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(FORBES PICKS) The Year's Poorest-Performing Cars
Forbes.com ^ | 11.26.07, 6:00 PM ET | Bengt Halvorson

Posted on 12/02/2007 10:04:23 AM PST by Chi-townChief

Whether it's the tried-and-true Butterball, the more enigmatic Tofurkey or pricey "pastured" birds, turkey is simply what we eat for Thanksgiving.

But we've come to know another type of turkey--vehicles that, for some reason or another, have been problematic or simply haven't found their place in the market. Most have make-or-break issues with shoppers: recalls, reliability, resale value and safety.

In compiling our fourth annual list of "Automotive Turkeys," we looked at four factors, all pertaining to 2007 model-year vehicles: number of recalls to date, according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) database; reliability ratings from Consumer Reports; depreciation, in the form of Automotive Leasing Guide's (ALG) star ratings; and safety, from NHTSA and Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) crash-test ratings.

Besides a standout number of recalls, we looked specifically for below-average reliability, high depreciation and NHTSA ratings below four stars and/or IIHS results of "Marginal" or "Poor." Of the vehicles that met at least two of these qualifications, we also looked subjectively at other factors, such as fuel efficiency and cost.

Topping the list: The Chrysler Sebring, Dodge Nitro, Jeep Liberty, Dodge Caliber and Dodge Magnum.

All Recalls Are Not Alike Safety recalls, which can be initiated either by automakers or by the federal government, are overseen by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). In either case, NHTSA monitors the recall process and maintains a database of pertinent recalls, accessible through its SaferCar.gov Web site.

Some of these recalls, says Jeff Bartlett, deputy editor of ConsumerReports.org, are more urgent, with safety or mechanical consequences, requiring an immediate trip to the dealership, while others may be non-urgent or only related to particular trim or configurations.

Bartlett says looking at the number of recalls that could affect a particular model can provide "an interesting road sign" into what vehicle ownership might be like. Frequent recalls should be a warning to shoppers, he says. They're not necessarily a sign of reliability, but more about inconvenience, which, of course, "has its price."

Indeed, recalls can be a lasting negative experience for the owner.

"How negatively depends on how badly or how well the manufacturer handles it," says Stephanie Brinley, senior analyst for the automotive-industry consulting firm AutoPacific. The amount of owner inconvenience often relies on the dealer body, she says, and how well dealerships address the issues. If it "breaks on the six o'clock news," Brinley says, referring to the widely publicized recalls that automakers occasionally face, that's an especially big negative in perception.

In looking purely at the number of recalls by model for 2007, several Chrysler (including Dodge and Jeep) models stood out for having more than just a recall or two. CR's Bartlett wasn't willing to speculate about Chrysler having more recalls, but he said that automakers have been increasingly sharing powertrain and interior components across much of their vehicle lines, and if there are problems it can bring down the entire brand.

That looks to be the case for Chrysler, at least in two instances. A massive recall involving anti-lock braking system control modules affected 11 different Chrysler, Dodge and Jeep models, including the Chrysler Sebring, Dodge Caliber, Dodge Magnum, Dodge Nitro and Jeep Liberty, which were all on our turkeys list, while another recall concerning automatic-transmission control modules potentially affected eight different vehicles, including the Magnum, Nitro and Liberty.

Residual Value Another factor that can or should be an indicator of a turkey is residual value. John Blair, CEO of Automotive Leasing Guide, which provides depreciation estimates for use in the automotive financing industry, says that residual value is commonly associated with leases--as a higher residual value typically translates to a lower monthly payment--but it's actually more important to those who buy.

That's because leases are for a set term at a monthly payment that's set by the bank, "but buy the car and you're stuck with it," says Blair. "It can be quite different when you're comparing a Honda to a Hyundai."

