Posted on 01/17/2008 11:57:42 AM PST by pissant
ARG GOP South Carolina Primary
* John McCain 33%
* Mike Huckabee 23%
* Mitt Romney 20%
* Fred Thompson 13%
* Rudy Giuliani 4%
* Alan Keyes 2%
* Duncan Hunter 1%
* Ron Paul 1%
* Undecided 3%
Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters living in South Carolina (468 Republicans and 132 independent voters) was conducted January 15-16. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at race42008.com ...
In general, no poll of SC means anything unless the samples were after McCain’s disaster in Michigan.
The one thing fairly clear in them all . . . is that Thompson can’t get traction. Hunter can’t either. They didn’t work hard enough . . . with “hard work” being defined as spending a year building a team and raising the money necessary to compete in an $850 million campaign. If you fail to work hard playing in this league, you will wind up in the cellar.
All that being said, South Carolina is less important this year than perhaps in the past 30 (and likely the next 30). The south made, collectively, a horrendous array of decisions about primary scheduling. They will have little influence this year.
Saturday is actually going to be about Nevada. A near 3 way split in South Carolina will render it meaningless beyond being the unfortunate grave of Thompson’s campaign.
IT will be interesting.
Duncan Who?
PISSANT!
I predict an entirely different outcome... and I base that on the biased polling in ALL of the primaries so far. That fork must be for huckster!!!
LLS
You are so right. I could come closer than that with a dart board.
...uh, I’m sorry, were we talking about something other than how gorgeous the President’s daughters are?
}:-)4
You know, the guy who has been fighting illegal immigration against a party of RINOs for the last 20 years. That guy. The ranking republican on the Armed Services Committee who knows more about our military than the other guys combined.
If it is, then that would be, to quote Martha Stewart, “a very good thing”
Where is Hunter ... oops , right under Keyes ....
Think it’s time for Hunter to bow out gracefully .
I can’t trust that ARG poll because it shows Paul with only 1%. I’m not a Paulestinian by any stretch, but even in South Carolina, which is not typically a libertarian state, I can’t see him only pulling 1%. Something about that poll has got to be whacked.
}:-)4
Maybe, maybe not. This year, maybe not. In the past, GOP went mostly by "winner take all" primaries. Now, it is mostly proportional to the vote. So if Fred hangs in there with the vote totally split up in the remaining primaries, he could be walking into a brokered convention with a pile of delegates to play with.
Ha!!!
If Mitt can get a Silver out of this, he’ll be in good shape, especially since it’s looking good for him in Nevada.
So a Fred endorsement for him would be useful.
Zoinks!
That’s probably the funniest thing I’ll see this week.
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