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New Hampshire Poll: Obama's Big Lead Now Down To A Virtual Tie (Obama 47% - McCain 46%)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 8/20/08

Posted on 08/20/2008 2:11:28 PM PDT by LdSentinal

The presidential race in New Hampshire is now a toss-up. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds that Barack Obama's once-double-digit lead over John McCain is down to a statistically insignificant one-point lead, 43% to 42%.

When “leaners” are factored in, Obama is ahead 47% to 46%. Full demographic crosstabs are available for Premium Members. Time is running out to save on Premium Memberships. Sign up now and save. Learn More.

The Democrat’s support has steadily decreased in the Granite State since he clinched the nomination in early June. Obama fell from an 11-percentage point lead in mid-June to a six-point lead in July. The latest numbers mark the closest the race has been so far this year.

The latest numbers show support growing for McCain from those in his party. He now earns the vote from 87% of GOP voters, up from 78% a month ago. Though Obama still has a 42% to 34% lead among unaffiliated voters, support for the Democrat is down from 50% last month. He also has a 46% to 38% lead among women. Among men in New Hampshire, McCain has a 46% to 40% edge.

While Obama has a solid lead among younger voters, the race is close among voters between the ages of 30 and 64. McCain has a dominant lead among voters age 65 and older.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; mccain; newhampshire; nh2008; poll; tossups
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1 posted on 08/20/2008 2:11:28 PM PDT by LdSentinal
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To: LdSentinal

only 4 EVs, but Obama can ill afford to lose ANY state that Kerry won.


2 posted on 08/20/2008 2:13:28 PM PDT by babble-on
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To: LdSentinal

McCain has more than a good chance of taking New Hampshire.


3 posted on 08/20/2008 2:14:18 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

I am so reluctant to get taken in by polls this early, but boy there do seem to be a lot of them showing a big swing our way.


4 posted on 08/20/2008 2:15:58 PM PDT by babble-on
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To: LdSentinal
Oh, oh. I can see a call for a roll-call vote on the floor next week.

"Mr. Chairman: The great state of NY, the Empire State, casts all of it's votes for it's favorite 'sister', HILLARY RODHAM CLINTON!!!!!" (Mass hysteria hits the floor)

5 posted on 08/20/2008 2:16:14 PM PDT by mc5cents (Show me just what Mohammd brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman)
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To: LdSentinal
Add in the Bradley/Wilder Effect, and November is going to be a landslide for McCain.
6 posted on 08/20/2008 2:17:24 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Public policy should never become the captive of a scientific-technological elite. -- Ike Eisenhower)
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To: LdSentinal

ping-a-ling


7 posted on 08/20/2008 2:18:02 PM PDT by KansasGirl ( b/c Obama is just creepy.)
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To: Norman Bates

ping-a-ling


8 posted on 08/20/2008 2:19:27 PM PDT by KansasGirl ( b/c Obama is just creepy.)
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To: LdSentinal

Always factor in the fact that Obama has historically received 4% LESS votes than he polls.

Whether that is due to “closet racism” or not is unclear, but apparently is a pretty constant result.


9 posted on 08/20/2008 2:22:01 PM PDT by Wil H
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To: LdSentinal

Slip slidin’ away
Slip slidin’ away
You know the nearer your destination
The more you’re slip slidin’ away


10 posted on 08/20/2008 2:22:29 PM PDT by keepitreal ("I'm Barack Obama and I approve this message. . . until I don't.")
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To: babble-on

Maybe the MSM’s editors and producers are trying to do a reverse psychology ploy on the country. Convince their drones that they’re losing and they’ll ante up more money for advertising...


11 posted on 08/20/2008 2:23:12 PM PDT by coconutt2000 (NO MORE PEACE FOR OIL!!! DOWN WITH TYRANTS, TERRORISTS, AND TIMIDCRATS!!!! (3-T's For World Peace))
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To: babble-on
Hillary was down something like 13% the following days before the Dem primary against Obama and Hillary won the night going away.

Possibly the Bradley Effect is large factor in New Hampshire.

12 posted on 08/20/2008 2:23:27 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: LdSentinal

Note to breathing RATS and RINOS:

“We shall fight on the beaches. We shall fight on the landing grounds. We shall fight in the fields, and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills. We shall never surrender!”


13 posted on 08/20/2008 2:23:32 PM PDT by rrrod
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To: babble-on

bttt


14 posted on 08/20/2008 2:24:00 PM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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To: LdSentinal

Well, well. I kept saying if McCain had a chance for a flip, it was NH.


15 posted on 08/20/2008 2:24:03 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: LdSentinal

McCain bump.


16 posted on 08/20/2008 2:24:22 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: Wil H
In New Hampshire, Rasmussen (like everyone else) overestimated the Obama primary vote by 10%.

My guess is this means McCain is actually significantly ahead in NH.

17 posted on 08/20/2008 2:26:32 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: keepitreal

Paul Simon Slip Slidin’ Away - Live at Abbey Road

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKxyoud_c-E


18 posted on 08/20/2008 2:26:50 PM PDT by 2dogjoe (Have a Blessed Day)
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To: babble-on

This is really good news. Usually Democrats are doing MUCH better around this time. We just can’t get over confident nor let our bitter brothers and sisters dissuade us. Obama is going to have his convention bounce but people he isn’t going to have a tenth of a bounce McCain is going to get out of his convention.


19 posted on 08/20/2008 2:29:06 PM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: mc5cents
Every poll showing McCain gaining on Obama increases the chances of him naming Clinton as his VP. I put on my tinfoil hat, but even with that fashion accessory, I could not decide if Clinton would rather take her chances on being VP...or if she would prefer to hold out for an Obama loss leading to another Hillary run in 2012.

I am just not up to speed on that tinfoil stuff.

20 posted on 08/20/2008 2:30:04 PM PDT by goldfinch
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