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More Evidence Huckabee Is Bleeding In Iowa??

Posted on 12/29/2007 2:46:14 PM PST by Tossup

Looks like Huckabee is digging a deep hole in Iowa. First a new ARG poll is showing Romney has regained a decent lead of 9 points over Huckabee over the past few days. (Romney 32, Huckabee 23)

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

ARG is a crappy polling firm, but the trendline is really not favorable to Huckabee. It appears Romney really has the momentum over the past one or two weeks. Huckabee's numberous gaffes have finally caught up with him. This thing takes time, and it will have a big impact.

More importantly, here's what Huckabee's campaign manager Ed Rollins told Washington Post yesterday.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/12/28/AR2007122802971

A top Huckabee adviser fretted openly about the possible impact of a weekend of unanswered negative ads... "We don't see an erosion yet," Ed Rollins, a veteran GOP strategist who recently joined Huckabee's campaign, said in a telephone interview. "But you hope over the course of the next few days they don't start eroding our base. ... but Rollins said the campaign had not anticipated that Romney would unleash a new attack on Friday. He added that Huckabee is determined to remain on a positive track but warned that the campaign will reevaluate that position on Monday.

I just heard on CNN that Huckabee campaign has decided THEY ARE GOING TO LAUNCH COUNTER-ATTACK ADS ON MONDAY. Huckabee is also starting to aggressively mention Romney's name in today's stops and press conferences in Iowa. So basically Huckabee campaign is telling us if they do not see any bleeding, there will be no counter-attack ads; now they're going to launch such ads, what conclusion can you draw? THEIR INTERNALS must tell them they're bleeding badly. The million dollar question is whether his base will erode to an extent that Romney can overtake him in the end.


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: elections; huckabee; huckster; ia2008; newbie; romney; troll
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To: JennysCool

I see in that photo Huckabee is darning a plastic yellow bracelet!

21 posted on 12/29/2007 3:03:05 PM PST by restornu (Can you be a Reagan Conservative and a Bully at the Same Time?)
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To: madison10
"What kind of absentee ballots are you talking about?"

Are there any other kind of absentee ballots? Probably the ones that were sent to me and my wife in the mail from our county clerk in Michigan to us where we are stationed out here in California (AKA northern Mexico). The kind that votes for someone or something in an election. And I thought all of us freepers were smart. Whew!
22 posted on 12/29/2007 3:04:02 PM PST by nckerr ("A freeper since the time Clinton (the liar) was the President.")
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To: restornu

I guess saying the President has a bunker mentality didnt help, that only works for the rats and ron paul


23 posted on 12/29/2007 3:06:55 PM PST by italianquaker (Is there anything Ron Paul doesn't blame the USA for?)
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To: Tossup

My Opinion is Huckabee is a Clinton plant!


24 posted on 12/29/2007 3:08:48 PM PST by iopscusa (El Vaquero. (SC Lowcountry Cowboy))
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To: Tossup
It appears Romney really has the momentum over the past one or two weeks.

Mitt Romney is the one candidate who can pull together, as best as possible, the numerous factions of the Republican Party.

Oh, there might be 1-3% of the obstinate Repub crowd who "will never" vote for a Mormon, but they will be more than made up through cross-over votes from the middle and right Democrats.

SHrillary is unsuportable, and many Democrats would rather see Romney than a quasi Muslim in the White House.

25 posted on 12/29/2007 3:09:23 PM PST by Edit35
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To: sevenbak

I think Intrade might be responding to the latest ARG poll...

We’ll see...


26 posted on 12/29/2007 3:13:08 PM PST by Tossup
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
While all of the other GOP candidates are beating themselves silly with attack ads that are turning off voters, the real elephant in the room is Dr. Paul. If he places 3rd or higher, you can kiss the other candidates goodbye.

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
27 posted on 12/29/2007 3:14:32 PM PST by hawaiian
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To: nckerr
The kind that votes for someone or something in an election. And I thought all of us freepers were smart.

You, however, are not. Northern Mexico, huh? There AREN'T any ballots with Huckabee on, for that matter, there aren't any Election 2008 ballots with anyone listed. Are those REAL ballots you have there? or Clinton Specials?

