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The Unfortunate Palin Gamble
GOPublius.com ^ | August 29, 2008 | GOPublius.com

Posted on 08/29/2008 10:31:47 AM PDT by americanophile

Don’t kid yourself…John McCain just put all his chips on the table and rolled the dice.

Over the past many months, McCain’s team had skillfully underscored the natural impressions of Americans – that Barak Obama was the lightweight in the race; the candidate of risk. Now, with a single stroke McCain has undercut his most effective argument. He has weakened his case for wisdom and experience, and elevated a one-term governor of a small-population state based on her gender.

McCain had plenty of safe choices. Choices that would have bolstered Americans’ inherent understanding of McCain’s competency and ability; choices that would have underscored the longstanding notion that whatever gimmick the Democrats try, the Republican Party remains the serious one.

With the electorate evenly split, McCain’s first job was to pick a competent running mate that would not undermine his standing, and would reassure voters that should something happen to the oldest man ever to be nominated for president, a competent, experienced leader, ready to serve as commander-in-chief in a time of war, was waiting in the wings.

The former Miss Congeniality, and hockey mom from “the last frontier” is a bizarre choice.

McCain’s pick today has all the hallmarks of a political gimmick and a hail-Mary pass. While it is likely to excite some conservatives, his choice will refocus the entire campaign away from Obama’s status as a political neophyte and will reshuffle the risk calculus in the favor of the increasingly familiar, and always-eloquent Obama. With Biden on the ticket, Obama has lessened the sense that he poses a serious danger to the electorate. McCain’s selection by contrast is likely to shake voters and cast uncertainty on the wisdom and safety of a McCain presidency.

With competent and proven individuals waiting in the wings such as Governor Mitt Romney, the selection of Sarah Palin is a most unfortunate choice.

John McCain may have just lost the 2008 election…cue the hurricane.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2008veep; electionpresident; mccain; palin; vicepresident
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To: truthguy
Paragraphs are our friends, the keepth us from confusing who said what.

Dick Cheney is the reason dubyah never got impeached (I was in the habit of pulling up beside idjits with Impeach Bush bumper stickers and complementing them. When they'd 'right on!' me I'd blandly say 'Yeah! I think Cheney'd make a fine president, too!' In response to their horrified look, I'd even more blandly say 'Well, if you impeach Bush, you get Cheney. Don't you liberals ever think through the consequences of any of your actions???')

Reagan? One of a kind. I do note that 'Read my lips' Bush was a one-termer, though...

Still, I should have said virtually every president

241 posted on 08/29/2008 12:17:02 PM PDT by null and void (Obama/Biden: It's a no-brainer)
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To: americanophile

Just another ignorant blog thinking they are the center of the universe.


242 posted on 08/29/2008 12:17:16 PM PDT by CodeToad
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To: grellis; All
I don't know your age but I've been voting for conservative candidates for over 25 years. And for most of this time I've been losing. Why? Because I began to notice that most of the people around me aren't conservative. I'm saddened by this but I don't know what to do about it. There are many reasons for this; the public (government) schools, the news media, hollywood, immigration (probably the greatest), low birthrates among true conservatives. I could go on but it would take a book to do justice to this cause. What I'm amazed by is how many of the people who describe themselves as conservatives see themselves as the majority. They probably hang out with people of there own persuasion and therefore have the belief that most people are conservative. THEY AREN'T. Of this much I'm sure. I wish it wasn't true but it is. Deal with it. If we are to have any future at all, we will have to make deals and alliances with moderates. On the issue of abortion we will need to fight a culture war and not a political war. Yes I'm pro life but I'm not dumb enough to think that because I'm pro life everyone around me is also. This is what distinguishes me from the knuckle dragging conservatives who are large in number on this site.
243 posted on 08/29/2008 12:17:50 PM PDT by truthguy (Good intentions are not enough!)
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To: Scythian
Will you people do me a favor and quit knocking on my door and telling me i'm going to hell if i don't believe exactly as you do? You are a real pain in the butt, obnoxious, and just plain wrong

You've placed your bet when the chips are raked in thats it, imagine a terrible place forever, and ever, and ever, with no escape ever, and ever, and ever ....
244 posted on 08/29/2008 12:19:00 PM PDT by Scythian
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
"Sounds like this article was written by another Romneyite who’s had it rain on his parade."
Rain?

