Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Al Qaeda Discusses Losing Iraq
Strategy Page ^ | 5/27/08

Posted on 05/27/2008 3:33:52 PM PDT by Dawnsblood

Al Qaeda web sites are making a lot of noise about "why we lost in Iraq." Western intelligence agencies are fascinated by the statistics being posted in several of these Arab language sites. Not the kind of stuff you read about in the Western media. According to al Qaeda, their collapse in Iraq was steep and catastrophic. According to their stats, in late 2006, al Qaeda was responsible for 60 percent of the terrorist attacks, and nearly all the ones that involved killing a lot of civilians. The rest of the violence was carried out by Iraqi Sunni Arab groups, who were trying in vain to scare the Americans out of the country.

Today, al Qaeda has been shattered, with most of its leadership and foot soldiers dead, captured or moved from Iraq. As a result, al Qaeda attacks have declined more than 90 percent. Worse, most of their Iraqi Sunni Arab allies have turned on them, or simply quit. This "betrayal" is handled carefully on the terrorist web sites, for it is seen as both shameful, and perhaps recoverable.

This defeat was not as sudden as it appeared to be, and some Islamic terrorist web sites have been discussing the problem for several years. The primary cause has been Moslems killed as a side effect of attacks on infidel troops, Iraqi security forces and non-Sunnis. Al Qaeda plays down the impact of this, calling the Moslem victims "involuntary martyrs." But that's a minority opinion. Most Moslems, and many other Islamic terrorists, see this as a surefire way to turn the Moslem population against the Islamic radicals. That's what happened earlier in Algeria, Afghanistan, Egypt and many other places. It's really got nothing to do with religion. The phenomenon hits non-Islamic terrorists as well (like the Irish IRA and the Basque ETA).

The senior al Qaeda leadership saw the problem, and tried to convince the "Al Qaeda In Iraq" leadership to cool it. That didn't work. As early as 2004, some Sunni Arabs were turning on al Qaeda because of the "involuntary martyrs" problem. The many dead Shia Arab civilians led to a major terror campaign by the Shia majority. They controlled the government, had the Americans covering their backs, and soon half the Sunni Arab population were refugees.

Meanwhile, the "Al Qaeda In Iraq" leadership was out of control. Most of these guys are really out there, at least in terms of fanaticism and extremism. This led to another fatal error. They declared the establishment of the "Islamic State of Iraq" in late 2006. This was an act of bravado, and touted as the first step in the re-establishment of the caliphate (a global Islamic state, ruled over by God's representative on earth, the caliph.) The caliphate has been a fiction for over a thousand years. Early on, the Islamic world was split by ethnic and national differences, and the first caliphate fell apart after a few centuries. Various rulers have claimed the title over the centuries, but since 1924, when the Turks gave it up (after four centuries), no one of any stature has taken it up. So when al Qaeda "elected" a nobody as the emir of the "Islamic State of Iraq", and talked about this being the foundation of the new caliphate, even many pro-al Qaeda Moslems were aghast. When al Qaeda could not, in 2007, exercise any real control over the parts of Iraq they claimed as part of the new Islamic State, it was the last straw. The key supporters, battered by increasingly effective American and Iraqi attacks, dropped their support for al Qaeda, and the terrorist organization got stomped to bits by the "surge offensive" of last year. The final insult was delivered by the former Iraqi Sunni Arab allies, who quickly switched sides, and sometimes even worked with the Americans (more so than the Shia dominated Iraqi security forces) to hunt down and kill al Qaeda operators.

If you can read Arabic, you can easily find these pro-terrorism sites, and see for yourself how al Qaeda is trying to explain its own destruction to its remaining supporters. While it's common to assume the Information War has been going against the West, this was not the case when you checked with what was going on inside the enemy camp.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: alqaeda; alqaedainiraq; awakening; basra; defeat; iran; iraq; islam; mahdiarmy; sadr; sadrcity; terror
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-70 next last
To: Dawnsblood

This should go directly to Reid. But, of course, he’d never read it.


41 posted on 05/27/2008 6:28:33 PM PDT by Exit148 (Founder of the Loose Change Club. Every nickle and dime counts!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: freema

re: “arrested, exiled, or hanged”

Why can’t they be arrested, exiled, AND then hanged? :^)

It would be wonderful to hang some of our domestic traitors after taking them over to Europe, just to get the left (there and here) bleating more frantically....... public hangings in Trafalgar Square and at L’Arc de Triomphe....

[I know, I know, can’t be done, too bad, missed opportunities to deal with traitors properly.......]


42 posted on 05/27/2008 6:30:42 PM PDT by Enchante (Barack Chamberlain: My 1930s Appeasement Policy Goes Well With My 1960s Socialist Policies!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: Enchante

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/2022219/posts?page=6#6

: )


43 posted on 05/27/2008 6:32:03 PM PDT by freema (Proud Marine Niece, Daughter, Wife, Friend, Sister, Cousin, Mom and FRiend)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: jveritas

Pinging jveritas!

Some good news in Arabic . . .

Here’s the quote from the article:

“If you can read Arabic, you can easily find these pro-terrorism sites, and see for yourself how al Qaeda is trying to explain its own destruction to its remaining supporters. While it’s common to assume the Information War has been going against the West, this was not the case when you checked with what was going on inside the enemy camp.”


44 posted on 05/27/2008 6:40:20 PM PDT by Forgiven_Sinner (For God so loved the world, that He gave His only Son that whosoever believes in Him should not die)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Forgiven_Sinner
Thanks for the ping. Indeed there are multiple threads on terrorist forums where the terrorists are admitting defeat in Iraq directly on indirectly. One thread I read last on Ekhlaas terrorist forum said that the terrorists left Mosul, their last refuge in Iraq, as a tactical planning and that they (the terrorists) are looking for new refuges.

Al Qaeda in Iraq has been utterly defeated.

God bless our brave troops and President Bush.

45 posted on 05/27/2008 7:03:01 PM PDT by jveritas (God bless our brave troops and President Bush)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies]

To: Brilliant

Exactly.


46 posted on 05/27/2008 7:07:53 PM PDT by visualops (artlife.us . nature photography desktop wallpapers)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Dawnsblood

This is great news. The first part of the War on Terror is now going our way. Hopefully, it will continue. Gen.Petraeus deserves as much credit as Eisenhower.


47 posted on 05/27/2008 7:33:31 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Marine_Uncle
This is a bad day for the NY Silmes as well as the Buffalo opinion writers who write an print lie @ every chance.(they are the most angry, miserable ) If this turns out to be a success.
Vested in defeat!
This small group of Angry liberals, Will have the air sucked right out of them. Circulation is falling, The influence of this Buffet led tribe crumbles as does the recent support for their candidates whom they have endorsed
48 posted on 05/27/2008 7:42:33 PM PDT by reefdiver (Had Enough? Drill 4 OIL,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: freema

I would like to see some freeper attorneys conduct a mock trial for treason against numerous big name dems right here on free Republic. Bring the charges against them, project what the testimony might be and sentence them. It would be a piece of fiction, but solidly based on facts. In the sentencing, comparisons could be made between their traitorous acts and those of others who were actually convicted of treason during past wars.


49 posted on 05/27/2008 7:50:21 PM PDT by 2grit
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: Dawnsblood
The Rebellion Within - An Al Qaeda mastermind questions terrorism.
50 posted on 05/27/2008 8:07:20 PM PDT by neverdem (I'm praying for a Divine Intervention.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Dawnsblood

Al Qaeda lost Iraq last summer.


51 posted on 05/27/2008 8:38:31 PM PDT by Allegra (TEHRAN DELENDA EST)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Straight Vermonter

Thanks for the ping, SV. There’s a way to go but thus far we have denied the terrorists control over Iraq’s vast oil reserves, isolated Syria from Iran and left the mark of human kindness on countless numbers of Iraqi children.


52 posted on 05/27/2008 8:39:11 PM PDT by Ben Hecks
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Dawnsblood
The primary cause has been Moslems killed as a side effect of attacks on infidel troops, Iraqi security forces and non-Sunnis. Al Qaeda plays down the impact of this, calling the Moslem victims "involuntary martyrs." But that's a minority opinion

"Involuntary martyrs." Sheesh, that's the most pathetic euphemism ever.

53 posted on 05/27/2008 8:58:13 PM PDT by T. Buzzard Trueblood ("a wee bit silly." -Lord Trimble on Hillary Clinton's claim of foreign policy "experience".)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Brilliant
Image and video hosting by TinyPic

54 posted on 05/27/2008 10:36:02 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/_______________________Profile updated Monday, April 28, 2008)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; AdmSmith; Berosus; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Fred Nerks; george76; ...

Thanks Ernest.

Iraqis losing patience with militiamen
(Sadr’s Mahdi Army militia has provided services but...)
Los Angeles Times | May 27, 2008 | Tina Susman and Usama Redha
Posted on 05/27/2008 2:25:18 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2022090/posts


55 posted on 05/27/2008 10:41:00 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/_______________________Profile updated Monday, April 28, 2008)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Dawnsblood

BOOM


56 posted on 05/27/2008 11:20:32 PM PDT by Deetes
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2grit

I want the real thing!


57 posted on 05/28/2008 3:10:45 AM PDT by freema (Proud Marine Niece, Daughter, Wife, Friend, Sister, Cousin, Mom and FRiend)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]

To: neverdem; Valin

#50 Very interesting. Thanks for the ping and thanks to Valin.


58 posted on 05/28/2008 6:18:29 AM PDT by PGalt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: Dawnsblood

A great read.

I can assure you that in WWII news of this sort would not have been absent from American newspapers and radio broadcasts (it would have been on the front page with banner headlines) - but that was before societal and corresponding media changes, beginning in the 1970’s, led to the death of media professionalism and the honest seeking of truth in a truly free press.


59 posted on 05/28/2008 6:34:09 AM PDT by mtntop3
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Dawnsblood

> If you can read Arabic, you can easily find these pro-terrorism sites, and see for yourself how al Qaeda is trying to explain its own destruction to its remaining supporters.

And if you can’t read Arabic, use the Google translator. It is excellent, and provides a good gist of what is being said.

Go Troops!


60 posted on 05/28/2008 7:01:10 AM PDT by DieHard the Hunter (Is mise an ceann-cinnidh. Cha ghéill mi do dhuine. Fàg am bealach.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-70 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson