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So you think you know oil: maybe not
Townhall ^ | June 24, 2008 | John David Powell

Posted on 06/24/2008 2:10:40 PM PDT by John David Powell

Here we are with a new week and another round of posturing, politicking, and punditry regarding the price of petroleum. As happens when folks do a lot of talking, very little is said.

I hang around educated and talented people. Each individual has at least one university degree. Most read, watch, or listen to more than one news source every day. They span generations with ages ranging from the 20s to the 70s.

Yet, not a single person among them knew the answers to some basic questions pertinent to the growing discourse regarding the rising price of oil. A few knew some of the answers, and some knew a few of the answers. To be fair, I had to look up the answers, or else I would have been among the shoulder shruggers.

For instance, how big is a barrel? Answer: 42 gallons. So, now you know that when the price for a barrel of crude oil hits $140, that’s the same as $3.33 a gallon.

What nation supplies the most crude oil and petroleum products to the United States? Answer: The United States. According to the Energy Information Agency (www.eia.doe.gov), our country supplied 41 percent of the oil we consumed in March of this year.

What nation, other than the U.S. , supplies the most crude oil and petroleum products to our country? Answer: Canada. Our northern neighbor accounts for 12 percent of our nation’s oil and 20 percent of all the oil we import. The rest of the top five include Saudi Arabia (7 percent and 13 percent); Venezuela (6 percent and 11 percent); Nigeria (6 percent and 10 percent); and Mexico (5 percent and 8 percent).

How much oil do we import from Persian Gulf countries? I’m glad you asked. Persian Gulf countries accounted for only 16 percent of our foreign oil imports each year from 2005 to 2007. In fact, our Persian Gulf imports declined most of this decade, from a 15-year high of a little more than 1 billion barrels in 2001 to 791.9 million barrels in 2007.

What’s the difference between crude oil and petroleum products? Answer: Crude oil provides, among other products, gasoline, diesel and jet fuels, heating oil, liquefied petroleum gas, lubricants, asphalt, plastics, synthetic fibers, detergents, fertilizers, ink, crayons, bubble gum, deodorant, tires, and heart valves.

One barrel of crude oil (which is 42 gallons, remember?), yields about 19.6 gallons of gasoline. The other 22.4 gallons go into the products just mentioned.

How much of the cost of oil goes into the price of gasoline. Answer: A bunch. We consumed about 390 million gallons of gas a day last year in our cars, trucks, recreational vehicles, boats, farm implements, and construction and landscaping equipment. Back when crude was $68 a barrel (that was just last year), it accounted for about 58 percent of the price of a gallon of gasoline. The rest of the price came from refining costs (17 percent), federal and state taxes (15 percent), and distribution and marketing (10 percent).

By the way, the price of crude accounts for about 77 percent of the cost of gas at $4 a gallon.

Here’s a little something you may not have considered. What products that you buy on a regular basis are sold with tax included? Answer: Gasoline. For everything else, you add the tax at checkout.

The folks in California pay 63.9 cents a gallon in state and federal fuel taxes, the most in the nation. That’s just the base, though. Motorists there also pay an additional 6-percent state sales tax, with some paying another 1.25-percent county sales tax plus applicable local sales taxes. Same in Illinois , where Chicago motorists pay 12.75 cents per gallon on top of the 57.9 cents per gallon in state and federal taxes. Some Illinois motorists also pay a 6.25-percent sales tax.

Politicians, pundits, and other TV talking heads don’t like to provide these answers, because facts get in the way of positions that pander to the mob. We don’t point fingers at Canada , because it’s de rigueur to paint the Saudis with the broad brush of blame. Folks float the idea of a moratorium on state and federal gasoline taxes without explaining its minimal impact on gas prices, or without mentioning the $3 sales tax some motorists pay on top of a $50 fill up. Policymakers don’t explain that oil trades in the dollar, which is weak vis-à-vis the Euro, because that would require solutions for strengthening the greenback.

And, it’s easier for simple minds to convince simpler minds to impose windfall-profit taxes on pension funds and owners of Individual Retirement Accounts who invest in oil companies than to take on credit card issuers charging double- and triple-digit interest rates to the millions of people using plastic to pay for food and fuel. Talk about irony.