For instance, Blair says that ALG's three-year residual on a Honda Accord is about 55%--meaning that it is estimated to be worth about 55% of its original value after three years--while for a Hyundai Sonata, it's only 40%, which translates to a difference in value of $3,750 over those three years on a sticker price of $25,000. Although Blair added that, generally speaking, vehicles with lower residuals have lower appeal and often have automaker incentives that apply to the purchase price, making up for some of that difference.

What's more, the difference between vehicles can be even more pronounced than this example. On ALG's five-star ratings system, with five-star vehicles having the best depreciation ratings, the Accord has a four-star rating, while the Sonata has two stars.

Staying Safe On The Road Safety is another important consideration for shoppers, and if major crash-test results are any indication, there's still a wide range of safety available to occupants, depending on the model.

"We're consistently finding that safety is one of the top considerations as people shop for a new car," says Bartlett, who adds that the existing crashworthiness ratings are the best way to identify the safest vehicles.

U.S. shoppers have two different crash-test ratings sets to peruse, those run by NHTSA and those conducted by the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS). Among new vehicles today, those with "Marginal" or "Poor" ratings from the IIHS or anything less than four stars on the federal five-star scale are standouts in a not-so-positive sense.

With criteria like this, it's a lot easier to beware the turkeys. And for the record, founding father Ben Franklin, mostly a vegetarian who argued for the turkey as our national bird, would have probably gone for the Tofurkey.

Automaker Reactions It's not shocking that most automakers reacted with surprise and some resistance to being included in our list of Automotive Turkeys. Regarding the Ford Crown Victoria, spokesman Jim Cain says that it's hardly fair to include a vehicle that's no longer on sale to the public for 2008.

"The Crown Victoria is far from a turkey. It's the preferred vehicle for police and taxi fleets across the country because it is affordable to purchase and operate, and because it is remarkably durable," says Cain. "In fact, our sales to police agencies are up this year, despite new competitors from Dodge and Chevy."

GM On the Grand Prix's below-average resale value, GM spokeswoman Debbie Frakes says, "It is not uncommon for vehicles at the end of their lifecycle, like the Grand Prix, to experience lower residual values than when the vehicle was fresh on the market. In addition, GM is taking positive steps to improve residual values on all of our vehicles by reducing daily rental fleet sales and other activities that can negatively affect both wholesale and retail pricing."

And regarding the Chevrolet Aveo, Alan Adler, GM's spokesman for safety, says that the "Aveo meets or exceeds all federal motor-vehicle safety standards, which is the case for all GM vehicles."

Adler also says, "As for recalls, from time to time, things will occur that cause the need for a recall. In more than 80% of these cases, GM initiates the field action on its own and informs the appropriate governmental authorities. The safety of all GM customers is of paramount importance."

Hyundai In response to Hyundai's single entry on the list, the Entourage minivan, Jim Trainor, manager of product public relations at Hyundai Motor America, says that the Entourage is arguably one of the safest minivans on the road, as it's an IIHS Top Safety Pick and gets straight five-star ratings in NHTSA tests. "Clearly, it doesn't add up." He also calls the Entourage's single recall "an anomaly," explaining that the brake-light wiring-harness recall affects only 790 vehicles out of the 16,260 Entourages sold in the '07 model year. But Trainor had no comment regarding the model's reliability, which has ranked low.

Chrysler Shawn Morgan, Chrysler's senior manager for Real Wheel Drive Communications, said this in response to the carmaker's five entries on our list: "A simple counting of safety recalls does not provide a meaningful assessment of a vehicle's performance for two reasons: One, common componentry accounts for several of the actions you have listed. For example, one recall action is a common component used on all five vehicles. You count it as five, while we count it as one. There are several other examples of this--Liberty has three recalls, with two being common, while Magnum has two recalls and both are common to other vehicles. Two, several of the recalls cited involve small numbers of vehicles; these issues were identified and addressed early through our rigorous internal monitoring processes. For example, of the two recalls for Caliber, one is less than 400 vehicles. Meaning they were identified early and fixed before significant numbers of vehicles reached the market. Early identification and action are goals of our internal monitoring processes."

She also noted that, "As for overall safety, these vehicles all meet or exceed all Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards. Our vehicles have performed well in a variety of internal and external test conditions, including the government's frontal- and side-impact tests. Specifically, Nitro and Caliber received all 5-star ratings on NHTSA's front- and side-impact crash tests. Sebring, Magnum and Liberty received the highest rating, five stars, in three out of four categories of NHTSA's front- and side-impact tests. "

Nissan did not respond to multiple requests for comment.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2007review; automakers; cars; chrysler; daimler
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To: ItisaReligionofPeace; dmzTahoe

The Chrysler Concorde commercial where the kid was asking how they got their names, and the mom said she gave them names based off where they were conceived.. and the baby was named Concorde.
That commercial was annoying.


61 posted on 12/02/2007 12:50:46 PM PST by Darksheare (Cordite Chipmunk, the Splodent Rodent.)
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To: SJSAMPLE
Might as well put a Harley-Davidson sticker on at the factory and be done with it.

I thought that Harley-Davidson had finally recovered from being owned by a pin-spotter company... I even hear that they finally figured out how to keep the oil inside the engine.... ;-)

62 posted on 12/02/2007 12:52:17 PM PST by NoCmpromiz (John 14:6 is a non-pluralistic comment.)
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To: Loud Mime

I’m approaching 140k on my 1992 Suzuki Geo Tracker 2-door 5-speed. I agree about stickshifts — a lot more fun. And even if the car isn’t the “sportiest” looking, it’s fun to drive. With its short wheelbase it’s quite manueverable.


63 posted on 12/02/2007 1:09:47 PM PST by sionnsar (trad-anglican.faithweb.com |Iran Azadi| 5yst3m 0wn3d - it's N0t Y0ur5 (SONY) | UN: Useless Nations)
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To: molette67

I still love my Chevy.


64 posted on 12/02/2007 1:16:38 PM PST by do the dhue (They've got us surrounded again. The poor bastards. General Creighton Abrams)
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To: RJL
LOL... I didn't know that BMW made Cobras.

I know. The Cobra is a beast. But it's fun on the track... Limerock. Different ride.

65 posted on 12/02/2007 1:39:38 PM PST by Cobra64 (www.BulletBras.net)
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To: Chi-townChief
Porsche is the standard.

Get a 15-20 year old 911 and restore it for less than the price of a new Honda.

66 posted on 12/02/2007 1:41:10 PM PST by Vet_6780
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To: NoCmpromiz

I was talking about the erosion of the brand image.

HD Teddy Bears.
HD purses.
HD Pens.
HD Tampons.
HD ad nauseum.

They don’t make any of that shit, but the omnipresent logo on posers is undeniable.


67 posted on 12/02/2007 1:45:32 PM PST by SJSAMPLE
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To: RJL

A former BMW owner told me once that if the British ever made TV’s, they’d leak oil...


68 posted on 12/02/2007 2:33:13 PM PST by The Eagle Bomb
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To: RipSawyer

My dad had a Graham-Page when I was born (I don’t remember what it looked like). He said there was a problem with the steering; to turn left, you had to make three right turns.

I do remember the unique smell of our first new car, a ‘47 Chevy. I’ve never smelt a new car like that. Maybe it was the kind of paint they used back then.


69 posted on 12/02/2007 2:51:40 PM PST by Erasmus (My simplifying explanation had the disconcerting side effect of making the subject incomprehensible.)
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To: Darksheare

Indian kid: “Mommy, how do us kids get our names?”

Indan mom: “Well, when the baby is born, the mom looks outside the tent and names him after the first thing she sees.”

“Why do you ask, Two Dogs F*****g?”


70 posted on 12/02/2007 3:06:20 PM PST by Erasmus (My simplifying explanation had the disconcerting side effect of making the subject incomprehensible.)
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To: IDontLikeToPayTaxes
I usually despise Fords, but must admit that they've done a good job with the Mustang.

