[Darren McCarty]

MI1 is a tough district, but winnable. Bush won the district twice, but it is locally democrat. The GOP has its first real winnable candidate there in a long time.

The dems have good challenges in MI7 which stretches from Ann Arbor's suburbs to Battle Creek, which is my district and MI9 in Oakland County. We should hang on there. Palin will help immensely in MI7 and McCain should do well himself in MI9.

[impeachedrapist]

Please feel free to plug in names or other data to go along with the MI-1 race.

LA-6 is another GOP pick-up opportunity. This is one of the 2008 special elections the Dems won, mostly because Woody Jenkins was the Pubbie. He is now out, so Bill Cassidy will be facing very freshman incumbent Dem Don Cazayoux (who definitely gets points for a Cajun name!). This district went 59% for Bush in 2004. Cazayouz has an additional problem. A black Dem named Michael Jackson (yes, I'm serious) is now running as an independent. The FEC numbers only go up to April for Cazayoux, where he only has $5K in the bank. I doubt that's close to accurate. As of mid August Cassidy had over $300K on hand.

[impeachedrapist]

In MI-01 Bush carried the district in 2004 with 53%. According to the FEC Pubbie challenger Tom Casperson had virtually no money in mid July, while multi-term (8 or 9 terms, can't recall) Bart Stupak had a half a million banked at that time.

Casperson's got his work cut out for him, but I wish him well.