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Hundreds of banks will fail, Roubini tells Barron's
Reuters ^ | 08/03/08

Posted on 08/03/2008 11:44:55 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster

Hundreds of banks will fail, Roubini tells Barron's

Sun Aug 3, 2008 3:52pm EDT

NEW YORK, Aug 3 (Reuters) - The United States is in the second inning of a recession that will last for at least 18 months and help kill off hundreds of banks, influential economist and New York University Professor Nouriel Roubini told Barron's in Sunday's edition.

Taxpayers will pay a big price for helping bail out the rest of the financial services industry as well, Roubini said -- at least $1 trillion and more likely $2 trillion.

The banks will become insolvent because of mounting losses as a result of the housing bust and because they have only written down their subprime loans so far, he said. Still in front of them are their consumer-credit losses, for which they lack the reserves, Barron's reported.

He also said there are hundreds of millions of dollars outstanding in home-equity loans that could be worth zero, too.

U.S. consumers, meanwhile, are "shopped out" and saving less, while the Federal Reserve's performance in handling the crisis has been poor, Roubini said, because it failed to see that the problem extended beyond

(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bailout; bankfailure; banking; economy; govwatch; housing; housingbubble; nourielroubini; roubini
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To: OKIEDOC

18% at Jimmy’s best effort I believe??


21 posted on 08/04/2008 12:55:50 AM PDT by Atchafalaya
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To: TigerLikesRooster

That’s exactly what I was thinking. BTW, I departed Korea in 2005, and have been bouncing around various parts of the arab world for the past couple years, banking all the way.

I guess the time may be right to start looking around for some residential real estate back in the USA.


22 posted on 08/04/2008 12:57:54 AM PDT by John Valentine
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To: John Valentine
I kind-of noticed.:-)
Remember Hyundai suicide affair?
His brother Mong-joon is now planning to become the next president of S. Korea, but I doubt that he would. His ego is so big that it clouds his judgment. Good luck to your continued global stints.

Regards,
TLR

23 posted on 08/04/2008 1:12:40 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

“New York University Professor”

That’s all I need to read.


24 posted on 08/04/2008 3:38:33 AM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of the Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife; 1rudeboy
“New York University Professor”  That’s all I need to read.

Either that or the tip off is "Nouriel Roubini". 

What is is with these foreign nationals the press is so eager to pump for bad economic news --I mean, over on this other thread we got "Georgia State University forecaster Rajeev Dhawan" telling us that increasing American productivity is not helping us.

I'm not sure which is worse, the babbling "experts" or the goons that quote them.

25 posted on 08/04/2008 3:49:07 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: BJungNan
So what is your take on where the U.S economy is headed? No recession, recession, deep recession, depression, total economic collapse?

While you're at it get the weather forecast for the next five years. I'm interested in commodities.

26 posted on 08/04/2008 3:49:33 AM PDT by bkepley
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To: BunnySlippers

Did you withdraw your money before the bank was taken over by FDIC? That’s the part I don’t really understand. Next, what have you done with your money now?


27 posted on 08/04/2008 3:54:44 AM PDT by Freedom4US
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To: Atchafalaya

I thought mortgage rates topped 21 per cent if only briefly.

That had to kill any bank holding 4 per cent 30 year mortgages. The whole point of banking is to “borrow at 4, lend at 6, on the course by 3” or something like that.


28 posted on 08/04/2008 4:06:34 AM PDT by Freedom4US
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To: JerseyHighlander
DING DING DING DING DING DING DING DING DING DING DING!

NO more calls, please.

We have a winner!

29 posted on 08/04/2008 4:47:43 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: JerseyHighlander
DING DING DING DING DING DING DING DING DING DING DING!

NO more calls, please.

We have a winner!

30 posted on 08/04/2008 4:48:34 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: John Valentine
American realtors (savvy ones at least) are flying here nowadays to Tokyo and giving seminars before cash-flush Japanese investors, even everyday Japanese, on the "bargain basement" in the United States in real estate. With a strong yen, they will snatch up these properties all over the place and be the new overlords. And of course, those savvy US realtors who came over here to Asia, put their powerpoint presentations into Japanese, and presented to high networth individuals here, will eek quite a hefty commission.

I would buy sub-prime crashed real estate in the USA now if your salary is on a strong, non-US dollar based foreign currency.

31 posted on 08/04/2008 5:18:55 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (McCain crosses Party lines to vote LIBERAL. I'll cross Party lines to vote CONSERVATIVE. 'Nuff said.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

bttt


32 posted on 08/04/2008 5:55:38 AM PDT by dennisw (That Muhammad was a charlatan. Islam is a hoax, an imperialistic ideology, disguised as religion.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Boy, they don't waste any time, do they? The moment the domestic real estate market collapses, they all flew to Japan and other foreign countries, plugging real estate at a steep discount.
33 posted on 08/04/2008 5:58:11 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Chinese overlords worry me more. Chinese buying up the USA at bargain basements prices

Japanese are not so bad compared to the Chinese because China is out for world power. Japanese are in it just for money


34 posted on 08/04/2008 6:04:19 AM PDT by dennisw (That Muhammad was a charlatan. Islam is a hoax, an imperialistic ideology, disguised as religion.)
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To: Freedom4US

The FDIC had taken it over 3 or 4 days beforehand. The crowds around the bank were huge and unruly. I went 3 or 4 days later to let the fuss die down.

I had to wait in line for about 1 hour. People were nice in line. The FDIC was there and they were answering our questions. They were only letting one person into the bank at a time.

When they let me in there was one teller. I got my money with interest so I walked out with over $100,000.

Now its parked waiting for me to get my account at Treasury Direct [treasurydirect.com] where I’m going to start laddering treasuries online. I opened up an online banking HSBC bank where the money will sweep between the treasury and my account separate from my regard banking accounts.

It was not fun but I got my money back. I’m just happy I didn’t put more in. The CD rates were very high so it was tampting. :)


35 posted on 08/04/2008 6:36:20 AM PDT by BunnySlippers (I have already previewed or do not wish to preview this composition.)
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To: BunnySlippers

Parked where?


36 posted on 08/04/2008 6:39:49 AM PDT by Freedom4US
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To: OKIEDOC
I remember when Carter was president that we had 16% interest rates, high unemployment and long gas lines, something called malaise yet the the MSM did not seem to mind.

Remember how Bill Clinton 'cured' homelessness?
The homeless crisis was on television every day during the Reagan and Bush I Presidencies. The very day Bill Clinton took office, you never saw another homeless story again.

One need only look at the disastrous Presidency of FDR - the architect of the severity of the Great Depression - and how he managed to win election after election until Hitler eventually cured the depression - of course, the left gives all the credit to FDR.

37 posted on 08/04/2008 7:13:01 AM PDT by Bon mots
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To: TigerLikesRooster
If you want to see how far property prices will fall, just plug your numbers into an online calculator that will show you the "After-the-Crash" price of real estate. This one is based upon PE Ratio, which is the only indicator proven to be accurate in the long run, and for over 100 years.

PE Ratio Based Home Value Calculator

38 posted on 08/04/2008 7:16:36 AM PDT by Bon mots
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To: Freedom4US

A short term financial instrument.


39 posted on 08/04/2008 7:19:18 AM PDT by BunnySlippers (I have already previewed or do not wish to preview this composition.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

would that be the top of the second or the bottom of the second...


40 posted on 08/04/2008 7:33:24 AM PDT by palomonte
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