civic order. We can put aside a limited amount of water, food, and cash, but once that runs out, we would be out of luck. And, if it gets to the point where mobs of people are roaming the streets, committing acts of violence, then even owning a gun might not be a sufficient defense.

In the end, I think the likelihood of this kind of scenario is pretty small and since there isn’t much that most of us can do if it occurs, there’s not much point in worrying about it.


407 posted on 12/07/2008 4:52:44 PM PST by steadfastconservative
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To: rfmad; backhoe

Everything you ever needed to know about Survival but didn’t know whom to ask, by backhoe:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/840488/posts


408 posted on 12/07/2008 10:50:02 PM PST by LucyT
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To: LucyT
Thank you, kindly...
409 posted on 12/08/2008 12:43:42 AM PST by backhoe (All across America, the Lights are going out...)
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To: rfmad
Better to be loaded for bear and up against a mouse than loaded for mouse and come up on a bear.

You must decide the balance between being prepared for business as usual and TSHTF.

As you consider what might not be available in the latter case, you will find more things and skills to add to your list.

Much will depend on where you are and what things are like you live.

Food, water, and the means (equipment and skill) to defend it, shelter including appropriate clothing for the climate, and mobility. Meds as needed, a really good first aid kit you assemble and the know-how to use it. All are the basics.

410 posted on 12/08/2008 4:45:10 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly.)
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To: steadfastconservative
Why would anyone think that the election of Barack Obama would lead to a complete breakdown of social order? I realize that his election is a bad thing but it isn’t so bad that we should all start running to hills.

No one is running, just getting ready for whatever comes down the pike. As for Obama, we'll see.

The same preparations used for one of those TSHTF moments, will tide you through most any natural disaster you survive.

411 posted on 12/08/2008 4:49:43 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly.)
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To: DugwayDuke
I knew a guy once who said the same thing about the ham and eggs C-rations.

Hunger is the best sauce.

412 posted on 12/08/2008 4:54:03 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly.)
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Comment #413 Removed by Moderator

To: rfmad

Why not? Because the government will not tolerate an Ants and the Grasshopper model where some have things stockpiled (including arms). Look at what happened to guns in New Orleans after Katrina.

They will seize all (food, cash, whatever).

Even FDR prohibited ownership of gold.

What makes the public think that the government wouldn’t do these things again to them? Especially given (but not exclusive to) the new President.


414 posted on 01/20/2009 2:08:14 PM PST by a fool in paradise
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To: steadfastconservative
Why would anyone think that the election of Barack Obama would lead to a complete breakdown of social order? I realize that his election is a bad thing but it isn’t so bad that we should all start running to hills.

Ummmm, the banking, stock market, and credit crisis happened BEFORE Obama. The question is: can he stop it? Kind of like trying to stop a speeding train - - from street level - - don't know if anyone can stop it...

415 posted on 01/20/2009 2:18:40 PM PST by GOPJ ("A consensus of 100 scientists is undone by one fact." - - Einstein (take that Al Gore))
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To: GregoryFul
My 401k is also in cash, but now I worry about the D’s proposals to seize 401k’s and fold it into SS. I’m near retirement, and would be quite disgusted should this happen.

If the D's try to steal our 401k's, there would be a revolution. Then again, all those seniors wouldn't make much of an army...

416 posted on 01/20/2009 2:40:24 PM PST by GOPJ ("A consensus of 100 scientists is undone by one fact." - - Einstein (take that Al Gore))
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To: TaxRelief
Then there is the problem of protecting your generator from people who don’t have a generator but do have guns.

Had a friend who used one a few years back after a hurricane - she woke up to "quiet" and ran outside to see that someone with snips had cut the chain holding her generator to the house. You don't need a gun - just someone who sleeps at night...

417 posted on 01/20/2009 2:45:52 PM PST by GOPJ ("A consensus of 100 scientists is undone by one fact." - - Einstein (take that Al Gore))
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To: GOPJ

Actually, the best way to stop the recession is for the government to do nothing. Recessions typically last from 1 to 2 year, the market will eventually improve on its own. Unfortunately, the government will just end up prolonging the recession by meddling in the economy. But even if the recession goes on for a while, that doesn’t mean that the social order will break down. Moreover, I stand by one of my previous posts in which I pointed out that most of us can’t “run to the hills.” Most of us live in metropolitan areas. We can’t run away. Of course, running away never solved anything any way.


418 posted on 01/21/2009 5:04:58 AM PST by steadfastconservative
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To: steadfastconservative
But even if the recession goes on for a while, that doesn’t mean that the social order will break down.

I agree with you and your basic points that much of this is unlikely to happen. To the extent that I have some concern about the current situation, however, is what happens if people begin to lose faith in the dollar? If we continue to print money as we have been, eventually people will lose faith in our currency. If that happens, all bets are off.

Not saying it will. Just saying that this is a concern that hasn't, in my mind, existed in previous recessions.

419 posted on 01/21/2009 5:38:43 AM PST by Publius Valerius
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To: GOPJ

And you can’t keep it inside, so I’m guessing lots of padlocks and chains are in order.


420 posted on 01/21/2009 1:12:43 PM PST by TaxRelief (Walmart: Keeping my family on-budget since 1993.)
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