Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

BattleGround Poll M 48 O 46 (let the PollerCoaster for Monday begin!)
battleground polling ^ | Sept | 29| 08 | housedeep

Posted on 09/29/2008 6:22:16 AM PDT by housedeep

Battle Ground shows McCain steady at 48%!

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-97 next last
To: housedeep

WooHoo, don’t need my Prozac today. /sarc


21 posted on 09/29/2008 6:32:31 AM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: housedeep

One thing is for certain.

Battleground, Rass, and Gallup are all reputable pollsters. Yet, right now, there is a 6-8 point spread between them.

Someone is way out on a limb here. On the face of it, it seems like Battleground. It is truly by itself. But I am praying that Battleground is the only one that is correct!


22 posted on 09/29/2008 6:33:05 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: housedeep

Anyone who thinks this election is in the bag for Obama might be flying a little too close to the deck.

Remember way, way back last Fall, the election was going to be all about Iraq and the experts in the MSM had proclaimed Hillary and Giuliani as the candidates. Nobody was talking Fannnie & Freddie.

This pollercoaster ride is far from over. Please keep your hands and feet inside the vehicle at all times. ;-)


23 posted on 09/29/2008 6:33:35 AM PDT by 6SJ7 (Welcome PUMAs!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TitansAFC

It depends on where Obama’s additional support is coming from. The game for McCain is to win Florida, Ohio, Virginia and hold to all the other major Bush states. Nothing has changed there. He seems to have fallen behind in Colorado and that could be the ball game, but the local papers say it’s still close.

The economic meltdown clobbered McCain and I think he did the right thing suspending his campaign until it is sorted out, because it started to become the law of diminishing returns out there. The suspension had better end soon. Once he puts his mind back on the campaign, things will pick up, and really you are only talking about a dozen battleground states.


24 posted on 09/29/2008 6:33:35 AM PDT by idov
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: housedeep

DAMMIT! This is still a CLOSE ELECTION!

We’ve got to close ranks and stay focused to END THIS IN VICTORY!

DAMMIT! Let’s stop the hand-wringing and ‘defeatist’ statements - RIGHT NOW!!!!

If you WANT ZERO to win this election - then DECLARE IT OVER FOR MCCAIN NOW!

If you WANT ZERO to lose this election - then STOP NEGATIVITY on MCCAIN/PALIN NOW!

Regardless of whatever happens in DC - WE HAVE GOT TO STOP ZERO and his band of thieves from winning NOV 4th!


25 posted on 09/29/2008 6:33:52 AM PDT by LibFreeUSA (..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DRey

M48% to o 46%. Mccain is ahead, not behind


26 posted on 09/29/2008 6:35:06 AM PDT by johncocktoasten (Obama/Biden '08, in and of itself, A Bridge To Nowhere)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: LibFreeUSA

Rass has it 50-45, McCain up 1 from Yesterday.


27 posted on 09/29/2008 6:35:17 AM PDT by Paul8148
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: DRey

Try reading the poll again. McCain is ahead.


28 posted on 09/29/2008 6:35:30 AM PDT by B Knotts (Calvin Coolidge Republican)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: DRey
McCain is losing this fight

Perhaps, if he took the gloves off and STARTED to fight we might be in a better position.

29 posted on 09/29/2008 6:36:13 AM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Sooth2222
Well, looking at this poll -- of all the tracking polls, Battleground is the *only one* that seems to drop Friday and Saturday polling as meaningless.

So if they're cooking it, I like their cooking better than Gallup's cooking and Rasmussen's cooking.

Being bipartisan, instead of "independent," I am much more willing to believe that Battleground is being intellectually honest more so than the others. But, I can't help but notice Battleground is the outlier.

30 posted on 09/29/2008 6:36:19 AM PDT by The_Victor (If all I want is a warm feeling, I should just wet my pants.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: DRey

I think you got you numbers mixed up son McCain is winning according to my gut and this poll.

