Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

(Rasmussen) Daily Tracking Poll - 9 Nov 07 (goodbye statistical tie for 2nd)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 9 November 2007 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 11/09/2007 8:35:24 AM PST by ReveBM

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Friday, November 9th

[SNIP]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mike Huckabee back in single digits and Ron Paul gaining another percentage point of support in the very unsettled race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Rudy Giuliani remains on top with 23% support from Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide. Fred Thompson earns 16% of the vote followed by John McCain at 13% and Mitt Romney at 11%. Mike Huckabee is now the top pick for 9% while Ron Paul’s support has inched up to 6%. No other Republican tops 1% (see recent daily numbers).

The muddled state of the GOP race may reflect growing frustration with the available choices. Rudy Giuliani is now viewed favorably by just 63% of GOP voters, matching his lowest rating of the year. Mitt Romney, who has a growing lead in New Hampshire, is viewed favorably by 54% of Republican voters nationwide, his lowest rating in several months. Fred Thompson is viewed favorably by 53%, his lowest total ever.

Bucking the trend is John McCain, now viewed favorably by 60% of GOP voters, near the high end of his measured support this year. McCain, however, also boasts very high unfavorable ratings among GOP voters--36%. Only Ron Paul, at 43% has higher unfavorable in the GOP field. Twenty-two percent (22%) of Republicans have a favorable opinion of the Congressman from Texas. Finally, Mike Huckabee’s numbers remained stable this week at 46% favorable, but 29% don’t know enough to offer any opinion at all (see history of favorable ratings for the candidates among all voters and among Republican voters.)

[SNIP]


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; election; elections; electrions; fred; fredthompson; giuliani; huck; huckabee; mccain; mitt; mittromney; romney; rudy; thompson
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-78 next last
To: Spiff

The problem with your “scientific poll” charts is that they include such clunkers as American Research Group (ARG) and Quinnipiac. Take those two biased surveys out and the results are astoundingly different, aren’t they?


21 posted on 11/09/2007 9:27:32 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: kevkrom

How can this be? I’ve been told that Hunter’s support is 5%, based on the “fake money” market at Intrade (never mind that the “real money” market at Intrade has him at 0.1%).
***That’s because the Bid price for a few days was 2 and 3% with no takers.

Here’s another very recent poll showing Hunter at 4%.

http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/28889/republicans_2008_giuliani_28_thompson_19

Here’s one showing Fred at 6%, and discussing why.

http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1805.page


22 posted on 11/09/2007 9:27:40 AM PST by Kevmo (We should withdraw from Iraq — via Tehran. And Duncan Hunter is just the man to get that job done.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Congressman Billybob

I will not sit out the election. If Rudy were nominated, I would have no one to vote for on the Presidential line. Unless a third party candidate represents my views, it would be an undervote. I will vote in all other races that I may that have a candidate I can support. My complaint would then become that the Republican party nominated someone that I morally could not support. In that case, I also suppose that I would have to resign from the party that has left me.


23 posted on 11/09/2007 9:30:04 AM PST by Ingtar (The LDS problem that Romney is facing is not his religion, but his Lacking Decisive Stands.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: kevkrom
These daily polls are entertaining, but not much more, imho. Trends probably count for something, but let's not forget what happened to Howard Dean.

It's a long campaign this time around.

24 posted on 11/09/2007 9:30:43 AM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: svcw
Then we will have a dem for president.

As would be the case if Rudy becomes president.

25 posted on 11/09/2007 9:32:47 AM PST by Ingtar (The LDS problem that Romney is facing is not his religion, but his Lacking Decisive Stands.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: Kevmo
ARG is notoriously bad.

Methodology: Telephone interviews with 397 registered Republicans, conducted from Nov. 2 to Nov. 4, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.

No effort to gauge the likelihood of voting, and you'll notice Hunter Duncan's 4% is still below the margin of error.

26 posted on 11/09/2007 9:32:53 AM PST by Petronski ("Willard, you can’t buy South Carolina. You can’t even rent it.”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
The problem with your “scientific poll” charts is that they include such clunkers as American Research Group (ARG) and Quinnipiac. Take those two biased surveys out and the results are astoundingly different, aren’t they?

