Posted on 10/24/2008 9:35:15 AM PDT by Chet 99
Ohio: McCain/Palin 48%, Obama/Biden 45%; Florida: McCain/Palin 48%, Obama/Biden 46%
Below are the poll results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted October 20-22, 2008. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Below are the results of a three-day poll of likely voters in the state of Ohio. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Ohio, aged 18+, and conducted October 20-22, 2008 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
Low. McCain’s probably up more in OH. After the Bradley effect, OH could be a very, very big gap.
Big sample sizes!
Rasmussen today has McCain up by 2 points in North Carolina (50-48). Wow.
potentially good news, need to see internals, as I have found them generally a little more favorable to Republicans.
Encouraging. What about PA, CO, VA?
potentially good news, need to see internals, as I have found them generally a little more favorable to Republicans.
Racist polls.
These are important developments. OH, FL and NC are coming back into the fold. The remaining states are CO, NV and VA.
<Palin and her running mate are coming Des Moines, Iowa this weekend. They seem to think that IA is still in play.
In his daily email today, he hid the presidential national tracking results in a clickable link. Was odd. I wonder if people are starting to notice how a 7 point lead nationally couldn’t possibly translate into the tightness of the race in the battleground states.
Of course if you oversample Dems by 7 percentage points, well...
Given the way the polls are conducted, it would appear Ohio and FL are likely McCain.
That leaves the question about whether VA and CO are really trending BO or not, and whether McCain might steal PA.
Seems the election will come down to those 3 states. Iowa, NM and NH are likely gone to BO...so BO only has to flip CO OR VA...he doesn’t need both.
I still find it VERY difficult to believe that Ohio and FL would go McCain, but VA wouldn’t. I don’t know what to make of Colorado.
I feel like PA SHOULD trend to McCain given the incredible comments Obama and Murtha have made...but still...
If I were forced to make bets at this point, I would bet that McCain wins FL and OH relatively handily, BO takes NM, Iowa and NH relatively handily. McCain wins VA in a squeaker and Obama wins PA in a squeaker.
That will leave the entire fate of the country waiting on Colorado (if my electoral math memory is holding).
What I find interesting is that the McCain can campaign in many more states simultaneously than Obama-Biden.
McCain can draw a crowd now.
Palin can draw HUGE crowds on par or better than Obama.
Todd Palin is drawing people.
Cindy McCain can also draw a few people.
In comparison, the only draw on the Obama side is Obama. No one wants to hear Biden. Michelle Ma Belle is in solitary, and no one knows who Biden’s wife is.
We can hit many more states simultaneously than Obama can. It’s great.
Guess these were missed the other 4 times they were posted since last night.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2114216/posts
bmflr
Wonder what kind of crowd Sarah will get in Springfield, Missouri today.
That’s good news! So WTH is Fox News telling me that BO is ahead by double digits in Ohio now? What’s going on with Fox News lately? It seems they are turning into CNN.
Still showing O in PA but Palin is spending a lot of time there.
If Mac is ahead in OH, he is ahead in VA. As, I said weeks ago that THE KEY to this election was CO. Unless Palin can drag PA into her column, it looks like CO will decide the election. If Mac wins PA and loses VA and CO, Obama will lose.
Murtha will give McCain PA.
There is one or two media polls with 0 up big in Ohio. Fox is cherry picking the polls where Obama has the biggest lead is reporting them.
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