28 posted on 12/29/2007 3:17:14 PM PST by madison10
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To: Tossup
I think a 3rd place finish would be huge for McCain, much more so than for Fred. McCain has never been seen as top tier in Iowa, while Fred has been playing the 3rd place or bust card for a couple of weeks. For Fred 3rd place is status quo, for McCain it is beating expectations, just what he needs going into NH, and Michigan.
29 posted on 12/29/2007 3:19:06 PM PST by codercpc
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To: nckerr

“(I hope he is a little more hawkish on immigration)”

Yeah, we had hoped that about Pres. Bush. There were at least some favorable other things about Bush, not so for Huckabee. Sorry you wasted your votes on the Huckabee con.


30 posted on 12/29/2007 3:19:18 PM PST by AuntB (" It takes more than walking across the border to be an American." Duncan Hunter)
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To: Tossup

I think the USA appology for the Bhutto assassination was his “dean scream”


31 posted on 12/29/2007 3:20:28 PM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: nckerr

Already had one Clinton out of Arkansas, we don’t need another. Bye bye Huckster.


32 posted on 12/29/2007 3:24:35 PM PST by taxesareforever (Never forget Matt Maupin)
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To: Tossup
Between Romney and Huckabee I will take Romney anytime. However from most polls lately it looks like Fred is moving into 3rd place that is good news if it holds. I believe Fred is the person to steer the country in the right direction.Lord help us if any dimocRAT gets to be the POS.
33 posted on 12/29/2007 3:26:45 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: Tossup

I want Huckabee not so much because I want him to be nominated (He’s my second choice after McCain) but rather because Romney must be defeated.

Romney is a sure loser in November. If we nominate him we will start with a double digit deficit in the polls and never come back.

He’s an overly slick, flip flopper with a country club backround and no connection to the common man. He comes across as someone who will say or do anything to win. A typical politician. If you were to create a candidate who is bound for failure in the current political environment you couldn’t do much better than Romney. He is a disaster as a candidate and if we nominaye him not only will we lose but we will have asked for it.

I actually think he would make a good president but that doesn’t matter because he will never even come close. He needs to be taken down in Iowa so we can pick someone who has a shot.


34 posted on 12/29/2007 3:27:20 PM PST by AirForceGeorge
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To: madison10
There AREN'T any ballots with Huckabee on, for that matter, there aren't any Election 2008 ballots with anyone listed.

Yes there is. I got my ballots from the Crawford County Clerk. I have been in the Army 12 years. So I know what I am talking about when I cast absentee ballots. Why don't you research before stating things such as the above as fact. You give bloggers such as us freepers a bad name and ammunition to the MSM to call us uneducated fat Republicans behing a computer screen. Here's a fact. Ready> Michigan does have Huckabee on their ballot and my wife and I both voted for him....End Fact.
35 posted on 12/29/2007 3:35:04 PM PST by nckerr ("A freeper since the time Clinton (the liar) was the President.")
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To: Lancey Howard

You noticed that too? eeegads- trolls are everywhere.

From now til next November.

I’m utterly amazed that Huckabee is doing as well as he is..


36 posted on 12/29/2007 3:36:23 PM PST by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: Tossup
I apologize for watching Huckleberrys’s apology.
37 posted on 12/29/2007 3:37:56 PM PST by eyedigress
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To: eyedigress
I apologize for you apologizing for watching Huckleberrys’s apology.
38 posted on 12/29/2007 3:41:16 PM PST by GOP_Lady
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To: restornu

Things are looking much better for Romney in Iowa!


39 posted on 12/29/2007 3:41:51 PM PST by TheLion
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To: infowarrior

Happy Huckabust*!

*According to Wikipedia, Huckabust is a traditional holiday celebrated this time of year to commemorate one of the greatest swan dives into oblivion achieved by a political candidate. When people say Happy Holidays, they usually include this along with Hanukkah, Christmas, Kwanzaa, Boxing Day, Festivus, and New Years. It was first celebrated in 2007 and derives its name from former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, who went from polling single digits to leading to relative obscurity all within a two month time period during the 2008 GOP presidential primary season. Traditional celebrations routinely include eating to the point of obesity and then purging oneself, making random silly foreign policy statements, acting overly pious in public venues, and donating to charities whose primary beneficiary is oneself.


40 posted on 12/29/2007 3:43:26 PM PST by Rockitz (This isn't rocket science- Follow the money and you'll find the truth.)
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