M stands for Mother

O stand for the oil in my hair.


31 posted on 09/29/2008 6:36:20 AM PDT by Porterville (Im no economist- getting a PHD in economics wasn't economical... it didn' make cents.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: TonyInOhio

it is the only poll that is using historical measures of actual turnout for determining it’s Dem to GOP mix.”

Of course, we don’t know if past performance will be the same this time....the D’s sure are investing a lot in their “ground game” and they swear up and down they they have registered millions and will get them out....who knows?


32 posted on 09/29/2008 6:37:06 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Porterville
"I think you got you numbers mixed up son"

Maybe so. But call me "daughter," papa.
33 posted on 09/29/2008 6:37:57 AM PDT by DRey
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeDude
Battleground, Rass, and Gallup are all reputable pollsters. Yet, right now, there is a 6-8 point spread between them. Someone is way out on a limb here.

Actually, I think the Battleground Poll is the only one that is using the correct mix of Dem/GOP party affiliation. See my post:

Party ID: The Case for Weights and Historical Margins (Current polls all oversampling Dems)

34 posted on 09/29/2008 6:37:59 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (This is no time to go wobbly.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Paul8148

ill take that ras number today!
slow and steady tightening of that poll i think this week.

so glad the “economic meltdown” (lol) happened in sept instead of oct.


35 posted on 09/29/2008 6:38:22 AM PDT by housedeep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: The_Victor

JMO, and please don’t tell me my head is in the sand :), but I believe it has a lot to do with the majority using cell phones.

I say that, because in my immediate family, I’m the only one who uses a house phone. And if I didn’t have to have DSL for my work, I wouldn’t have any use for a house phone myself. We have had one polster call, and I was told they had all the women they needed and would like to speak to a man.

I truly believe this is the crux of the weird polls. It was a factor in past elections, but not as much as this one.


36 posted on 09/29/2008 6:38:51 AM PDT by Heart of Georgia (McCain/Palin '08)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: housedeep

PollerCoaster - LOL. Says it all.


37 posted on 09/29/2008 6:39:16 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Thickman
Well, I imagine it's based on final numbers.

However, Battleground shows less wild swings; and I think its methodology (as has been proven) gets a much better snapshot/cross-section of where voters actually stand at a given point in time.

Gallup shows as much as 12-20 point swings, which I find a fantasy - and we all see the breakdowns in Party ID in the media-sponsored polls.

Rasmussen used to worry me, but he has so oversampled Democrats that he didn't even show a convention bounce for McCain - until he adjusted for more Republicans to show that bounce, having seen his folly - then went right back to oversampling Democrats.

Rasmussen has a 6% Dem edge in turnout - in 2004 it was 47/47. The most it has EVER swung in one election was 4 points. In 2006 - a Dem landslide year - the Party turnout margin was Dems +3%.

If we readjust most of the polls - even many of the “RV” and “Adults” polls - for a more reason able 1-4% Dem edge instead of the gap they use, you get a statistical tie with a sometimes very slight, statistically insignificant edge for Obama.

It is more a dead heat right now that some of the polls show. Battleground, history's most accurate pollster - period - shows the same.

38 posted on 09/29/2008 6:40:55 AM PDT by TitansAFC (In 2008, please vote GOP and show us that you love your country more than you hate John McCain)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: TonyInOhio

Yes, I have read that. They are correct using history as a guide.

The question is whether history is a guide here.


39 posted on 09/29/2008 6:40:55 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: johncocktoasten
M48% to o 46%. Mccain is ahead, not behind

Plus this includes Sunday -- and Obama grabbing the "credit" for the Wall Street bailout.

I have some degree of skepticism about the computer tracking polls in this cycle. Is it easier to lie to a computer or to a live pollster? Not to blow off the Rasmussen results -- I'm just curious.

40 posted on 09/29/2008 6:41:09 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-97 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson