Posted on 10/27/2008 5:42:05 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
One of the mysteries of this campaign year has been why John McCain keeps campaigning in Pennsylvania when the polls show him far behind Barack Obama there—51 percent to 41 percent in the RealClearPolitics.com average of recent polls as I write. A clue comes from the most recent poll there by SurveyUSA, which helpfully provides a regional breakdown of results. SurveyUSA, as it has consistently done, shows McCain running within the margin of error in the southwest (metro Pittsburgh and surroundings) and in the Northeast (Scranton and the anthracite country), which historically are very Democratic areas. Joe Biden's Scranton roots and the support of Scranton-based Bob Casey don't seem to be doing Obama much good there. McCain carries the west-central and south-central areas, as most Republicans do. But he is incredibly weak—behind Obama 64 percent to 32 percent in the southeast, which includes about 40 percent of the state's voters. Most of this area is metropolitan Philadelphia, which George W. Bush lost in 2004 by a 62 percent to 37 percent margin; the remainder is presumably Lehigh, Northampton, Berks, and Lancaster counties, where Bush ran better. The regional breakdown in the most recent Quinnipiac poll tells exactly the same story.
In other words, McCain is running even with or better than Bush in most of Pennsylvania but is running far behind in metro Philly.
(Excerpt) Read more at usnews.com ...
You're very imaginative, as always.
Hey Ma, your snot-nosed punk friend from the other day is running his yap again. :-)
ROFLOL!!! Mr. Doom and Gloomer himself!
My brother lives in Orlando and said the Puerto Ricans have been out working for McCain along with the Cubans. Castro endorsement had an impact in both communities according to people he works with at Lockheed-Martin.
That's because those are the real racist PA voters. The black vote.
Stupid “educated people” think Obama and the Socialists AKA Democrats will somehow “save” them from the justly deserved results of their bad financial decisions and immoral behavior in their personal “get rich quick” schemes.
But what do I know? I'm just a lower middle class single working mother who decided I could really not afford to buy and maintain property on my current salaried income.
I also drive an old vehicle I paid for in cash.
I don't have any credit card debt.
I don't qualify for “government assistance”.
I pay taxes.I don't have any choice, since all my income comes from earned wages, and taxes are confiscated from me by order of the Feds, before I can even deposit my paycheck.
Do I “need” a government bailout?
ROTFLMAO!
Does anyone?
“Was Barone talking about Philly itself, or the Philadelphia metropolitan area (including suburban Delaware, Chester, and Bucks Counties)?”
The latter. Hence his 40% estimate is accurate.
I’ve never been to California, but Philth-adelphia very well could be more liberal AND more corrupt than LA.
“Are the Philly suburbs a good incubator for the Bradley Effect?”
Yes, and also for the Shy Tory effect. Who wants to admit opposing the anointed one, and risk this happening?:
http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/2008/10/26/obama-followers-vandalize-homes-in-gainesville/#more-7154
I’m cautiously optimistic that we will carry Pennsylvania, and with it the White House.
Yes. :-(
You need to read more carefully before slinging insults.
The Messiah graced Pittsburgh today with an appearance at Mellon Arena (locally known as the Igloo--the NHL Pittsburgh Penguins play there). The Igloo holds 17k plus SRO. From another thread here...and from one of my son's friends (the kid got to miss school for this 'historic visit') there were empty seats. The Pittsburgh Tribune Review puts the crowd at 15k (mostly college students; and (no surprise here) alot of elderly Blacks (the Mellon Arena is located in the lower Hill District--a predominantly black neighborhood.) In the 'report' to my son about his day off school (actually he was calling about homework) I found that there were really quick moving lines "NOT AS BAD AS WAITING FOR THE GATES TO OPEN FOR THE PENGUINS." I report this as anecdotal...and there was no profound impact on the evening rush hour and no apparent parking issues. So alot of these 'supporters' were bussed in or took public transportation. Apparently, this was a non-event event.
Now as to Michael Barrone. Well I can't argue with his knowledge, experience, etc. But I 'knew' that Hillary was going to win PA...and the polls, naysayers said it would be close...0bama was going to pull it out. Yet everyone I knew was so pro-Clinton. And Clinton won by nearly 10 points. Remember, it was a 'stunning' defeat. Now it is the same vibe w/McCain. His signs are everywhere. People in my neighborhood who have never posted a sign before have his signs. Priests have been using their Homilies to re-enforce the Church's position on the sanctity of life (no candidates mentioned...just a prolife theme.) I can't argue numbers...but there is just a ground swell that is noticible.
He has to do it.The support from the Americans of Cuban heritage carries alot and I mean alot of weight.Fine conservative people.
” My mom lives in Maryland. In the last governor election, the state threw out a popular Republican governor and elected a Baltimore City democrat.”
It sounds like the voters are experiencing buyers’ remorse. This could make Bob Erlich a U.S. Senator-elect in 2010.
Calling Republicans in the Phialdelphia suburbs for the 2004 election revealed intense loathing of President Bush. The situation we see now is not unexpected, and pre-dates the mortgage crisis, although a better campaign by Sen. McCain could have overcome the problems.
Quote: “He says that Philly AND the surrounding counties, which used to be Republican, account for 40% of the vote. Those counties around Philly are going to vote Democrat and against their own best interests because they are angry and taking it out on the Republicans because their house values and their 401K’s have lost a lot of $.”
Amazing isn’t it, the voters are saying, “we are as mad as hell and were going to shoot ourselves in the heads rather than take take it anymore.”
Wow, where did you get that map of the American Catholic population (posting #110)?
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