Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll 10/10 Giuliani 27% Thompson 17% Romney 16% McCain 11%

Rasmussen ^ | 10/10/07

[finnman69]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday Rudy Giuliani with a growing advantage in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Giuliani is supported by 27% of Likely Primary Voters, his highest daily total in over a month. Fred Thompson’s support has dipped to 17%, his lowest total since early June. This is not a result of last night’s debate since results are reported on a four-day rolling average basis. However, each of the four individual night’s poll results were a bit weaker for Thompson than the night before.

The last time Giuliani had a double-digit edge over Thompson was in mid-May. That was before the debate over immigration sank McCain’s campaign and the Arizona Senator was in second place.

Mitt Romney has moved to within a point of Thompson at 16% while John McCain got back into double digits at 11%. Mike Huckabee earns the vote from 6% (see recent daily numbers).

[ZULU]

If I had to choose between the two, it would be Romney.

But again, anyone but Hitlery.

[papasmurf]

You got that right. Hit pieces on FRed vs others have been around 10-1 for the last 4 weeks. He's takin' a lickin', yet he keeps on tickin'.

His 7 days are still good, and like you, I'm sure his post debate numbers will be great!

Prosperity. Unity. Security Fred Thompson for President '08

[Mygirlsmom]

I’m trying to understand how Giuliani can be at 27% when we hear so little from him.

Name recognition. It's early yet - few people are paying attention yet.

[nowandlater]

Dr. Dobson effect. The Rasmussen poll is a rolling 4 day average. We are now seeing the effect of Dobson appearing on Hannity and Colmes. It is only a 5 point, I think Fred can rebound. But, I also think this race is really fluid and any of the top four could end up on top.

[papasmurf]

This FRedhead is still celebrating.

You will have noticed, I'm sure, that FRed is still kicking your man's arse... All.Over.The.Map.

Nuff' said?

Good always triumphs over evil, truth over lies, and FRed will triumph over all comers!

"Sometimes it's strange to me to think that the average 20-year-old serving us in Iraq knows more about what it takes for our national security than the average 20-year veteran on Capitol Hill," FRed Thompson 10/09/07 Mi Debate

Prosperity. Unity. Security Fred Thompson for President '08

[dforest]

That was good one for Fred, and he was right.

[freekitty]

How can a man like McCain get 11%?

I don’t believe this poll.

[jamese777]

“My estimate is that around 25-30% of all actual voters haven’t a single clue about any issues, but vote on name recognition, appearances, etc.

Another big chuck are superficially aware of an issue or two, and believe what they’re told about that issue on the news. Those votes are controlled by the MSM.

Finally, there is the remaining group of voters who are involved, aware and vote based on their best understanding of which candidate best matches—more or less—their own beliefs.”

---

I think that you have hit the nail squarely on the head. Name recognition is a huge factor in politics regardless of a candidate’s stand on issues. Many voters like to go with the known quantity. 9.11 made Giuliani famous nationwide.
However only the most highly motivated and partisan voters tend to go to the polls in primaries, so we shall see. The most knowledgeable of the electorate decide the nominees and in Iowa and New Hampshire, they have had those candidates in their homes and restaurants.

[redgirlinabluestate]

Come on folks, let's be smart about this. Other common sense conservatives, like Ann Coulter, can see it. If you want to stop Rudy (and then Hillary), support Mitt Romney. He's the only one with the strategy, stamina and funds to do it. If we continue to split the conservative vote - Rudy wins.

ANN COULTER from the Glenn Beck interview:
I think the Republicans, we have a choice between Rudy Giuliani and Romney, and with Giuliani struggling to get to the right of Hillary on the social issues, I certainly have a preference there.

Ann is absolutely right. Rudy or Mitt. Pick one. The choice is clear to me and Ann.

From an earlier Hannity & Colmes..... Ann threw her support to Mitt Romney for President:

"When asked who she likes for President either McCain, Gulliani or Romney, she responded Romney twice. This appears to be the trend among most "common sense conservatives". They are recognizing that Mitt Romney is the only capable and qualified candidate for 1600 Pennsylvania Blvd. Mitt's positive vision is resonating with the Reagan generation."
http://republicans06.blogspot.com/2007/01/ann-coulter-supports-mitt-romney.html

And, we know what she thinks about Fred too. Ouch.

Hunter fans, I know she likes Duncan Hunter too. We all do.

[finnman69]

Election 2008 Latest Polls

Wednesday, October 10
Race	Poll	Period	Results	Spread
Michigan Republican Primary	Strategic Vision (R)	10/05 - 10/07	Romney 20, Giuliani 24, Thompson 15, McCain 10	Giuliani +4.0%
Michigan Democratic Primary	Strategic Vision (R)	10/05 - 10/07	Clinton 42, Obama 26, Edwards 10, Richardson 7	Clinton +16.0%
Democratic Presidential Nomination	Gallup	10/04 - 10/07	Clinton 47, Obama 26, Edwards 11, Richardson 4	Clinton +21.0%
Democratic Presidential Nomination	AP-Ipsos	10/01 - 10/03	Clinton 46, Obama 25, Edwards 11, Richardson 3	Clinton +21.0%
Republican Presidential Nomination	AP-Ipsos	10/01 - 10/03	Giuliani 27, Thompson 23, McCain 13, Romney 11	Giuliani +4.0%
Florida Republican Primary	Quinnipiac	10/01 - 10/08	Giuliani 27, Thompson 19, Romney 17, McCain 8	Giuliani +8.0%
Florida Democratic Primary	Quinnipiac	10/01 - 10/08	Clinton 51, Obama 17, Edwards 10	Clinton +34.0%
Ohio Republican Primary	Quinnipiac	10/01 - 10/08	Giuliani 29, Thompson 17, McCain 10, Romney 8	Giuliani +12.0%
Ohio Democratic Primary	Quinnipiac	10/01 - 10/08	Clinton 47, Obama 19, Edwards 11, Richardson 1	Clinton +28.0%
Pennsylvania Republican Primary	Quinnipiac	10/01 - 10/08	Giuliani 32, McCain 13, Thompson 13, Romney 8	Giuliani +19.0%
Pennsylvania Democratic Primary	Quinnipiac	10/01 - 10/08	Clinton 41, Obama 14, Edwards 11	Clinton +27.0%
Tuesday, October 09
Race	Poll	Period	Results	Spread
Republican Presidential Nomination	Gallup	10/04 - 10/07	Giuliani 32, Thompson 20, McCain 16, Romney 9	Giuliani +12.0%
Monday, October 08
Race	Poll	Period	Results	Spread
Democratic Presidential Nomination	Rasmussen	10/03 - 10/07	Clinton 42, Obama 26, Edwards 12, Richardson 4	Clinton +16.0%
Republican Presidential Nomination	Rasmussen	10/03 - 10/07	Giuliani 25, Thompson 23, McCain 9, Romney 14	Giuliani +2.0%
North Carolina Democratic Primary	Public Policy Polling	10/03 - 10/03	Clinton 32, Obama 20, Edwards 31	Clinton +1.0%
North Carolina Republican Primary	Public Policy Polling	10/03 - 10/03	Thompson 31, Giuliani 20, McCain 11, Romney 11	Thompson +11.0%
Sunday, October 07
Race	Poll	Period	Results	Spread
General Election: McCain vs. Edwards	Rasmussen	10/03 - 10/04	McCain (R) 40, Edwards (D) 47, Und 13	Edwards +7.0%
General Election: Romney vs. Edwards	Rasmussen	10/03 - 10/04	Romney (R) 35, Edwards (D) 52, Und 13	Edwards +17.0%
Iowa Republican Caucus	Des Moines Register	10/01 - 10/03	Romney 29, Giuliani 11, Thompson 18, Huckabee 12	Romney +11.0%
Iowa Democratic Caucus	Des Moines Register	10/01 - 10/03	Clinton 29, Obama 22, Edwards 23, Richardson 8	Clinton +6.0%
Friday, October 05
Race	Poll	Period	Results	Spread
New Hampshire Republican Primary	Insider Advantage	10/02 - 10/02	Romney 28, Giuliani 20, McCain 17, Thompson 8	Romney +8.0%
Florida Republican Primary	Insider Advantage	10/02 - 10/02	Giuliani 29, Thompson 19, Romney 16, McCain 10	Giuliani +10.0%
Michigan Republican Primary	Insider Advantage	10/02 - 10/02	Romney 16, Giuliani 19, Thompson 14, McCain 15	Giuliani +3.0%
Iowa Republican Caucus	Insider Advantage	10/02 - 10/02	Romney 24, Giuliani 16, Thompson 13, Huckabee 13	Romney +8.0%
South Carolina Republican Primary	Insider Advantage	10/02 - 10/02	Giuliani 16, Thompson 21, Romney 16, McCain 16	Thompson +5.0%
General Election: Giuliani vs. Obama	Rasmussen	10/01 - 10/02	Giuliani (R) 42, Obama (D) 47, Und 11	Obama +5.0%
General Election: Thompson vs. Obama	Rasmussen	10/01 - 10/02	Thompson (R) 38, Obama (D) 49, Und 13	Obama +11.0%
Pennsylvania Republican Primary	Strategic Vision (R)	09/28 - 09/30	Giuliani 45, McCain 8, Thompson 15, Romney 7	Giuliani +30.0%
Pennsylvania Democratic Primary	Strategic Vision (R)	09/28 - 09/30	Clinton 42, Obama 24, Edwards 9	Clinton +18.0%
New Jersey Republican Primary	Strategic Vision (R)	09/28 - 09/30	Giuliani 53, Thompson 11, McCain 7, Romney 7	Giuliani +42.0%
New Jersey Democratic Primary	Strategic Vision (R)	09/28 - 09/30	Clinton 52, Obama 21, Edwards 7	Clinton +31.0%

