[TonyInOhio]

Battleground, Rass, and Gallup are all reputable pollsters. Yet, right now, there is a 6-8 point spread between them. Someone is way out on a limb here.

Actually, I think the Battleground Poll is the only one that is using the correct mix of Dem/GOP party affiliation. See my post:

Party ID: The Case for Weights and Historical Margins (Current polls all oversampling Dems)

[ConservativeDude]

Yes, I have read that. They are correct using history as a guide.

The question is whether history is a guide here.

[1035rep]

Either way the boost in the National polls for Obama did not translate to EV’s.

Take a look at Rasmussen who shows Obama in the lead with the National poll. The electoral votes are still 255-Obama 227-McCain (Leaners included) There are 108 toss ups, 6 states. 5 of those states were red. The 6th state New Hampshire was blue, and McCain is currently ahead 49-47.

The National polls went up and down but the electoral votes did not.