And, we sure wouldn’t want to impose a windfall-profit tax on someone who goes from making $56,000 a year as, say, an Illinois legislator, to $165,000 a year as, say, a U.S. senator, an increase of nearly 200 percent (not counting book deals or real-estate related loans).

Mundus vult decipi (and as my magician friends add: decipiatur)

John David Powell is an award-winning writer and Internet columnist. He may be reached at johndavidpowell@yahoo.com.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: economy; energy; energyprices; gasprices; oil; oilprices; politics
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To: IronJack
Step into the 21 st century...

Actually, I view mankind's resource usage, historically, as a progression, and understand that oil is now, somewhat after coal, after wood, after animal dung/fat or bunches of grass, etc.

At some point, humanity will be using what is next, although some of the older technology will always be present.

Funny, how in all that time, despite finding different ways to transport it and use it, we are still building a fire. Even our use of nuclear fuel is to build the 'fire' which we use to heat water to make the wheels go round and generate electricity we can send down the wire to make the wheels go 'round...

So, yes, we could use a few fundamental changes in the way we do things, just to be more efficient. Perhaps when we master gravity or spacetime we can move people and things large distances without building that fire, without tires or roads, lubricants, or gaskets, or seals to keep the wind and wet out.

If we are there yet, no one said so.

In the meantime, we use the energy we have. But if you have something new, something that doesn't build a fire (however you build it, wherever you build it) to make the wheels go 'round, I'm all ears.

You see, we use oil because the alternatives, by and large, coal, wood, animal fat/dung, were even dirtier, and in their heyday, even more polluting.

As far as a raw material for organic derrivatives, I'll defer to the folks who know more about that than I.

Is there an organic chemist in the house?

41 posted on 06/24/2008 5:31:16 PM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly.)
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To: John David Powell
Chavez is small potatoes when it comes to oil. But yes, I share your characterization of this lunatic.

We should be worried - no, panic stricken about OPEC. OPEC is funding machine for international terror INC.

I merely suggested that by not mentioning OPEC and its stranglehold on us you were leaving out the elephant in the room.

And what I neglected to mention earlier: yes a fine article albeit incomplete. Too many in conservative circles are shamefully enamored of the “Arab sheiks” and Muslim “democracies” such as the one in the parastate of Turkey.

42 posted on 06/24/2008 6:18:19 PM PDT by eleni121 (EN TOUTO NIKA!! +)
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To: John David Powell

Excellence In Freepcasting bump


43 posted on 06/24/2008 8:05:00 PM PDT by an amused spectator (corruptissima republica, plurimae leges)
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To: Will88

NO.

It goes into the general fund.


44 posted on 06/24/2008 9:30:28 PM PDT by kennyboy509 (Ha! I kill me!)
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To: saganite
"Has there ever been a survey of our coastal waters outside those areas we currently drill in? Specifically the East coast of the US."

The USGS (U.S. Geological Survey) works with each state's Geological Survey department and they do seismic surveys to determine minerals, oil, gas, etc. The state of Florida has its own seismic research ships. As to how extensive and how recent these surveys are in the areas in question is something I don't know. The private sector has done surveys in those areas before the moratoriums.

My best guess is that they have rough approximations of the crude oil reservoirs. Today, the private sector is much more advanced in both the type of surveys done and the processing of the data for the subsurface imaging. I doubt the USGS can come close to what we can do. There needs to be new seismic surveys performed in my opionion.

I currently work with one geophysicist who was invloved in the ANWR survey with Exxon back in the 1980s that estimate 10-16 billion barrels and he says that the area most likely has 4-5 times that amount. The sismic survey and processing technology back in the 1980s was poor compared to today.

"Second, after reading all the hype about all those leases the oil companies hold that they haven’t exploited I wondered how in depth are the surveys the oil companies conduct in the areas they lease beforehand."

A new area of interest will usually start with a less expensive 2D seismic survey just to get an idea of what major features are below the subsurface and if there is anything interesting then they proceed further to more expensive 3D seismic surveys. This can take years. The next step is to do log wells and get a slice of the actual earth to match it to the seismic imaging to see if the seismic image is accurate to the actual slice. If they don't match, then something went wrong with the seismic processing. If all things seem good and they see features of interest then test wells are drilled to see if there is oil and to test flow pressures to determine the amount of oil underneath. (this is beyond my experience, I am seismic only).

