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Democrats Retain Huge Party ID Advantage
rasmussenreports.com ^ | 7/2/08 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 07/02/2008 8:25:01 AM PDT by jamese777

Partisan Trends

In January and February, while Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton were in the early stages of the battle for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the number of Americans who considered themselves to be Democrats surged to record highs. The numbers have stabilized since then, leaving the Democratic Party with a significant advantage over Republicans in terms of partisan identification.

During the month of June, 41.0% of Americans considered themselves to be Democrats, 31.5% said they were Republicans and 27.5% were not affiliated with either major party.

This marks the fifth straight month that the number of Democrats has been between 41.0% and 41.7%. During that same period, the number of Republicans has also stabilized, ranging only from 31.4% to 32.1% (see history from January 2004 to present). Prior to February of this year, neither party had ever reached the 39% level of support. Rasmussen Reports tracks this information based upon telephone interviews with approximately 15,000 adults per month and has been doing so since November 2002.

In 2004, the Democrats began the year with a 2.3 percentage point edge over the GOP. That grew to 4.0 points by March before moving in the Republican direction for the rest of the year. By Election Day in 2004, the edge for Democrats was a mere 1.6 percentage points.

In 2006, the Democrats began the year with just a 1.6 percentage point advantage. That grew to 6.1 percentage points by November

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; democrats; election; elections; partyid; poll; rasmussen; republicans; voterdemographics

1 posted on 07/02/2008 8:28:18 AM PDT by jamese777
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To: jamese777

Wow, and so Obama has a 10 point lead, right?!?


2 posted on 07/02/2008 8:29:49 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (Just say NObama!)
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To: jamese777

What percentage of the 41% who consider themselves to be Democrats will actually show up at the polls on election day and vote? IMHO what this poll really tells us is what percent of Americans want FREE STUFF from the government and need a Mojo Daddy in Washington to make their Cargo Cult a reality. History shows, however, that turnout by this pathetic group of losers is notoriously low.


3 posted on 07/02/2008 8:34:25 AM PDT by NaughtiusMaximus (Bible toting, bitter and armed with slashing sarcasm.)
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To: jamese777

Operation Chaos democrats??


4 posted on 07/02/2008 8:51:26 AM PDT by Mogollon ($5/gal Gas....Kick the Jacka$$es Out!)
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To: jamese777

“During the month of June, 41.0% of Americans considered themselves to be Democrats, 31.5% said they were Republicans and 27.5% were not affiliated with either major party.”

And that’s why it doesn’t matter who we vote for, might as well write in a conservative. Of course with the democrats liking McCain and him supporting most of their nonsense, he might make it. Still, he won’t need my vote as he and his supporters are so fond of reminding us.


5 posted on 07/02/2008 8:56:16 AM PDT by AuntB (Vote Obama! ..........Because ya can't blame 'the man' when you are the 'man'.... Wanda Sikes)
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To: Recovering_Democrat

“Wow, and so Obama has a 10 point lead, right?!?”


Real Clear Politics.com’s average of seven latest national polls shows Obama with a six point lead.


6 posted on 07/02/2008 8:58:19 AM PDT by jamese777
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To: NaughtiusMaximus

Couple your assesment with the fact the Republican party doesnt stand for much these days...and they certainly dont listen to the conservative base.


7 posted on 07/02/2008 8:59:58 AM PDT by rrrod
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To: NaughtiusMaximus

“hat percentage of the 41% who consider themselves to be Democrats will actually show up at the polls on election day and vote? “

During the primary democrats were outvoting republicans by large numbers in every state I looked at.

For example:

Early vote totals for Texas suggest record Democratic turnout in 2008 primary and below average in Republican
http://prof13.abc13.com/2008/02/early-vote-tota.html

Oregon Democrats outpacing Republicans in ballot returns
www.registerguard.com/csp/cms/sites/dt.cms.support.viewStory.cls?cid=100853&sid=1&fid=1


8 posted on 07/02/2008 9:11:20 AM PDT by AuntB (Vote Obama! ..........Because ya can't blame 'the man' when you are the 'man'.... Wanda Sikes)
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To: jamese777

2004 Nov: R: 37.2%; D: 38.6%; I: 24.1%; Dem adv: 1.4%
2006 Nov: R: 31.4%; D: 37.5%; I: 31.2%; Dem adv: 6.1%
2008 Jul: R: 31.5%; D: 41.0%; I: 27.5%; Dem adv: 9.5%

These numbers don’t bode well for Republicans.

