Posted on 09/24/2008 9:15:52 AM PDT by BigEdLB
Bill McInturff, John McCain's lead pollster, called today's ABC News/Washington Post national poll (showing Barack Obama +9) an "unusual outlier" and chalked it up to a Democratic party identification margin that was higher than normal.
"I don't think these results are at all indicative of what's happening in the campaign," McInturff told reporters on a morning conference call. "Where I think this race is: It's a margin of error race nationally and it's a margin of error race in most of the most competitive states."
Although he praised the ABC News and Washington Post polling teams, McInturff said this poll and an L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll released in June showing Obama leading by 12 points are the only two occasions he's asked the McCain campaign to allow him to address the press. He noted that Democrats held a 16-point party ID advantage over Republicans in this poll, while, he said, most other pollsters are finding the margin between 4 and 9 points. "The L.A. Times poll was very unusual and this poll is very unusual," he said.
McInturff said the race is within the margin of error because of recent national polling and polls released in 12 of the most competitive states, which he identified as: CO, FL, MI, MN, MO, NV, NH, NC, OH, PA, VA, WI. Using (ahem) RealClearPolitics, McInturff said he looked at poll results from the weeks of Sept. 6-12, Sept. 13-19 and Sept. 20-23, and found the race nationally and in those states to be within a point in all three weeks.
(Excerpt) Read more at time-blog.com ...
the Internals are dubious.
Who best would handle International affairs?
Date._________Obama___McCain
9/22/08__RV_____48_____46
9/7/08___RV_____39_____51
F R A U D!
BTTT!
This is a poll for the people. Obama’s people.
Power to the people...power punch to the people.

ABC's Ms. Ashwari-Jennings: "We, at ABC, do not trust McCain or any patriotic American."
Any poll which doesn’t post the weighting is a fraud. Any poll at this stage which uses ‘adults’ or ‘registered voters’ is also an attempt at public opinion fraud.
I don’t buy that Obama has 52% of anything in this country other than suspicion by the populus.
Where are all the state polls showing Obama is winning back those blue states like MI, WI, MN, PA?
I’m beyond deeply suspicious. Even though talking about Wall Street and economic ‘bailouts’ is going to be a boon for liberals and Bush-hating voters I don’t believe Obama suddenly broke 50% for the first time ever.
No duh it’s a fraud, it has Obama winning on the issue of Iraq. YEA SURE.
What you said - it’s not an outlier, it’s an outliar, a fraud.
RCP shouldn’t even add this poll into its averages, if you ask me. The left’s bogus machines can’t do anything that doesn’t spell fraud.
901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:
Democrat Republican Independent Other No op.
9/22/08 RV 38 28 29 5 1
Full Poll Data
"Just because they rigged their poll to cast our opponent in a more favorable light, we still love them and think they're great."
Ugg.
Along with all our footwork we need to pray through out the day for God to stop the evil schemes and candidate in this election.
A few things about this poll, which makes it total BS:
1. Party ID was 38D, 28R, 34I. When the Is were asked to express a preference, the breakdown was D54, R38. In no Presidential election since 1988 has the spread between Ds and Rs ever been more than 4 points. In the 2006 election, which was great for the Democrats, the spread was only 3 points.
2. The poll assumed that 88 percent of registered voters were also likely voters. In 2004, the highest turnout election ever, the turnout rate was 62%. It is well known that the likely voter poll is more Republican than the registered voter poll (in 2004, the difference was 4 percent in Gallup’s poll).
3. Not even the Obama campaign is buying this poll. See http://media.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZTFjMmMyMTdkZGQyMjFmNTE5NGE3MjRlNTJkNDk0YTE=.
In short, this is the kind of poll you get when you oversample Democrats and assume that more of them will actually vote than what has ever happened in any election ever before. It is an Obama wet dream, not a real poll.
0bama is evil. Just look at where his money came from. He was in bed with every slum lord in Chicago, not just Rezko.
The poll also intentionally interviewed about 160 extra black people to get its numbers, which is obvious manipulation.
I’ll tell you something, as a Coloradoan, if McCain doesn’t let Palin start talking to the media at every opportunity he is going to lose CO. She is the one who is going to turn CO red and you don’t hear a peep out of her on TV or the radio (Rush anyone?). Big mistake!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.