Lease 181 in the eastern Gulf of Mexico which is 100 miles off the Florida panhandle is being looked at. It will take time and it's in deep water. Getting deep water rigs today is near impossible and some of the depths have never been drilled to such depths. Much easier to get a land rig and drill the ANWR. Lease 181 could take 10 years before a rig is in place.

"According to the oil company execs that replied to the criticism some of those leases contain nothing leading me to believe that accurate surveys aren’t conducted until after the lease is purchased."

Those leases either contain nothing, not much oil, or like lease 181 which will take years to explore and even more years to build the type of deep water rigs that can actually get to those extreme depths. And lease 181 has nowhere near 1 billion barrels much less 10-16 billion like the ANWR. I think lease 181 is estimated to have 150 million barrels. And that is in extreme deep water, which ironic enough, is more environmentally challenging with potential for total uncontrolled disaster than a simple land rig in the ANWR.

The ANWR with 16 billion barrels and producing 1 million barrels per day would last for 43 years. This would cut oil imports by about 10% and drastically reduce the trade deficit, which in turn would strengthen the dollar, which in turn would drive world wide crude oil prices down. Just cutting our trade deficit (not flooding the world with dollars) would drive oil prices down. Democrats are too stupid to know this as is McCain, unfortunately.

In the meantime, as I write, the industry is headed over to Dubai along with good paying jobs. It's a real shame.

45 posted on 06/25/2008 7:30:29 AM PDT by avacado
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To: saganite
"Has there ever been a survey of our coastal waters outside those areas we currently drill in? Specifically the East coast of the US."

The USGS (U.S. Geological Survey) works with each state's Geological Survey department and they do seismic surveys to determine minerals, oil, gas, etc. The state of Florida has its own seismic research ships. As to how extensive and how recent these surveys are in the areas in question is something I don't know. The private sector has done surveys in those areas before the moratoriums.

My best guess is that they have rough approximations of the crude oil reservoirs. Today, the private sector is much more advanced in both the type of surveys done and the processing of the data for the subsurface imaging. I doubt the USGS can come close to what we can do. There needs to be new seismic surveys performed in my opionion.

I currently work with one geophysicist who was invloved in the ANWR survey with Exxon back in the 1980s that estimate 10-16 billion barrels and he says that the area most likely has 4-5 times that amount. The sismic survey and processing technology back in the 1980s was poor compared to today.

"Second, after reading all the hype about all those leases the oil companies hold that they haven’t exploited I wondered how in depth are the surveys the oil companies conduct in the areas they lease beforehand."

A new area of interest will usually start with a less expensive 2D seismic survey just to get an idea of what major features are below the subsurface and if there is anything interesting then they proceed further to more expensive 3D seismic surveys. This can take years. The next step is to do log wells and get a slice of the actual earth to match it to the seismic imaging to see if the seismic image is accurate to the actual slice. If they don't match, then something went wrong with the seismic processing. If all things seem good and they see features of interest then test wells are drilled to see if there is oil and to test flow pressures to determine the amount of oil underneath. (this is beyond my experience, I am seismic only).

Lease 181 in the eastern Gulf of Mexico which is 100 miles off the Florida panhandle is being looked at. It will take time and it's in deep water. Getting deep water rigs today is near impossible and some of the depths have never been drilled to such depths. Much easier to get a land rig and drill the ANWR. Lease 181 could take 10 years before a rig is in place.

"According to the oil company execs that replied to the criticism some of those leases contain nothing leading me to believe that accurate surveys aren’t conducted until after the lease is purchased."

Those leases either contain nothing, not much oil, or like lease 181 which will take years to explore and even more years to build the type of deep water rigs that can actually get to those extreme depths. And lease 181 has nowhere near 1 billion barrels much less 10-16 billion like the ANWR. I think lease 181 is estimated to have 150 million barrels. And that is in extreme deep water, which ironic enough, is more environmentally challenging with potential for total uncontrolled disaster than a simple land rig in the ANWR.