The charts that you are looking at on this thread are for Rasmussen only and are labeled as such. The other charts I post and which are on my profile page incorporate all poll results and use a 4-period moving average to round off the "clunkers". I use the same exact method that RealClearPolitics uses and it is a valid method. If you don't like the results of certain polls, don't look at them. If you don't like my charts, don't look at them either.

27 posted on 11/09/2007 9:33:52 AM PST by Spiff (<------ Click here for updated polling results. Go Mitt! www.mittromney.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Petronski

Most polls are notoriously bad.


28 posted on 11/09/2007 9:33:56 AM PST by Kevmo (We should withdraw from Iraq — via Tehran. And Duncan Hunter is just the man to get that job done.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: Spiff
Might want to see a dermatologist about that thin skin problem...
29 posted on 11/09/2007 9:35:12 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: Kevmo
Here’s one showing Fred at 6%, and discussing why. http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1805.page

I can't find a poll at that link.

30 posted on 11/09/2007 9:35:24 AM PST by Petronski ("Willard, you can’t buy South Carolina. You can’t even rent it.”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Kevmo

Fine. Then ARG is notoriously WORSE THAN ALL THE OTHERS.


31 posted on 11/09/2007 9:36:02 AM PST by Petronski ("Willard, you can’t buy South Carolina. You can’t even rent it.”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Spiff

Carry on.


32 posted on 11/09/2007 9:36:26 AM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: Spiff
If you don't like my charts, don't look at them either.

Seeing how this is a political discussion forum, I think we'll all reserve the right to look at whatever is posted and discuss it.

33 posted on 11/09/2007 9:37:11 AM PST by Petronski ("Willard, you can’t buy South Carolina. You can’t even rent it.”)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
Might want to see a dermatologist about that thin skin problem...

I fail to see how I demonstrated a "thin skin" in my response to your comments.

34 posted on 11/09/2007 9:37:40 AM PST by Spiff (<------ Click here for updated polling results. Go Mitt! www.mittromney.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Petronski

Is there a non-biased aggregation of the polling data that looks at past performance? That would tend to settle these kinds of disputes about one polling organization being better than the other.

That’s one thing prediction markets are better at — their only bias is whether someone can make money trading the futures contracts.

The Efficacy Of Prediction Markets
The Liberty Papers ^ | November 8, 2007 | Brad Warbiany
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1922961/posts

Posted on 11/08/2007 12:21:43 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum


35 posted on 11/09/2007 9:44:10 AM PST by Kevmo (We should withdraw from Iraq — via Tehran. And Duncan Hunter is just the man to get that job done.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: ReveBM

Now, lets pray that Mitt does the dirty work of attacking Guiliani, while Fred takes the nomination.


36 posted on 11/09/2007 9:48:43 AM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: trisham; Spiff; ejonesie22; Politicalmom; Petronski
These daily polls are entertaining, but not much more,

LOL, not to Spiff!!! He LIVES to post a poll that may show Mitt ahead of Fred....

I WONDERED where the "Fred is DOOMED, DOOMED I TELL YA" chart was this morning...or did I miss the "ROMNEY HAS IT WON, EVERYONE ELSE MAY AS WELL JUST DROP OUT!" poll from the wonderful American Research Group?

Just a little reminder...

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

37 posted on 11/09/2007 9:50:01 AM PST by greyfoxx39 (I have a tagline . I just don't think the forum police will allow me to use it. THEY'RE EVERYWHERE!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: Ingtar
In that case, I also suppose that I would have to resign from the party that has left me.

If your moral convictions are so high, how can you reconcile a non-vote that is a tacit vote for the bitch?

If you and the other {I can't vote for XXX, because they don't pass my purity test} sit out this election, please leave both the pubbie party and FR.

No whining, just leave and start your own blog that is absolutely pure and that you agree with 100% on all issues.

You will have a blog consisting of INGTAR.

38 posted on 11/09/2007 9:50:38 AM PST by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages - In Honor of Standing Wolf)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: Ingtar
I will not unite behind some of the Republican candidates if they win, most notably Rudy. I know that there are others with the same outlook.

Then you'll be uniting behind Hillary after the election... or else... and that's her outlook.

39 posted on 11/09/2007 9:52:50 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Islam is a religion of peace, and Muslims reserve the right to kill anyone who says otherwise.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: greyfoxx39
You bet.


40 posted on 11/09/2007 9:53:26 AM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-78 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson