Posted on 09/29/2008 6:22:16 AM PDT by housedeep
Battle Ground shows McCain steady at 48%!
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
That’s good news. For what it’s worth.
So which of the polling orgs is cooking the numbers?
PollerCoaster. Very good.
Cannot be... I refuse to believe this poll. McCain has to be at least 10 points down maybe more according to every poll out there. WE are done, its the end of the world, I am going to stock up on food and guns and ammo.”sarc off”
Just wanted to get everyone’s feelings out there at the beg of the day which I have been seein the last few days :)
If you don’t know which way you’re going to vote by now, you’re much too stupid to vote and you should be forced to stay home.
Story on Drudge says Obama camp thinks they will win in LANDSLIDE.
Battleground has McCain up 2%
Here is Battleground’s impressive record:
1992 ** // 1996 **
Projected - Actual // Projected - Actual
37% - Bush - 37.45% // 49%- Clinton - 49.23%
43% - Clinton - 43.01% // 40% - Dole - 40.72%
19% - Perot - 18.91% // 9% - Perot - 8.40%
1% - Other - .64% // 2% - Other - 1.65%
2000 *** // 2004
Projected - Actual // Projected - Actual
49% - Bush - 47.87% // 51.2% - Bush - 51.1%
47% - Gore - 48.38% // 47.8% - Kerry - 47.9%
3% - Nader - 2.73% // .5% - Nader - .34%
1% - Other - .58% // .5% - Other - .58%
The stability of this poll is remarkable compared to all of the others. It’s an outlier, however, as noted above, it’s has a solid history.
The stability of this poll is remarkable compared to all of the others. It’s an outlier, however, as noted above, it’s has a solid history.
The stability of this poll is remarkable compared to all of the others. It’s an outlier, however, as noted above, it’s has a solid history.
So if they're cooking it, I like their cooking better than Gallup's cooking and Rasmussen's cooking.
Here's a post I did based on a Pollster.com article that those riding the Pollercoaster should ready:
Party ID: The Case for Weights and Historical Margins (Current polls all oversampling Dems)
Saw that and was going to post that.
Think overconfidence on their part is good for us. Kinda reminds me of 2004 when the exit polls were winning for Kerry and then Bush won.
Couple of things in their favor is the GOTV efforts but think they are missing the enthusiasm factor on our side especially with the Palin pick.
Are these the final figures released right before the elections or from a similar time frame as the current race?
bttt
This is NOT good. Battleground always polls high for McCain. Isn’t this the first one showing him behind? This thing is real. McCain is losing this fight.
I was 22 when Reagan was elected the first tiume in 1980 and I was a BIG Reagan supporter. My dad and I had some real knock down drag out brawls over politics back then. I thought it was sad to watch him try and defend the colossal failure that the Jimmy Carter Presidency. By 1984 he was grudgingly adimiring of Ronald Reagan and never spoke against him...he never said so but I know he voted for Reagan in 1984.
This is encouraging news though it does go against some of the other polls. I think one of our esteemed fellow FR members though said the internals show Battleground over samples older folks, and does not include enough younger voters. If this is the case it could skew the results in favor of McCain. Don’t know why they would want to do this though as they have a good reputation as a bipartisan, non biased outfit. I just hope they are right.
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