The ANWR with 16 billion barrels and producing 1 million barrels per day would last for 43 years. This would cut oil imports by about 10% and drastically reduce the trade deficit, which in turn would strengthen the dollar, which in turn would drive world wide crude oil prices down. Just cutting our trade deficit (not flooding the world with dollars) would drive oil prices down. Democrats are too stupid to know this as is McCain, unfortunately.

In the meantime, as I write, the industry is headed over to Dubai along with good paying jobs. It's a real shame.

46 posted on 06/25/2008 7:30:38 AM PDT by avacado
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: saganite
"Has there ever been a survey of our coastal waters outside those areas we currently drill in? Specifically the East coast of the US."

The USGS (U.S. Geological Survey) works with each state's Geological Survey department and they do seismic surveys to determine minerals, oil, gas, etc. The state of Florida has its own seismic research ships. As to how extensive and how recent these surveys are in the areas in question is something I don't know. The private sector has done surveys in those areas before the moratoriums.

My best guess is that they have rough approximations of the crude oil reservoirs. Today, the private sector is much more advanced in both the type of surveys done and the processing of the data for the subsurface imaging. I doubt the USGS can come close to what we can do. There needs to be new seismic surveys performed in my opionion.

I currently work with one geophysicist who was invloved in the ANWR survey with Exxon back in the 1980s that estimate 10-16 billion barrels and he says that the area most likely has 4-5 times that amount. The sismic survey and processing technology back in the 1980s was poor compared to today.

"Second, after reading all the hype about all those leases the oil companies hold that they haven’t exploited I wondered how in depth are the surveys the oil companies conduct in the areas they lease beforehand."

A new area of interest will usually start with a less expensive 2D seismic survey just to get an idea of what major features are below the subsurface and if there is anything interesting then they proceed further to more expensive 3D seismic surveys. This can take years. The next step is to do log wells and get a slice of the actual earth to match it to the seismic imaging to see if the seismic image is accurate to the actual slice. If they don't match, then something went wrong with the seismic processing. If all things seem good and they see features of interest then test wells are drilled to see if there is oil and to test flow pressures to determine the amount of oil underneath. (this is beyond my experience, I am seismic only).

Lease 181 in the eastern Gulf of Mexico which is 100 miles off the Florida panhandle is being looked at. It will take time and it's in deep water. Getting deep water rigs today is near impossible and some of the depths have never been drilled to such depths. Much easier to get a land rig and drill the ANWR. Lease 181 could take 10 years before a rig is in place.

"According to the oil company execs that replied to the criticism some of those leases contain nothing leading me to believe that accurate surveys aren’t conducted until after the lease is purchased."

Those leases either contain nothing, not much oil, or like lease 181 which will take years to explore and even more years to build the type of deep water rigs that can actually get to those extreme depths. And lease 181 has nowhere near 1 billion barrels much less 10-16 billion like the ANWR. I think lease 181 is estimated to have 150 million barrels. And that is in extreme deep water, which ironic enough, is more environmentally challenging with potential for total uncontrolled disaster than a simple land rig in the ANWR.

The ANWR with 16 billion barrels and producing 1 million barrels per day would last for 43 years. This would cut oil imports by about 10% and drastically reduce the trade deficit, which in turn would strengthen the dollar, which in turn would drive world wide crude oil prices down. Just cutting our trade deficit (not flooding the world with dollars) would drive oil prices down. Democrats are too stupid to know this as is McCain, unfortunately.

In the meantime, as I write, the industry is headed over to Dubai along with good paying jobs. It's a real shame.

47 posted on 06/25/2008 7:30:55 AM PDT by avacado
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To: John David Powell
bumper-sticker
 
 

Contact your Congress critters to let them know that you are tired of high gas prices.

U. S. Senate

U. S. House of Representatives

48 posted on 06/25/2008 7:34:58 AM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: Libertarianize the GOP
Maybe the author never buys any form of alcohol but it also has the taxes included, not added at the checkout stand.

Gas for the car tank. Gas for the man tank. Same thing.. :)

It is diabolical though; paying taxes on taxes.

