New Poll shows no convention bounce for Obama

CNN.com ^ | 8/31/08 | Paul Steinhauser and Alan Silverleib

[LdSentinal]

ST. PAUL, Minnesota (CNN) -- On the eve of the Republican convention, a new national poll suggests the race for the White House remains even.

Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain are in a virtual tie, according to the latest poll.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll released Sunday night shows the Obama-Biden ticket leading the McCain-Palin ticket by one point, 49 percent to 48 percent, with the statistical margin of error.

The survey was conducted Friday through Sunday, after both the conclusion of the Democratic convention and Sen. John McCain's selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate.

A previous CNN poll, taken just one week earlier, suggested the race between McCain, R-Arizona, and Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, was tied at 47 percent each.

"The convention and particularly Obama's speech seems to be well-received. And the selection of Sarah Palin as the GOP running mate, also seems to be well-received. So why is the race still a virtual tie? Probably because the two events created equal and opposite bounces assuming that either one created a bounce at all," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

[icwhatudo]

Please, could someone come up with a nice talking point to counter the "under ethics investigation" BS????

How's this:

"If your state trooper brother-in-law in law threatened to kill your father and shot his own son with a taser....wouldn't you tell his boss too?"

[hsalaw]

"Probably because the two events created equal and opposite bounces assuming that either one created a bounce at all," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Or perhaps because our bounce is just starting.

[STARWISE]

Great minds .. LOL .. just about to post.

What fantastic news!!

Obama: I spent $100M on my Beijing Olympics Convention and all I got was 1 point??~!!

WOO HOO!

[library user]

CNN is reporting this? Has hell frozen over?

[STARWISE]

And her concern with this guy, and her
interceding for the safety of her family
began BEFORE she was governor.

He also illegally shot moose, allegedly.

[ZULU]

I hope so. But with women there is always the “Envy Factor”. Its interesting Palin increased the male support for McCain.

[romanesq]

These are the weighted Rat polls. When those don’t work for the Rats considering the margin of error, they know it’s trouble.

Call it the Sarah Palin affect. And my FRiends, it’s only beginning. It will take hold and cause a shrieking and gnashing of teeth you haven’t seen since Biblical accounts.

But this will be coming from the media/Rat surrogates.

May they tumble into hell, figuratively speaking of course. :)

[Roscoe Karns]

What about Obama’s awesome line about McCain not wanting to follow Bin Laden to his cave? I thought that would have been good for 40 point boost. Oh well.

[cw35]

The two most unreliable polls (CNN and Zogby) have the race tied while Ras and Gallup have Hussein O up. Hopefully the broken clock is right.

[Question Liberal Authority]

Half the convention was about Women's rights. Michelle yammered on about it and so did Hillary. 1/4 of the convention was Bill Clinton talking about himself. The other 1/4 of the convention was Obama talking about change.

So what does McCain do? Comes up with a veep that's real change and springboards off the women's rights stuff. It's like 3/4 of the Dem convention was a prelude to the pick of Sarah Palin.

McCain is some sort of misunderestimated political judo master lately. He uses his opponent's strengths against the opponent and emerges relatively unscathed.

[Mitt Romney]

Let's hope this weakness for the Prez ticket begins to be a drag on the Dem congressional races also.

[ari-freedom]

Palin and Gustav made everyone forget the convention. Not that Obama’s speech was particularly memorable, either.

[Rokurota]

Gallup is a rolling average. Monday will be the first poll that only includes days after the convention and Palin pick. Obama also seems to get a slight boost from weekends. I’d wait until Wed or Thurs to get a good view from Gallup.

[romanesq]

This new McCain team is bloody murder on Obama. Mucho applause.

Thank Steve Schmidt and team. These are some solid professionals!
Kick Obamamination ass!

Sara Palin is completely awesome. Just let the crowd’s applause lines linger before continuing to speak and lower the voice an octave. Thanks.

[tet68]

Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain are in a virtual tie, according to the latest poll.

Just wait till next week....the bounce from Sarah’s announcement hasn’t even started yet and the convention
is still to come!

[John123]

Oh snap! Is it too late for Biden to have an “accident” and Obamasiah gets it right this time with Hillary?

[ari-freedom]

unreliable polls. hehe lemme tell you something. All of these polls are created news stories. The only real poll is election day but when people see McCain doing not too shabby in the polls, they will think supporting him is worth their while.

[Question Liberal Authority]

Just let the crowd’s applause lines linger before continuing to speak

Problems like that don't happen to Joe Biden.

[Vince Ferrer]

McCain is not having a bounce, he is having a surge. Obama is having a fade.