The Fredheads celebrated Rasmussen back when Fred was at 27%, now that his effort on the Campaign Flail has lowered his total 10%, Rasmussen can't be believed.
Posted on 10/10/2007 9:45:30 AM PDT by finnman69
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday Rudy Giuliani with a growing advantage in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Giuliani is supported by 27% of Likely Primary Voters, his highest daily total in over a month. Fred Thompson’s support has dipped to 17%, his lowest total since early June. This is not a result of last night’s debate since results are reported on a four-day rolling average basis. However, each of the four individual night’s poll results were a bit weaker for Thompson than the night before.
The last time Giuliani had a double-digit edge over Thompson was in mid-May. That was before the debate over immigration sank McCain’s campaign and the Arizona Senator was in second place.
Mitt Romney has moved to within a point of Thompson at 16% while John McCain got back into double digits at 11%. Mike Huckabee earns the vote from 6% (see recent daily numbers).
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
I would like to see numbers after the debate. I saw no particular person as a winner.
When we have a debate that touches on issues other than economics, that will be the one to watch.
This election will not be about Iraq or the economy. The other issues will separate the men from the boys.
Hot button issues to conservatives were not discussed in the debate. These candidates need to be asked the tough questions. I am afraid we will need a totally GOP run debate to get these guys to quit taking the non commital safe route.
Then you’re a fool. But I digress.
The odds are that Rudy is going to be the nominee. In every single election for fifty years, the Republican in the lead in the polls in the months leading up to the start of the primaries has won the nomination - even when there have been unexpected challenges and movements.
Bush in 2000. Challenged by McCain, won easily.
Dole in 1996. Challenged by Buchanan.
Bush in 1988. Challenged by Dole, Robertson.
Reagan in 1980. Challenged by Bush.
Ford in 1976. Challenged by Reagan.
Nixon in 1968. Challenged by Rockefellar, Reagan, Romney.
Goldwater in 1964. Challenged by Scranton, Rockefellar, Lodge.
Nixon in 1960. Challenged by Rockefellar.
Ti will be fluid for a couple of months. It’s time for me to dig out some very damaging Rudy archives I’ve been holding on to.
The Fredheads celebrated Rasmussen back when Fred was at 27%, now that his effort on the Campaign Flail has lowered his total 10%, Rasmussen can't be believed.
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I don’t understand the Rudy thing either. However, all polling organizations have Rudy leading the pack.
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08rep.htm
Rudy is betting on that less than 60% of Republicans are NOT Social Conservatives thus giving Rudy 40% of the GOP primary votes while the other 60% are split among the other contenders.
I hope he has made a graved error in his calculations.
“However, each of the four individual night’s poll results were a bit weaker for Thompson than the night before.”
I’ll vote for Hunter in the primaries.
But if it comes down to the *itch or JulieAnnie, I guess I’ll have to hold my nose and hope a lot of social conservatives get into Congress to control him.
That may be true about the Fredheads, but I would rather have Fred than Rooty. Rooty will not be able to get my vote.
The Fred bounce is completely gone. Add Giuliani is moving back up in the polls. After this Rasmussen poll gets factored into the RCP polling average, Rudy will be cracking 30% for the first time since May (he’s at 29.6% now). This race is now Rudy’s to lose.
The Fred bounce is completely gone. Add Giuliani is moving back up in the polls. After this Rasmussen poll gets factored into the RCP polling average, Rudy will be cracking 30% for the first time since May (he’s at 29.6% now). This race is now Rudy’s to lose.
I will waste my vote on who I choose. Cut out the name calling. I vote for conservatives and Rooty IS NOT a conservative.
In the end you will be the one who is sorry.
************
LOL! No point in getting hung up in the minutia.
As Fred Fades, the race will come down to Rudy v. Romney.
Are there any post debate polls out yet?
If appears that you have the weekly 7 day average, and that is correct.
Post debate, Thompson should rebound. I think that what we are seeing in this poll is the effect of the unrelenting hammeirng Thompson was taking in the press and on TV.
I think enough people got a look at him in the debsaate to restore his credibility and we’ll see that in coming days. If not, I think it may be the end of the pavement for Fred.
As Fred fades? After yesterday’s debate, I’d be more worried about Mitt - or maybe he has to consult his lawyers first before starting to fade..
Post debate, Thompson should rebound. I think that what we are seeing in this poll is the effect of the unrelenting hammering Thompson took in the press and on TV.
I think enough people got a look at him in the debate to restore his credibility and we’ll see that reflected in the polling in coming days. If not, I think it may be the end of the pavement for Fred.
My estimate is that around 25-30% of all actual voters haven't a single clue about any issues, but vote on name recognition, appearances, etc.
Another big chuck are superficially aware of an issue or two, and believe what they're told about that issue on the news. Those votes are controlled by the MSM.
Finally, there is the remaining group of voters who are involved, aware and vote based on their best understanding of which candidate best matches--more or less--their own beliefs.
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