More like Noah's Flood Reloaded!
245 posted on 08/29/2008 12:19:34 PM PDT by Fichori (I am more qualified than Obama to be President. But then agian, so is Homer Simpson.)
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To: americanophile
We'll see how much of a gamble it is....


246 posted on 08/29/2008 12:19:37 PM PDT by mikrofon (McCain-Palin)
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To: null and void
He has weakened his case for wisdom and experience, and elevated a one-term governor of a small-population state based on her gender.

For those not so knowledgeable on the Palin subject she defeated an incumbent Republican Governor in the primaries.

247 posted on 08/29/2008 12:22:21 PM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: workerbee
Tell us the last president who made his VP choice for reasons other than who they believe will bring the most votes on Election Day.

Bush?

248 posted on 08/29/2008 12:23:04 PM PDT by xjcsa (Has anyone seen my cornballer?)
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To: Defiant

I know I’m not a rarity. I hope I’m rare enough though that we won’t be putting Obama into office. I fear that is the case though.


249 posted on 08/29/2008 12:23:59 PM PDT by Calpernia (Hunters Rangers - Raising the Bar of Integrity http://www.barofintegrity.us)
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To: PapaBear3625

The Hillary supporters are contributing to McCain’s campaign. Republicans need to pony up. CAMPAIGN CONTRIBUTIONS TO McCAIN/PALIN CLOSE AUGUST 30TH!!


250 posted on 08/29/2008 12:24:52 PM PDT by Judges Gone Wild
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To: truthguy
She is from a small state(population) which is completely different from most if not all of the lower 48. It would be like taking a pitcher from the most minor of the minor leagues and put them in Game 7 of the World Series. The Democrats will pound on this theme don't you know.

Pound on what theme? She's got more experience running things than anyone on either side of the ticket. Joe Biden's state has about the same population, and fraction of the size and complexity, and Joe's never even run it. He represents Delaware by talking, chairing committees, and talking about how the committee session went. Amazing qualification, there, although to his credit he's done it for 35 years longer than the guy at the top of the ticket.

I repeat for all you knuckle draggers. You are 15% of the Voting Population. Most people don't think as you do. This is why you lose elections.

Are you sure you're on the right website? This is an interesting selection of vocabulary for a life long conservapublican whatever you said you were.

The VP pick should overwhelmingly be picked for the person who could step in for the president if God forbid something should happen to the president.

Joe Biden? Barack Obama?

Palin's head is screwed on straight, she's got the right views. What *really* is Plugs Biden is razor sharp spring loaded to do that she's not? Senators *do not have executive experience*. You can laugh at the fact that she was a mayor or a governor, but that's 100% more applicable to being President than being a professional committe member.

251 posted on 08/29/2008 12:25:34 PM PDT by Steel Wolf ("There are moderate Muslims, but Islam itself is not moderate" Ibn Warraq)
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To: AlaskaErik
More sour grapes from disgruntled Romney fans. He was probably the most qualified candidate from either party, if the presidency was an appointed position. But as a politician he spent 60 milion dollars and went nowhere. He simply did not connect, with me or most anybody else. He would have been a net drag on the ticket.

I think the reactions to Palin, across the board, from conservative delight and hilaryvoters excitement, to the fuming hatred and rage of the Obama-'rat crime family, says she is a brilliant pick.

252 posted on 08/29/2008 12:27:00 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: fightinJAG

>>>That had nothing to do with “non-Republican” voters.

You are full of it. I got the county print outs from my state. We had double the votes then we had registered republicans.

THAT is the RNC’s base apparently. So let them embrace them.


253 posted on 08/29/2008 12:27:24 PM PDT by Calpernia (Hunters Rangers - Raising the Bar of Integrity http://www.barofintegrity.us)
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To: fightinJAG

>>>That had nothing to do with “non-Republican” voters.

You are full of it. I got the county print outs from my state. We had double the votes then we had registered republicans.

THAT is the RNC’s base apparently. So let them embrace them.


254 posted on 08/29/2008 12:27:34 PM PDT by Calpernia (Hunters Rangers - Raising the Bar of Integrity http://www.barofintegrity.us)
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To: nathanbedford
Teh other advantage she has is that she comes from a state that is just about as far away from Washington D.C. as you can get in this country.