49 posted on 06/25/2008 8:02:47 AM PDT by IamConservative (Character: What you do when no one is looking.)
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To: avacado

Thanks for that reply. Most interesting was your belief that ANWR may contain a lot more oil than the number always bandied around. If there were truly 30-40 billion barrels of oil that would certainly reduce the resistance to drilling there. We’re not likely to find out though since both candidates oppose drilling ANWR.


50 posted on 06/25/2008 10:05:28 AM PDT by saganite
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To: saganite
"We’re not likely to find out though since both candidates oppose drilling ANWR."

And they oppose further seismic surveys.

51 posted on 06/25/2008 10:12:19 AM PDT by avacado
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To: avacado

And they oppose further seismic surveys.

That makes sense from their perspective. If the truth were known about the true amount of oil there they would be run out of town for opposing drilling.


52 posted on 06/25/2008 10:15:24 AM PDT by saganite
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To: avacado

Consider getting facts and figures from a source other than the US government. The rest of the world has a different story (Mostly places with non-demcratic regimes or weapons of mass destruction but alas no oil). Don’t you remember Nixon announcing to the world how our oil supplies would last for hundreds of years...?

It is not possible for the US to supply almost half the oil it uses. We passed that stage in the late sixties. It is not possible for the US to supply ten percent of it’s oil requirements. They aren’t making any more dinosaurs. They used up what they had.

Check out the film called A CRUDE AWAKENING.
Pay special attention to the chapter on “the numbers don’t add up”. Surprise. Our leaders are lying.

The price of oil has not even begun to rise.
And it ain’t never going down again.

Have an oily day.


53 posted on 07/26/2008 12:54:20 PM PDT by StewardManscat
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To: John David Powell

bump


54 posted on 07/26/2008 2:49:08 PM PDT by winodog (We have been set up for Hillary)
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To: StewardManscat
I am in the seismic industry. And the US has over 2 trillion barrels of oil (crude, shale) that would last for quite sometime. And not too long ago we found 15 billion barrels of crude oil in the Gulf of Mexico but it is quite deep under the subsurface and will require new technologies and equipment to extract it. That work is in progress right now.

We have plenty of oil in the USA. More than enough.

55 posted on 07/26/2008 4:12:37 PM PDT by avacado
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To: John David Powell
PhotobucketPhotobucketPhotobucketPhotobucketPhotobucketPhotobucketPhotobucketPhotobucketPhotobucketPhotobucketPhotobucketPhotobucket
56 posted on 07/26/2008 4:14:53 PM PDT by BunnySlippers
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To: John David Powell

But why is a barrel only 42 gallons and not 55? Because that’s how big whisky barrels were in PA in the 1800s when oil was first shipped.


57 posted on 07/26/2008 4:57:25 PM PDT by csmusaret (McCain and Obama represent the evil of two lessers.)
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To: csmusaret

I found this for you...

HOW BIG IS A BARREL?
A confusing unit of measure is a barrel. A barrel’s capacity is determined often by who uses the term, or what it contains.

For example:

1 barrel (bbl) of petroleum or related products = 42 gallons.

1 barrel of Portland cement is 376 pounds.

1 barrel of flour - 196 pounds.

1 barrel of pork or fish - 200 pounds.

1 barrel of (US) dry measure is 3.29122 bushels or 4.2104 cubic feet.

A barrel may be called a “drum”, but a drum usually holds 55 gallons!

1 barrel going over Niagara Falls was big enough to carry a man.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/kids/energyfacts/sources/non-renewable/barrel.html

Another interesting page...

This measurement originated in the early Pennsylvania oil fields, and permitted both British and American merchants to refer to the same unit, based on the old English wine measure, the tierce.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barrel_(storage)


58 posted on 07/26/2008 5:51:08 PM PDT by Dust in the Wind (Praying for Reign)
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To: Dust in the Wind

Good one.I have never heard of a barrel of pork, but I have heard of pork barrel as in pork barrel politics.


59 posted on 07/26/2008 6:05:46 PM PDT by csmusaret (McCain and Obama represent the evil of two lessers.)
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To: csmusaret

I’m wondering how many place settings of china will fit in 4.2 cubic feet, including sawdust...^)


60 posted on 07/26/2008 6:56:39 PM PDT by Dust in the Wind (Praying for Reign)
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