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A Decisive but Not Overwhelming Victory for Barack Obama
U.S. News & World Report ^ | November 07, 2008 | Michael Barone

Posted on 11/10/2008 5:36:44 PM PST by Clintonfatigued

This was a decisive but not an overwhelming victory for Barack Obama and the Democrats. As I put it in the lead of my U.S. News column for next week, it was a victory that was overdetermined and underdelivered. Obama's apparent percentage margin (we're still waiting for a lot of returns) is 52 percent to 46 percent, slightly higher than Bush 43's score in 2004 and slightly higher than Bush 41's in 1988. He owes his impressive 364-to-174 margin in the Electoral College to narrow wins in Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, and Indiana; he nearly added 11 more in Missouri.

I haven't had time to comb through the election returns yet to make definitive conclusions. I hesitate to crunch a lot of numbers that will change when final returns are in, but here are a few observations.

(Excerpt) Read more at usnews.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bho2008
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1 posted on 11/10/2008 5:36:44 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
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To: Clintonfatigued

Something like 7 million difference between The O and McCain ...


2 posted on 11/10/2008 5:39:18 PM PST by SkyDancer ("I Believe In The Law Until It Interferes With Justice")
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To: Clintonfatigued

Plus or minus 200,000 votes in Ohio & Florida (each).

AKA the ballot numbers he needed to make. Note that the Republicans tried to nix 200,000 ACORN votes in Ohio, and to get the SoS POS to provide the counties with lists of registrants in order to verify legitimacy...to no avail.

The FIX was in. All over town.

Keep your powder dry.


3 posted on 11/10/2008 5:42:12 PM PST by combat_boots (From the Bush Derangement Syndrome(TM) to the 0bama Worship Cult in which NOTHING matters. USSKKKA)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Kuksool; Norman Bates; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

There are a lot of fascinating statistics in this report.

The most surprising- the Billy Ayers generation, who were so supportive of McGovern and leftists during their youth, gave McCain a stronger showing than the national average. Obama only won them by a narrow margin.

The under 30 vote was what many predicted.

The Greatest Generation voted for McCain, but not by an overwheling margin. And they’re a shrinking portion of the electorate.

Generation X split evenly, perhaps giving McCain a hairbreath margin.

____________________________________________________________

The income split was unusual. Obama won a majority among voteres making $200,000 a year or more. That’s the first time in memory they have voted for a Democrat.

____________________________________________________________

The one downside to this article is that I found no mention of how religious blocs voted. I have wondered how Catholic and Jewish voters voted.


4 posted on 11/10/2008 5:43:18 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: SkyDancer

“Something like 7 million difference between The O and McCain ...”

The last I checked, it was slightly over 8 million.


5 posted on 11/10/2008 5:44:34 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: SkyDancer

7 million or 70 million make no difference. Obama is the president never the less.


6 posted on 11/10/2008 5:45:11 PM PST by rudman
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To: Clintonfatigued
Previous FR post said that 78% of Jews voted for the gas chamber obamalamadingdong.
7 posted on 11/10/2008 5:45:38 PM PST by dynachrome (Obama yunikku khinaaziir)
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To: dynachrome; justiceseeker93; ExTexasRedhead

“Previous FR post said that 78% of Jews voted for...obamalamadingdong.”

I am skeptical of that figure, and so are others here. I think it was around 65% to 70%, which is close to how it broke in 2004.


8 posted on 11/10/2008 5:47:52 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: Clintonfatigued
Here is the problem Mr. Barone. Barack Obama is in so far above his pay grade that the Grand Canyon seems like a pot hole on Main Street in anywhere USA compared to the hole this empty suit finds himself looking up from.

Now comes the problem, The One has to make decisions. This charade won't last 4 years which is exactly why Rahm Emanuel, Bill Clinton's brother from another mother, is WH chief of staff. BO, don't let the door hit you in the ass on your way out.

9 posted on 11/10/2008 5:48:19 PM PST by hflynn ( The One is really The Number Two)
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To: Clintonfatigued

I saw an article on FR earlier. I think Catholic voters went 54% to Obama. This is better than Kerry did.

Jewish voters went overwhelmingly to Obama.


10 posted on 11/10/2008 5:49:06 PM PST by KansasGirl (Don't Blame Me, I Voted for Sarah!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

This analysis is overlooking the fact Obama is black. The margin is huge under that circumstance. The GOP lost states like Indiana and North Carolina, with terrible results in the young voters and Latinos groups. Unless the GOP can appeal to these growing groups it is past a tipping point and is in danger of becoming another Whig party.


11 posted on 11/10/2008 5:49:27 PM PST by Anti-Bubba182
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To: KansasGirl

Actually, Bush won a majority of the Catholic vote in 2004 and nearly won it in 2000.


12 posted on 11/10/2008 5:50:51 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

77% actually.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2126159/posts


13 posted on 11/10/2008 5:50:53 PM PST by dynachrome (Obama yunikku khinaaziir)
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To: dynachrome

The same exit polling said that Obama would win with about 56% of the popular vote. That turned out to be inaccurate.


14 posted on 11/10/2008 5:51:50 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: rudman; Clintonfatigued

True on both accounts but the difference in overall is very slight considering how many people voted (which from the MSM is less than 2004) - it was not a landslide. There are half the American voters (slight difference 7/8 million) who are against The Anointed One plus the rage at the MSM for their total bias against Palin/McCain ... soon they will weep and wail crying that they did not know him ... and we suffer ...


15 posted on 11/10/2008 5:55:37 PM PST by SkyDancer ("I Believe In The Law Until It Interferes With Justice")
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To: Clintonfatigued

Yes. Here is the article.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-religion/2129521/posts

Yesterday, according to the exit polls, between 53 and 54% of American Catholic voters cast their ballots for Barack Obama, despite the Democratic candidate’s enthusiastic support for unrestricted legal abortion.

Nationwide, Protestant voters supported John McCain, by a solid 54- 45% margin. But the Catholic vote broke for Obama. Why? ...

The support that Obama won among Catholic voters is noteworthy because in the last presidential contest, in 2004, President Bush won 52% of the Catholic vote while his opponent John Kerry— himself a Catholic!— managed only 46%.


16 posted on 11/10/2008 5:56:58 PM PST by KansasGirl (Don't Blame Me, I Voted for Sarah!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

As a reminder we all know what happened.

After supporting illegal’s and ‘fine gold’, and other dimwitted legislation there were too many conservatives that don’t trust McLame.

Those moves seemed like catering to the left for political gain.

We all knew this before he got the nod.

And most of us an FR knew he couldn’t win as a result.

Obama I think actually helped us more than a more moderate candidate but there was no way for conservatives to trust McLame again.

Boy were we ever RIGHT ABOUT THIS ONE.

Him jumping on the bailout reminded us why we didn’t like McLame in the first place. He is a ‘Big Government” Republican.


17 posted on 11/10/2008 5:57:03 PM PST by ChinaGotTheGoodsOnClinton (To those who believe the world was safer with Saddam, get treatment for that!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

Daddy I spent all my pocket money...

Can I have more ???

I can ???

Oh goody...


18 posted on 11/10/2008 5:58:55 PM PST by Tennessee Nana
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To: KansasGirl; Salvation

“But the Catholic vote broke for Obama. Why?”

I think because the Hispanic vote was heavily for Obama, by almost 2-to-1. White Catholics voted for McCain, though I have no idea what margin they delivered.


19 posted on 11/10/2008 5:59:49 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

btt


20 posted on 11/10/2008 6:00:28 PM PST by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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