Posted on 10/26/2008 10:50:23 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows Obama leading by seven percentage points—51% to 44%. Not surprisingly, Obama also has a seven-point advantage on the question of which candidate is trusted more on the economy. Economic issues are the most important of Election 2008, both in Wisconsin and throughout the nation.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
It’s happening slowly, but it’s happening. We still have a shot.
Rasmussen is a piece of trash this election cycle. He claims Barry is leading McCain by 8 points nationally with a +8 sample of Dems!
Here’s what we saw from the primaries:
Rasmussen: Obama +7.0
Result: Clinton +2.6
He was almost 10 points off!
When one factors in Rasmussen’s heavy oversampling (compared to historical norms) WI is very much in play.
That poll I quote was for New Hampshire BTW
In the end, the only problem I'd point out is that they still voted for the democrat.
What was the previous margin?
These polls are nuts. It’s like 2004 all over again.
Well it was the Democrat primary. The one constant is that Obama seems to overpoll quite dramatically.
If DEMOCRATS rejected him primary after primary, what makes you think independents will embrace him?
And let’s be clear: We are not going to have 8% more Democrats vote. Unless there’s an extreme case of voter fraud.
Lots of McCain/Palin signs in Wisconsin.
Of course, Madison and central Milwaukee are Obama territory. Think it will be closer than 7.
Pray for isolated blizzards in Madison and Milwaukee.
Given Rasmussen's 2008 party ID weighting, if we have a 2004 type turnout, then it's a dead-heat.
We won’t win Wisconsin but we should be competitive and lose only by 2 or 3 points.
This poll is pure leftist propaganda.
Internals for this poll are as follows:
40 percent democrats
32 percent republicans
28 percent independents
Skewed far left and there is nothing indicating the percent of black democrats polled.
But with all of this O only is up 7.2
Truth is if this was accurate McCain is up.
SO LET ME SEE IF I GET THIS RIGHT SCOOTER, McCAIN IS DOWN 8 NATIONALLY , BUT DOWN 7 IN A BLUE STATE IS THAT THE GIST THERE SCOOTER ???? RIGHT??????????????
What is the ratio of Republicans to Democrats in Wisconsin?
The funny thing is — Ras is using those exact percentages for national polling!
Not if we waste time in states where we don't have a shot at the expense of states where we do. McCain should concentrate on Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and Florida. If he takes those then he should win.
Rasmussen over-samples Rats, and seems to be in Obama’s pocket.
Some people claim that Scott is a Christian, but actions speak louder than words.
Sorry my bad. The numbers I posted are the national numbers.
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