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How A Dark-Horse Can Win The Nomination (strategery for 2nd tier, RP)
TheWandererPress.com (Catholic newspaper), via Buchanan.org & TomRoeser.com ^ | 8/29/07 | Tom Roeser

Posted on 09/05/2007 7:23:43 AM PDT by George W. Bush

How A Dark-Horse Can Win The Nomination

By Thomas F. Roeser - The Wanderer Press

CHICAGO — Two weeks ago I played political strategist for Ron Paul. In the old days of my mis­spent youth, when I was a hired gun political strategist working for the Minnesota Republican Party, nobody asked whom I was for. They didn’t care. My boss just showed me a candidate and or­dered me to devise a strategy for him/ her at lowest possible cost. And because I liked to continue eating, I did it.

It didn’t work out too badly. Af­ter a few of us got the hang of it, the GOP, once locked in the dark ages of Hubert Humphrey, Eugene McCarthy, and a Democratic ma­chine governor, won the governor­ship and two Senate seats.

So in that spirit, I seized upon the darkest of dark horses in the Republican column, Cong. Ron Paul of Texas, and sketched out a plan of attack for him. That doesn’t mean I’m for him: It means that pursuing a definite strategy he can come close to winning — and maybe win if fortune smiles. Be­lieve it or not, I’ve heard far and wide from people who say it makes sense. Of course it does! It’s the only way for a candidate with little money who is fighting those with big media budgets.

The strategy: The bunch up of primaries on February 5 should produce a candidate winning the Northeast, one winning the Mid­west, and another the South (maybe the same guy). Paul should strive to come in second somewhere (I sug­gest the Northeast as most favorable to his candidacy). The winner would probably be Rudy Giuliani. Paul would then have every right to de­mand a debate with Giuliani where he would have the chance to appeal to more conservative Republican voters and thinking liberals.

I urged Paul to campaign in non­traditional GOP circles in the Northeast — following the style of Eugene McCarthy in New Hamp­shire — visiting universities, cof­feehouses, editorial boards, talk­radio programs; and specifically going to every liberal group imag­inable: anathema to a regular Re­publican campaign. In that way he could grab national media atten­tion and have a shot.

Because I heard from a lot of Ron Paul Wanderer readers who felt this was the correct strategy, let me now outline a low cost media approach.

Absolutely no money ought to be spent on TV commercials or expensive multicolored brochures. Not very much should be spent on staff either. Expensive consultants want candidates to buy TV so as to benefit from a commission rake­off. So, no TV.

Volunteers ought to do most of the work. The only staffer I would pay good money to should be the candidate’s driver, the one who drives him around New Hampshire safely and carefully. A good driv­er is the most important member of a presidential primary cam­paign.

But there are perils with candi­dates’ drivers. Hence I suggest Paul’s drive ought to be a mute. Physically impaired. One congen­itally deprived of the use of speech. An individual condemned to permanent silence. Incapable ofspeech and utterance. Unable to emit a sound of any kind. Under­stand I do not mean one who is la­conic. I mean “ mute: from the Old French mu, the Middle Englishmuet, from the Latin mutus.” I mean characterized by absence of speech. As with the line from Emily Dickinson: “ The words stopped at his lips unsounded.”

With the candidate held prison­er in the back seat, a garrulous, know-it-all driver can take advan­tage of the candidate’s weakness and pour a good deal of nonsense into his ears. Worse, the candidate in extreme fatigue can be led to imagine that the driver speaks for the common man. So mute he must be.

The driver will be the best paid; the second highest paid should be the scheduler. When I covered McCarthy in New Hampshire, he had a perfect one. All schedulers are victimized by friends who im­portune themselves to get the can­didate to their favorite church pic­nics. Not so McCarthy’s schedul­er who was an autistic savant. He was distant from friends and as­sociates, single-minded on only a map. He was the best schedul­er I ever saw. Sadly he is not available — but an autistic sa­vant as scheduler, similar in style to Dustin Hoffman in the filmRain Man, should be available somewhere. Paul should pay him well.

Running the campaign on vol­unteers saves money for paid communications. By which I mean radio. A decade ago a guest at my political science class at De Paul University was Michael Deaver ( who died recently). Everyone be­lieves Ronald Reagan was the most popular governor California ever had. Not so. He won his sec­ond term by only 52% in 1970. But he still wanted to run for pres­ident.

He turned to Deaver, who under­stood the governor was a conser­vative ideologue ( as Deaver de­cidedly was not). Radio, he rea­soned, was for the philosophical­ly committed, the people Reagan had to appeal to. So he put Reagan on the radio across the country — radio exclusively.

