The Gatekeeper of the Pa. list!
Posted on 09/23/2008 7:28:41 AM PDT by impeachedrapist
...[g]eneric ballots between Republicans and Democrats show a dead heat, Gleason said, "and that's caused Democrats to be very nervous about their congressional seats."
The chairman, joined by congressional candidate Craig Williams for the state's 7th Congressional District, spoke to reporters on a conference call hours before Democratic vice presidential nominee Joe Biden campaigned in the Philadelphia suburbs.
The GOP appears to have its best shot at winning back seats in northeastern Pennsylvania, where Republicans Lou Barletta and Chris Hackett are in tight races with their opponents. Barletta is locked in a heated battle with longtime incumbent U.S. Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-Nanticoke) in the 11th Congressional District, and Hackett is facing first-term U.S. Rep. Chris Carney (D-Dimock) in the conservative 10th Congressional District.
Republican chances outside of NEPA appear less positive. An internal poll released by Melissa Hart's campaign showed her down five points to U.S. Rep. Jason Altmire (D-McCandless), a rematch of their 2006 battle when Altmire unseated her.
Gleason also pointed to Williams' race against U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak (D-Edgmont) as a potential Republican victory.
(Excerpt) Read more at politickerpa.com ...
Another is KS-2, Jim Ryun’s old seat, now held by Nancy Boyda. Lynn Jenkins, supposedly more conservative than Ryun and playing the outsider card, upset Ryun during the August primary. FEC fundraising is from mid July, so I doubt it accurately reflects the race now. But at the time the freshman Dem incumbent had $891K cash on hand, with $287K in debt. Lynn Jenkins had $489K on hand, with $101K in debt. Lynn certainly seems to be in a competitive position for a district that delivered 59% to President Bush in 2004.
Maybe you could compile a list of all these candidates across the country and make it a seperate thread, if you have the time? I'm sure many would like to contribute.
That’s what I’m somewhat attempting to do with this thread.
I meant from across the country since you added the Californian. I thought this thread, was from across PA. If not, my bad. : )
Obama: 50%
McCain: 46%
However, the respondents were +14 for Dems. (53-39, with 8% Indies). That is WAY oversampling Dems, based on the previous two Presidential elections in PA.
53% Libs? Perhaps they were allowing for the 125% voter turnout in Philly?
1933! Geez, JimRob’s been around longer than i thought. :)
Here, according to most who follow this stuff, are the two most vulnerable Dems, both of whom can thank "scandals" for their victories in 2006:
TX-22, Delay's old seat. Nick Lampson won it two years ago with 52% of the vote. However, he was running against a write-in candidate. This district gave Pres. Bush 64% in '04. The Dem freshman had almost $1.2M in the bank on 30 June. His GOP opponent (there are also Independent and Libertarian opponents) is Pete Olson, a Naval aviator and Sen. Cornyn's former chief of staff. Pete also did work with Phil Gramm. Pete had very little money in the bank in late June, but I don't think that will be a problem given his connections and this district's GOP leanings.
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FL-16, Mark Foley's old seat, went 54% for Bush in 2004. Freshman Dem incumbent Tim Mahoney had just over $1 million banked on 6 Aug. His GOP opponent is Tom Rooney, an Army veteran and nephew of Pittsburgh Steeler's owner Dan Rooney. Tom had about $200K on hand on 6 Aug.
Maybe if I had inserted the word "sex" into the headline...
A little ping life support for your thread. ;)
With the addition of Governor Palin (we should call her Governor Palin, as the left wants to downplay her experience as governor and the fact that she is a governor), McCain now has a REAL chance. As most of us understand, the election is going to be close. We must make sure the advantage is on our side and your thread and the suggestions there in, are important to that endeavor.
BTW, I met a real live Hillary supporter at McCain's PA Media rally who is currently leaning toward McCain. They are REAL, they are out there and they are many.
And another worthy bump. I will bump it before I head out and again later this evening.
And the GATEKEEPER is...? : )
The dems have good challenges in MI7 which stretches from Ann Arbor's suburbs to Battle Creek, which is my district and MI9 in Oakland County. We should hang on there. Palin will help immensely in MI7 and McCain should do well himself in MI9.
The Gatekeeper of the Pa. list!
They didn’t mention that Dem-dope in Bucks County, Patrick Murphy. He is a very beatable first termer.
I heard Craig Williams speak at the McCain/Palin rally in Media yesterday. He sounded great (he was born and raised in Alaska). Think he may have a shot at Sestak but, it will be a tough fight.
Heard some discouraging news from a Republican official though. He said that piece of crap Murtha is going to be really hard. UGH!!
LA-6 is another GOP pick-up opportunity. This is one of the 2008 special elections the Dems won, mostly because Woody Jenkins was the Pubbie. He is now out, so Bill Cassidy will be facing very freshman incumbent Dem Don Cazayoux (who definitely gets points for a Cajun name!). This district went 59% for Bush in 2004. Cazayouz has an additional problem. A black Dem named Michael Jackson (yes, I'm serious) is now running as an independent. The FEC numbers only go up to April for Cazayoux, where he only has $5K in the bank. I doubt that's close to accurate. As of mid August Cassidy had over $300K on hand.
No kidding.
That comment was not needed.
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