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To: Owen
unfortunate grave of Thompson’s campaign.

Maybe, maybe not. This year, maybe not. In the past, GOP went mostly by "winner take all" primaries. Now, it is mostly proportional to the vote. So if Fred hangs in there with the vote totally split up in the remaining primaries, he could be walking into a brokered convention with a pile of delegates to play with.

32 posted on 01/17/2008 12:20:48 PM PST by bshomoic
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To: bshomoic

>>
Now, it is mostly proportional to the vote. So if Fred hangs in there with the vote totally split up in the remaining primaries, he could be walking into a brokered convention with a pile of delegates to play with.
>>

What exactly does that mean? He has 200 walking in and Romney has 1000 walking in. Are you creating a fantasy of it being easier to find the 900 delegates needed to move to Fred than it is for Romney to find the 100 he would need to win? What sense can that make?

What deal do you think he makes with 200 delegates? He doesn’t want to be VP, he claims. So then what does he want, and why would you think the delegates are obligated to do what he tells them?

The “brokered convention” nirvana of the unfunded candidate not winning primaries is a fantasy that in real life does not put them on the podium giving acceptance speeches.


41 posted on 01/17/2008 12:32:06 PM PST by Owen
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To: bshomoic
Here is a listing of the break out by type and the link will give you other info:

CLICK

Delegate Selection Tally
Caucus/Convention 15
Winner-Take-All 10
Winner-Take-All (by district and statewide) 9
Proportional Primary 9
Advisory Primary 2
In each district and statewide - if winner receives a majority Winner-Take-All Primary otherwise Proportional Primary 2
Combined Selection [Winner-Take-All Primary for District Delegates with Caucus/Convention] 2
Combined Selection [Proportional Primary with Caucus/Convention] 2
Loophole Primary 2
Combined Selection [Winner-Take-All Primary by CD, Proportional Primary (statewide), Caucus/Convention (statewide)] 1
District: Winner-Take-All or top two; Statewide: Proportional 1
District: Winner-Take-All Primary, Statewide: if winner receives a majority Winner-Take-All Primary otherwise Proportional Primary 1
Voter Eligibility Tally
Open Primary 16
Closed Primary 15
Closed Caucus 12
Modified Primary 10
Open Caucus 3


80 posted on 01/17/2008 1:38:27 PM PST by deport (2 days South Carolina -- 22 days Super Tuesday -- [ Meanwhile:-- Cue Spooky Music--])
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