[fluffdaddy]

“This race is now Rudy’s to lose.”

It may be Rudy’s to lose but if so he is going to lose it. A large part of his support is name recognition. That advantage will disappear before the first voting. Another large part of his support comes from the erroneous perception that he is likely to win in November. That too will fade. Barring Ron Paul, Rudy was the weakest candidate on the stage last night. Sooner or later even the most bone-headed Rudyphiles will have to grapple with the reality that many voters Republicans can't do without will not vote for America’s Mayor under any circumstances.

With Rudy as the nominee it would be game, set and match to Hillary. When the Republican primary electorate realizes this it will coalesce around an alternative, either Thompson or Romney, and Rudy will crash and burn.

At this point the polls are evidence only of which candidate has recently gotten the most favorable publicity. They ask people what they think about a race they haven’t yet thought about and then report the results as if they have deep meaning. When, as the old saying goes, you ask a stupid question you get a stupid answer.

Whether you are picking stocks or candidates it pays to focus on the fundamentals. Whatever the polls may say this morning Rudy is a nonstarter.

[RockinRight]

I don’t get:

A-why Thompson has lost so much support and

B-who it’s going to, and why...

and

C-WHY PEOPLE LIKE RUDY SO DAMN MUCH!

[TitansAFC]

Yes!

Pat yourself on the back! You’ll Liberalize the GOP yet!

Pretty soon, you Rockefeller type can have a pure super-minority again. No more having to deal with the SoCons....phew!

You can just go back to DEMANDING that they bow to your candidate after the primaries, or be charged with (essentially) sedition. Bravo! “Sure my candidate worked for a lifetime against nearly all of your important causes — but Hillary might win, so you’re a traitor if you don’t get behind Rudy911!”

It's good either way to me: Non-Rudy911 candidate - I work my butt off again for the GOP. Rudy911 wins - I work my butt off against GNP (Grand New Party). They throw me and my kind overboard, we sink their ship. Time for a divorce.

Go ahead, thump your chest - LIBERALS RULE!!!!!!!!

[karnage]

Posters on this forum have been predicting Giuliani’s imminent demise since the day he announced. Yet he hangs on. I think he did well last night. I think he will be among the top candidates as long as the race goes on. His negatives are well known; there are some who will never vote for him no matter what. But he remains competitive.

[linn37]

Why even bother with a national poll at this point? Whats the polls look like in the states with early primarys?

[RockinRight]

But WHY? Rudy might as well be a damn Democrat. I DON’T GET his support.

[FlashBack]

The Media is pushing the Mayor...the grassroots needs to push back with FRed!!!

[LibLieSlayer]

Ann trashed Justice Roberts and dates a communist from NY. Her judgment is in deep question. mitt killed his candidacy with his “attorneys” screw up. I will never vote for mitt or rootie... and MILLIONS of us feel that way. It is YOUR SIDE that will elect hildebeast when it happens... mitt... a $2800.00 liberal empty suit. Fred’s suit may not have fit well... but it was made of 100% Conservative cloth!

LLS

[The_Reader_David]

Rudy might as well be a damn Democrat. I DON’T GET his support.

Except on foreign and defense policy, and on economics he'd be holding down the right wing of the demonRAT party if he switched. There are enough 'wet Tory' strong-defense voters in the GOP who are libertarian on issues social conservatives hold dear that he'll hold steay at 25-30% throughout the entire primary season.

I'm expecting Thompson or Romney on the second ballot at the convention.

[RockinRight]

How does Dobson erase 10% from Fred while Rudy, Mitt and frickin McLame go UP?

Saying Thompson ain’t Christian enough...yet support going to Rudy and McCain?

Pot...kettle...