Now if only Pontiac can bring back the TransAm, with an engine circa 1973. Who cares if it would get 9 to the gallon!

71 posted on 12/02/2007 3:15:55 PM PST by Clemenza (Rudy Giuliani, like Pesto and Seattle, belongs in the scrap heap of '90s Culture)
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To: dmzTahoe
I used to be a Ford guy. But after an Escort wagon, 2 pickups (1 plain vanilla 2wd, 1 4x4 supercab) and a minivan... No more Fords, ever.

Wife had a 4 dr VW Fox, good car. Still not sure why a longitudinal 4 cyl with front wheel drive. (instead of the more common transverse mounted config) But it was a good car until an expanding family made a minivan seem like a better choice... (sigh, "seem" being the operative word there. live and learn)

But now? I can't afford gas nor maintenance to keep buying Detroit. So wife drives a Hyundai Tucson and I have a Suzuki Reno. Both are about 2x the mpg of the vehicles they replaced. Both are completely reliable - zero, nada, zip, problems even though we put a lot of miles on them. 25K/year on the 05 Tucson, and I'm on pace to go 16K+ in the first year with the Reno...

72 posted on 12/02/2007 3:19:42 PM PST by CodeMasterPhilzar
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To: Chi-townChief

We do Saabs for the past 20 years and haven’t any thought of switching to anything else. They are quick, reliable, convertible for multi use, and most economical.


73 posted on 12/02/2007 3:36:22 PM PST by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists...call 'em what you will...They ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: Vet_6780
Porsche is the standard. Get a 15-20 year old 911 and restore it for less than the price of a new Honda.

+1!

Done that twice. First time, back in the '90s, got an '85 Carrera for less than just about any new car on the market...less than 20K, in fact. Willingness to buy a used car in great condition got me one of the very best cars ever made; people who only drive Hondas and such have absolutely NO idea what really good handling, braking, and acceleration is all about.

Followed the same path again just a couple of weeks ago - picked up a '93 RS America (granted, because the RSA is gaining "collector car" status, this time paid about about the price of a loaded Honda, not the bottom-of-the-line cheapos), and again have a car that's light-years beyond 99% of the junk on the road today...and at less cost than most of them.

Porsche...There IS no substitute! :-)

74 posted on 12/02/2007 4:13:10 PM PST by TrueKnightGalahad (When you're racing...it's life. Anything that happens before or after is just waiting.)
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To: DJ MacWoW
Two were Chryslers

Same here DODGE (Dead on Delivery get Enterprise), they will pick you up.

75 posted on 12/02/2007 5:14:25 PM PST by Total Package (TOLEDO, OHIO THE MRSA INFECTION IN THE STATE)
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To: BraveMan
Yup, the old '36 'Victoria' Packard, well it needs some work too:


76 posted on 12/03/2007 5:56:06 AM PST by RSmithOpt (Liberalism: Highway to Hell)
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To: DJ MacWoW
I too own a VW....a REAL VW
77 posted on 12/03/2007 8:33:21 AM PST by fredhead (What this world needs is a few more Rednecks - Charlie Daniels)
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To: Total Package
The Dodge that I owned couldn't get out of it's own way. I used to tell the kids to get out and push when going up a hill. Brand new Dodge 600. I hated it.

Your tagline is a hoot. I was born in Toledo. We left in 75 because hubby got a job transfer...................to NYC. *sigh*

78 posted on 12/03/2007 8:47:35 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (Jesus loves you, Allah wants you dead)
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To: fredhead

My 22 yr old daughter wants one of those. Desperately. She keeps telling her Dad, “I’d like to buy an insect”. She’ll settle for a new one as vintage is hard to find. I remember them as being rather a cold ride in the winter.


79 posted on 12/03/2007 8:51:25 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (Jesus loves you, Allah wants you dead)
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To: Darksheare

Two Dogs F*****g had a real hard time in school and at tribal gatherings, too.


80 posted on 12/03/2007 8:58:36 AM PST by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
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