CNN Delegate Scorecard (Romney has more delegates than all other candidates combinded)

CNN.com ^ | 01/17/08 | Reaganesque

[Reaganesque]

Magic Number

1,191

Romney

52

Huckabee

22

McCain

15

Thompson

6

Paul

2

Giuliani

1

Hunter

1

Total Delegates*

[esarlls3]

99 delegates out of 2300 (4%)

Upcoming we have:

Date	State	Delegates	Total	%
Sat, Jan 19th	Nevada	34	157	7%
	South Carolina	24
Tue, Jan 29th	Florida	57	214	9%
Fri, Feb 1st	Maine	21	235	10%
Tue, Feb 5th	Alabama	48	1316	57%
	Alaska	29
	Arizona	53
	Arkansas	34
	California	173
	Colorado	46
	Connecticut	30
	Delaware	18
	Georgia	72
	Illinois	70
	Massachusetts	43
	Minnesota	41
	Missouri	58
	New Jersey	52
	New York	101
	North Dakota	26
	Oklahoma	41
	Tennessee	55
	Utah	36
	Montana	25
	West Virginia	30

So until Super Tuesday (less than three weeks away now) we really won't have much of a picture. I expect the field to narrow considerably after Super Tuesday but it may be some time after that, possibly even up to the convention, before we have a declared nominee.

[Tanniker Smith]

I'm not counting anybody out until after Super Tuesday.

In 1988, Al Gore won Super Tuesday and moved from last to third. That time, the momentum was already behind Dukakis. No one has the Big Mo yet.

[Domandred]

If Romney wins the nomination, he’ll lose the election.

Same could be said about all the GOP candidates. I'm not entirely convinced Thompson could win but he would definitely give the Dems a run for their money.

[Baum Threat]

“Whoever wins FL will go to the front of the line as it is a Winner Take All fairly big state.”

I thought that FL was NOT a winner take all state? I thought they were split up by congressional districts?

[LexBaird]

Whoever wins FL will go to the front of the line as it is a Winner Take All fairly big state.

Maybe. If Romney picks up at least 6 from NV and/or SC, he will have 58. If Guiliani gets FL, so would he. But, I don't think Rudy's strategery is working out like he planned....

[killermedic]

He won’t have to buy anything when he wins the majority....it isn’t stalinist russia or some third world country where money gets you power and vice-versa. Just because the system isn’t working the way you want it to doesn’t mean it is broken. Mitt has spent alot of money to essentially get his name out there or all we would hear about is the McLame\Guiliani ticket.

[killermedic]

He won’t have to buy anything when he wins the majority....it isn’t stalinist russia or some third world country where money gets you power and vice-versa. Just because the system isn’t working the way you want it to doesn’t mean it is broken. Mitt has spent alot of money to essentially get his name out there or all we would hear about is the McLame\Guiliani ticket.

[tiger-one]

I don’t think Mitt will run out of money, he may get to a point where he sees it going down the drain.

[deport]

The Green Papers counts them a little differently but Romney does lead.....

Republican Convention
Presidential Nominating Process
39th Republican National Convention: Monday 1 September - Thursday 4 September 2008

Candidate	Popular Vote	Delegate Votes
		Soft Pledged	Soft Unpledged	Soft Total	Alternative Soft Total*	Hard Total
Romney, Mitt	443,139  36.18%	24   1.33%	17   2.97%	41   1.72%	69   2.74%	24   1.01%
McCain, John S.	361,546  29.52%	14   0.77%	5   0.87%	19   0.80%	27   1.07%	14   0.59%
Huckabee, Mike	207,308  16.93%	4   0.22%	13   2.27%	17   0.71%	17   0.68%	4   0.17%
Paul, Ron	84,554   6.90%		4   0.70%	4   0.17%	4   0.16%
Thompson, Fred Dalton	50,925   4.16%		8   1.40%	8   0.34%	8   0.32%
Giuliani, Rudolph W.	49,198   4.02%		1   0.17%	1   0.04%	1   0.04%
Uncommitted	17,971   1.47%				3   0.12%	12   0.50%
(others)	4,796   0.39%
Hunter, Duncan	4,567   0.37%		1   0.17%	1   0.04%	1   0.04%
Tancredo, Thomas Gerald "Tom"	317   0.03%
Keyes, Alan L.	220   0.02%
Brownback, Samuel Dale	197   0.02%
Cox, John H.	40   0.00%
(available)		1,765  97.68%	524  91.45%	2,289  96.18%	2,386  94.83%	2,326  97.73%
Total	1,224,778 100.00%	1,807 100.00%	573 100.00%	2,380 100.00%	2,516 100.00%	2,380 100.00%