Don't overlook the "non-traditional" aspect of this. The strength of a candidate who is seen as an outsider will be enormous in this election . . . in a year when approval ratings for just about everyone in Washington D.C. are in the toilet.

255 posted on 08/29/2008 12:30:56 PM PDT by Alberta's Child (I'm out on the outskirts of nowhere . . . with ghosts on my trail, chasing me there.)
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To: Calpernia
With competent and proven individuals waiting in the wings such as Governor Mitt Romney, the selection of Sarah Palin is a most unfortunate choice.

You're bumping this MittWitt?

I think the choice of Palin was inspired, frankly. I didn't think McCain had it in him.
256 posted on 08/29/2008 12:31:52 PM PDT by Antoninus (McCain/Palin -- The winning ticket!)
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To: Sola Veritas
“Sarah was a tactile choice.”

Either the above is a Freudian slip revealing your lustful feelings towards the woman, or you actually meant “tactical” choice.

BTW - I DO care about the souls of Mormons. That is one reason why I didn’t want a Mormon elected to high office. It is spurious and insidious and damns those that partake of it.


It's NO Freudian slip. Sarah is a tactile choice!

It's OBVIOUS.

He wanted a woman. He's capitalizing on gender identity.
Hitlery is pissed. Hitlery supporters are pissed. Many don't like Obama. Alaska has oil etc. Had it been a male with these positions he would have been passed over.

“BTW - I DO care about the souls of Mormons. That is one reason why I didn’t want a Mormon elected to high office. It is spurious and insidious and damns those that partake of it.”

LOL!

No, it is because he is a Mormon and you are wrong on his positions. If you cared “about his soul” you would never want to be identified with a group that obviously doesn't see Mitt as worthy of prayer - just worthy of being shunned because of his religion. You're not fooling anyone no matter how piously you want to spin it.

Your own words condemn you - "spurious and insidious and damns those that partake of it." That sure isn't "love talk". It's shunning. It's self righteous. It's pious nonsense. You can't conceal your HATRED for him and his religion. Your hatred is so intense that you can't see straight let alone come back with a response that conceals your hypocrisy. I'm so glad Christ isn't like you.

I also don't want a humanist pretending to be a “Christian”, as in HUckabee being in politics. I now have a low opinion of Dobson. Yes, Dobson is sly. He waited till AFTER Mitt withdrew to throw his support to the lying Huckster. You see, many of us do our research on candidates and the Huckster is just only anti- abortion other than that he is lives the same politics as any other Demoncrat. Huck has a track record of THAT to stand on.

257 posted on 08/29/2008 12:32:35 PM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: truthguy
And for most of this time I've been losing.

LOL! Can I ever relate to that! I have yet to vote for anyone that got elected.

258 posted on 08/29/2008 12:35:10 PM PDT by null and void (Obama/Biden: It's a no-brainer)
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To: mikrofon

That is Fantastic!


259 posted on 08/29/2008 12:35:52 PM PDT by GOYAKLA (My Tee shirt for 2009-2012:" I voted FRED don't you wish you did")
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To: mabelkitty; All
You’ve been here less than a year and you know all about politics? Start a blog.

I've been here less than a year but I've been active in Politics for about 30. I was a true Milton Friedman economic conservative since the mid 1970's. I'm a lifelong National Review guy as well. I've worked on the political campaigns of conservative canditates. I've never voted for a Democrat. I would rather die than vote for any liberal. But after such a long time losing I had to face reality that conservatives, true paleo conservatives simply are not a majority. I wish it wasn't true but I have to face reality. I'm not delusional enought to believe that what I believe is also the opinion of others. This is what distinguishes me from many on this site. I've been slammed for the the truth hence my tag name. You will also see by Tagline Good intentions are not enough. This is why we are losing. Government continues to grow at every level. We have lost the House. We have lost the Senate. We might lose the presidency. Let's hope and pray not but we might. We live in a vitural sea of stupidity with liberals and radicals all around. Most of our institutions are liberal or even leftist. Pray for the Republic.
260 posted on 08/29/2008 12:36:56 PM PDT by truthguy (Good intentions are not enough!)
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