Don't forget the "underground" network the dems usually manage to put together...
Posted on 09/11/2008 5:55:32 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
Since February I have been saying that Barack Obama would get crushed in this year’s presidential election. … The signs of trouble for the Democrats have always been there…
….Today it is no longer “wishful thinking” or “proof you have been smoking something” to say John McCain will crush Barack Obama.
..here are the numbers that say it is over..
To win Obama must get these numbers with these groups:
..women, he needs at least plus 7. He is down 12.
White males needs at least 36%. If he gets 30% he will be lucky
Catholics: needs 50%. He is down 59/36.
Evangelicals: needs 71%. He is running against an Evangelical and has nothing to offer these Christian voters.
Jewish vote: needs 80%. He is at 57%.
Black vote: needs 95%. Zogby says he has “lost support” among Black voters.
Hispanic vote: needs 65%. The only polls available show he is at 65% so that won’t help, it will only slow the bleeding.
Democrat base support: needs 92%. He is at 86%.
Independents: needs 49%. He is losing 52/37.
This one is over. On Monday September 29, 2008 at about 5 PM when the last weekend polls come in, the numbers will spell doom for the Democrats. On September 30, 2008 the McCain Palin campaign must plan on switching gears and start asking for votes to give them a Republican Congress. It could keep the margin down and keep us safe from the Democrats for another two years.
..there will only be four elected Democrats who will be happy on Nov. 5, the Clintons, George McGovern and Walter Mondale because Barack Obama will take them off the hook as having taken the worse beatings in history
That is exactly the way it should be done! The founding fathers knew what they were doing. They had a perfect governmental system in place and everytime we add an amendment, we take the country a little furthur down.
There were factors in play, though. Operation Chaos, for one. Because we had our nominee so early, the Republicans registered dem and voted in the dem primary. The Republican vote in the primaries was very depressed because for the most part, we already had McCain and another thing people weren't exited about our candidates so they didn't even bother to vote in the primaries. I remember our candidates dropping out like flies. I expect a huge Republican turnout in the general election.
I would love to disagree with you but I can’t. I see it, too. We got a little taste of it in 2000 and it was scary. Then in 2004 things went reasonably well but Kerry wasn’t a young charasmatic black man who the left is obsessed with. I read somewhere the other day that the blacks said if McCain won they were going to convene in Washington DC and declare Obama their president and tear this country in two. I am really scared.
LOL. Please, I like Rush but this is delusions of grandeur.
Because we had our nominee so early,
McCain became the presumptive nominee winning just 31% of the primary vote, i.e., just before the "Potomac primaries" and after FL and SC. Even before McCain won the nomination, the Dems were out voting the Reps in the contested states by two and three to one.
It is simple. The Dem race between the Clinton(s) and Obama had seized the national limelight. They had 19 debates. Every single state came into play because the race was so tight. And the Dems are energized, a carryover from the 2006 midterms when the Dems regained control over Congress.
Don’t sweat it, think of it this way, NO, NO NO Democrat that has won the Presidency in the past 40 years has done so with more than 51% of the vote, most that have won at all did it with a plurality in a 3 way race. The last and only democrat to win the white house by a straight majority in a 2 ways was CARTER, with him getting 50.1 percent. You hacve to go back to LBJ to see a democrat win with any sort of major majority.
This is the truth when the dems put up their BEST candidate.... and this schlub isn’t remotely a good candidate, he’s, well..a schlub.
If the dems had put up a reasonable candidate, I would say this is a down to the wire race, with R’s having a need to worry, but with this joker as the nominee? Forget about it, he’s got no chance of winning the white house.
Just visions of grandeur. Nothing is going to happen, except the usual blame game and "I'm oppressed" get-togethers and speeches you see on CSpan from time-to-time.
I had forgotten the medias obsession with the Clinton/Obama thing. I still think Operation Chaos had an affect. After OPChaos was in play, I think Obama only won one more primary. And that was after 11 straight wins.
Yes....over confidence is dangerous.
McCain better not go into the PREVENT DEFENSE mode like Bush did in the First debate in 2004
Sitting presidents have trouble in TV "Great Debates." Even Reagan had trouble in his first '84 debate, after having drubbed Carter (then a sitting POTUS!) in '80.
LOL, the dems running our state wouldn’t think of doing that. They’d never win another election.
JB
Why is that? His "B" team will get the presidency anyway, the way things are going...
there is no "win"...its Sept 11th and we have nearly 2 months to go in a long campaign...hell, its feels like the last two weeks has been two years....
I beg you all to keep donating what you can, attend all the rallies you are privileged to get to and put up McCain signs....
we can get cocky.....
If McCain wins commiechusetts, is that the begining of a landslide?/Just Asking - seoul62.......
its the electoral college folks....if we take everything that Bush got but lose just Colorado and nevada and New Mexico, we're toast....
but I like happy talk just like everybody else.....I want it to be true...but guard against overconfidence...
we have to keep the McCain/Sarah juggernaut rolling....
Don't forget the "underground" network the dems usually manage to put together...
and why do make such a prediction about New Hampshire?
In some respects, MI and PA have much in common with Canada, and we Northern Women understand what it means to be a hockey Mom.
Not all of us are 'hockey moms', but we get it.
And we don't like it when "they" dis our Sarah.
"They" will rue the day they did this.
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