Posted on 10/07/2008 10:06:57 PM PDT by Chet 99
Released: October 08, 2008
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll:
Obama 47%, McCain 45%
The telephone tracking poll shows neither candidate with a clear advantage in the national horserace
UTICA, New York - The race for President of the United States remains far too close to call between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain as both candidates head toward the finish line, a recent Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone polls shows.
The survey, including a three-day sample of 1,220 likely voters collected over the previous three days - approximately 400 per day from Oct. 5-7, 2008 - shows that Obama holds a slight advantage amounting to 1.9 percentage points over McCain. This represents a bit of a recovery by McCain, who had been sliding in some polls before his running mate, Sarah Palin, put in a strong performance in her one and only debate performance last Thursday.
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Three Day Tracking Poll |
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10-7 |
10-6 |
|
|
Obama |
47.1% |
47.7%
|
|
McCain |
45.2%
|
45.3% |
|
|
Others/Not sure
|
7.7% |
7.0% |
|
|
|
The Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll, was conducted before Tuesday's Obama-McCain debate. It was performed by live telephone operators in Zogby's in-house call center in Upstate New York, included a total of 1,220 likely voters nationwide, and carries a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.
Candidates Doing Well Among Their Own Party Members
The two candidates are doing well at attracting support from their own partisans - Obama is winning 84% of the Democratic Party support and McCain is winning 85% of the Republican Party support - but Obama has the edge among independent voters. He leads McCain among independents, 48 to 39%.
Obama wins support from a slightly higher percentage of conservative voters than McCain is winning from liberal voters, but the advantage is small.
Daily Tracking Continues
This daily tracking telephone poll will continue each day until the Nov. 4 election, keeping in touch with the daily twists and turns in the race for the White House. The running poll of about 1,200 likely voters consists of three days of polling - about 400 from each of the last three days. With each new day of polling that is folded into the poll, the oldest third of the survey is replaced with the fresh data, so the poll "tracks" movements and events in the campaigns. Keep up to date every day by visiting www.zogby.com.
For a complete methodological statement on this survey, please visit:
http://www.zogby.com/methodology/readmeth.dbm?ID=1341 (10/8/2008)
KEEP SMILING FREEPERS...THIS ELECTION IS NOT ABOUT MCCAIN
THIS ELECTION IS TO BEAT OBAMA. SARAH IS OUR MOUTH PIECE SHE WILL DO SOME DAMAGE.. WE JUST NEED TO HANG IN THERE
BEAT OBAMA!!!
Movement is heading in the right direction. I don’t think this debate will change any minds TONIGHT.
But there were lots of socialist slip ups from Obama that can be exploited. Fining people for not having insurance is something the American people do not want to hear. McCain was smart in bringing it up.
Of course, Americans also don’t want to hear that we are going to bail out people to the tune of 300 Billion. *sigh*.
Thank you Governor Palin. This may be one of those rare instances in presidential history where the VP might carry the presidential candidate over the top.
“Obama wins support from a slightly higher percentage of conservative voters than McCain is winning from liberal voters, but the advantage is small. “
Some conservatives need an emergency check-up at Bellvue Mental Institute.
Somethings going on. Zogby has tightened up considerably in the last fortnight [post-Sarah/Biden and post-Ayers].
It’ll be interesting to see if anything comes out of tonight.
Free lunches and all those healthcare rights! Bwahahahaaaaa!
Very interesting! I like the movemenet - hope some of the other polls start to show it, too!
I read Rush transcript. He says CBS and Zogby MIGHT be setting us up for end of the week numbers favoring Obama, and say he got a bump from the debate.
But, as for polls generally, it has been confusing. Cbs, Zogby and Hotline, typically left wing have it close—and Ras has it at 8. Can’t figure it out.
www.wegotsarah.com
Fight on, Freepers!
Are we really going to let a hostile black racist and his communist thugs take over our Republic???
Well, are we?????
I would like to know who are these people that change their mind after every news cycle? It is hard to believe the electorate is really that volatile.
NOT ME!
Juan Williams says the Bradley race factor is 5%. In other words, BO will get 5% less than believed because of his race.
Also, BO may have hit his peak. Three weeks from now the pendualum of events will swing back (as it always does) and McCain will have unwittingly timed this well.
McCain is a survivor and tough SOB. He still has a good chance.
Remember Hugh Hewitt’s book in 2004:
“If it isn’t close, they can’t cheat”.
Same applies now, for the sake of the country it mustn’t be a squeaker this time.
Hmmm... Now shave off a few points for the over-sampled Democrats, a few more for the Bradley Effect, and it’s a real horse race.
Yeh. That drives me crazy too-
What the heck is the “Bradley effect?”
That’s not so bad. Keep fighting.
“Are we really going to let a hostile black racist and his communist thugs take over our Republic???
Well, are we?????”
Hell no.
Some of the defeatist here should be ashamed. ASHAMED.
And I am trying to motivate those around me to DO SOMETHING to make sure it does not happen. So many just sit there and passively think they can be bystanders and somehow that helps.
Do something!
Whatever they can.
Money, time, talk to friends and family, volunteer.
DO IT.
Free Republic is not a forum.
It’s a fort with ammo!
Take what you learn here, out there.
Videos posted here and emailed are very powerful, post them on other forums where politics is discussed.
WE CAN WIN
They want you to give up and just let the socialist oh-BOMB-ah go off.
Fight them.
And we *will* win.
It’s also sometimes called the Wilder Effect. It describes over-performance by Black candidates in surveys. This happens because White liberals are frightened to tell a pollster that they aren’t voting for “the Black guy”. So they lie to the pollster so that no one thinks that they’re racists. It’s named for Tom Bradley and Douglas Wilder. Both men went into elections projected to win, based on polling, but ended up losing by a few points.
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