People lived in denial and look how the 2006 elections turned out.

And instead of trying to get unified, some conservatives are still throwing temper tantrums, as they did in 2006, still not comprehending that all they are doing is making it even easier for the Democrats.

Just wait for President Obama with a Dem Congress, which will also turn the Judiciary into an arm of the Democrat party, by stuffing the courts, including the SCOTUS with leftist activist judges.


9 posted on 07/02/2008 9:24:00 AM PDT by FocusNexus ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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To: Recovering_Democrat

It’s now wonder, when Conservatives have to disavow the Republican party in order to have ideological coherence.


10 posted on 07/02/2008 9:26:53 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (McCain / Kerry '08! ************* McCain's Dream Ticket, only the names have been reversed)
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To: jamese777

Unless the Republican Party returns to its fundamental core principles, it is doomed. We need a TWO party system. Now we have a system of a Democratic Very Liberal Party and a Republican Somewhat Liberal Party.


11 posted on 07/02/2008 9:30:47 AM PDT by FFranco
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To: jamese777
Pew research found similar voter identification,it also shows that more Independents lean toward Dem.

Pew Research: Fewer Voters Identify as Republicans. Democrats Now Have the Advantage in "Swing" States


12 posted on 07/02/2008 9:31:35 AM PDT by FocusNexus ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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To: jamese777

This is collectivist pressuring and posturing, making it more moral to be on the democrates’ side. The “bush is stupid” mantra was just such action.

The media keeps playing with perceptions of moral standards. It keeps trying to isolate the higher standards. It keeps trying to make the higher standards as evil to be destroyed.

“Funny” thing is that these “white boys” do not realize that as the eyes of the nation shuts to the level of liberal Forrest Gumpyness, it does not turn the retards into those nice savages Rousseau wanted us to believe they were, but into a racialy and gender divided nation filled with hate and racism, especialy coming from the lower common denominators of illegals and Obama’s black churches.


13 posted on 07/02/2008 10:12:27 AM PDT by JudgemAll (control freaks, their world & their problem with my gun and my protecting my private party)
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To: jamese777

Paraphrasing an old saying,

The party that robs from Peter to give welfare and/or government jobs to Paul can always count on the support of Paul.


14 posted on 07/02/2008 10:34:07 AM PDT by The Spirit Of Allegiance (Public Employees: Honor Your Oaths! Defend the Constitution from Enemies--Foreign and Domestic!)
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To: JudgemAll

‘This is collectivist pressuring and posturing, making it more moral to be on the democrates’ side. The “bush is stupid” mantra was just such action.

The media keeps playing with perceptions of moral standards. It keeps trying to isolate the higher standards. It keeps trying to make the higher standards as evil to be destroyed.

“Funny” thing is that these “white boys” do not realize that as the eyes of the nation shuts to the level of liberal Forrest Gumpyness, it does not turn the retards into those nice savages Rousseau wanted us to believe they were, but into a racialy and gender divided nation filled with hate and racism, especialy coming from the lower common denominators of illegals and Obama’s black churches.


But didn’t you get the memo? Only conservatives can be racists and sexists!


15 posted on 07/02/2008 1:10:05 PM PDT by jamese777
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To: JudgemAll

‘This is collectivist pressuring and posturing, making it more moral to be on the democrates’ side. The “bush is stupid” mantra was just such action.

The media keeps playing with perceptions of moral standards. It keeps trying to isolate the higher standards. It keeps trying to make the higher standards as evil to be destroyed.

“Funny” thing is that these “white boys” do not realize that as the eyes of the nation shuts to the level of liberal Forrest Gumpyness, it does not turn the retards into those nice savages Rousseau wanted us to believe they were, but into a racialy and gender divided nation filled with hate and racism, especialy coming from the lower common denominators of illegals and Obama’s black churches.


But didn’t you get the memo? Only Republicans can be racists and sexists!


16 posted on 07/02/2008 1:57:00 PM PDT by jamese777
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