2,380 total delegates
(before penalties: 2,516 total delegates - 560 base at-large / 1,305 re: 435 congressional districts / 168 party / 483 bonus)
 
*The Alternative Soft Total assumes that delegates not currently listed in the Soft Total and/or Hard Total will actually be seated and, thereby, eligible to vote during the Roll Call re: the Presidential Nomination at the National Convention.

States Chronologically   States Alphabetically     Democratic Convention    

 

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[GOP_Lady]

Indeed. And he’s going to pick up more on Saturday.

[JFC]

WOO HOO... Mitt, keep doing what you are doing. I sent in money yesterday. No way, I am standing back and letting a dim, msm or McCain take this election.

[LexBaird]

I thought that FL was NOT a winner take all state? I thought they were split up by congressional districts?

If the penalty is not applied, and all delegates are seated, FL is WTA per district. If the penalty is applied, the FL GOP chair and the Governor will choose delegates based on a statewide WTA basis. At least, that is the info I've been able to track down in news reports.

[pepsionice]

I doubt seriously that a single guy will come up with 1100-odd votes to win on the first ballot. In fact....this is a 20-ballot situation and we might be surprised who gets the nod at the end. There’s nothing in the book after the first ballot to say that any of the current group of nominees has to be the guy standing at the end. We could have a total outsider step up...to be a neutral choice...like Jeb Bush (although I can’t see him running).

[Rumierules]

Giuliani is polling a strong second in Florida. If he finishes second or higher, he will be back in it come Super Tuesday.

[deport]

The following gives an explaination of the Florida process. I'm not sure of the accuracy.....

Click

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Alternative Soft Total Plan. This plan assumes the delegation is not sanctioned.

Tuesday 29 January 2008: All 114 of Florida's delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders in today's Florida Presidential Primary.

• 75 district delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the 8 congressional districts: each congressional district is assigned 3 National Convention delegates and the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in that district will receive all of that district's National Convention delegates.
• 36 at-large delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 26 bonus delegates) are to be allocated to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the primary statewide.
• 3 party leaders, the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the Florida's Republican Party, will attend the convention, by virtue of their position, bound to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the primary statewide.

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Soft/Hard Total Plan. This plan assumes the delegation is sanctioned.

Tuesday 29 January 2008: All 57 of Florida's delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders in today's Florida Presidential Primary.

• All 57 delegates are to be allocated to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the primary statewide.

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Delegates at the Congressional District level will be chosen between 6 February 2008 and 30 April 2008 at the delegate selection caucuses. At-Large delegates will be chosen between 6 February 2008 and 31 May 2008 at an Republican Party of Florida Executive Board meeting.

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[Khepri]

And Florida looms.

[WOSG]

Romney shaking hands with his Senate opponent. gracious, even with the enemy.

McCain is the one who is *co-author* with Kennedy on the worst bill in the last 10 years, say no to Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain:

[WOSG]

Will Romney win Maine or will McCain win Maine?

[bw17]

If I had to list the candidates in order of most conservative to least conservative, the order would be:

Hunter
Thompson
Romney
McCain
Giuliani
Huckabee

Realistically, Hunter has no chance. Knock the last three guys off the list, and that leaves Thompson and Romney...which would make for a perfect ticket in November.

[ODDITHER]

Romney/Thompson sounds good to me.
I would like to see Romney and The governor of Maryland.