Each radio message of only a few minutes in length had him deliv­er small bits of conservative phi­losophy in bite-sized morsels. At the end he would say, “ This is Ronald Reagan. Thanks for listen­ing.”

While Reagan was known na­tionally from his films, his ideas — aside from California — were not. Radio got ex-radio announc­er Reagan across to the country.

Making Points And Raising Money

Ron Paul is no Ronald Reagan nor is he a nationally known com­modity but he doesn’t have to be. Radio talks on small stations — radio exclusively — will do the job. With the first bunch- up of presidential primaries on February 5, 2008 (to which Arizona has now been added), Rudy Giuliani is sup­posed to do well on that day in New York, New Jersey, Connecti­cut, and Delaware.

Paul’s goal should be to con­centrate on being second in any of those Republican contests. And don’t worry that these states look like distinctly hostile country to conservative Republicans. With artful three-minute radio talks with a contributions request at the end, Paul can make his points and raise money for them at the same time.

What should the commercials deal with? The first should be on the Iraq War where he says he vot­ed against the war resolution, add­ing that if war is sought it must be fully approved by Congress with a complete declaration of war allowing total resources dedicated to victory; unlike the original au­thorization of 2002, where the president received an okay to use military force against Iraq to attain only two objectives: “ defend the national security against the con­tinuing threat posed by Iraq” and “ enforce all relevant UN Security Council resolutions regarding Iraq.” Paul authorized a “ sunset provision” to the original autho­rization.

It should conclude with the fact that previous Congresses limited past presidents from either waging war or extending it — which this Democratic Congress has failed to do. When was that? Paul should say: “ I’ll tell you next week. Un­til then this is Ron Paul saying thanks for listening.”

The second commercial should list them, including: Nixon had to obey a congressional order in 1969 not to send troops to Laos or Thailand. Gerald Ford was forced to accept a ban on excur­sions to Angola. Reagan had to obey a limitation on use of troops beyond Lebanon in 1983. Bill Clinton was banned from extend­ing military operations in Soma­lia in 1994. And George W. Bush has complied with limitations on the number of military and con­tractor personnel sent to Colom­bia.

Ron Paul can use these prece­dents to score the Democrats who talk big but who haven’t acted. In that way he could call their bluff and get Democrats to switch to him in the primaries. Liberals could become disenchanted with the Democrats running since they failed to do this and come over to Paul.

His third would be on immigration. Unlike other libertarians, Paul opposes illegal immigration because of the toll illegal immi­grants take on welfare rolls and worsening an unready unbalanced federal budget.

A fourth would state his opposition to any viola­tion of habeas corpus to protect against possible unlawful impris­onment, triggering a liberal cross­over.

Fifth would be immensely pop­ular — his opposition to reintro­duction of the military draft.

Sixth should state his support of the Second Amendment, the purpose of which was to put a check on government tyranny, not merely to grant hunting rights.

Seventh:there should be no federal control over education.

Eighth: his plans to reduce health care costs for families — particularly waiving the employee portion of Social Security payroll taxes for those with serious illnesses and suspend­ing such taxes for primary caregivers with a sick spouse or child.

Ninth: his opposition to abortion and his following a con­sistent life ethic: opposition to the death penalty. Tenth: his reform of the tax code which would replace the cumbersome tax process with a simplified tax form — where he also spells out substantial tax sav­ings.

All these ideas, incidentally, have been proposed by Ron Paul earlier. Of course as with every other candidate, there are hot but­ton libertarian issues I would not stress: his criticism of the federal war on drugs ( states should deter­mine the extent of opposition) which could be twisted to sound too permissive; support of income tax resistance in the form of peace­ful disobedience ( easily twisted to endorse violence); his vote against a constitutional amend­ment to ban desecration of the flag ( a red flag to most conservatives).

These broadcasts should not ex­ceed three minutes in length and should be spelled out in simple words with instructions on how to contribute via the Internet. Begin­ning in mid- December in the Northeast, if popular there with donations coming in, they could be run in the Midwest. And if they’re lousy with money, try Cal­ifornia which is jaded by same­same programs advocated by the two parties.

Follow This Formula

This strategy can’t be used by other dark- horse candidates ( Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, et al.) since to some degree they echo the regular Republican establishment bloc. The big three establishment ones are still Giuliani, Romney, and Th­ompson. If Paul runs second to any one of them, the situation is ripe for a debate.

I promise not to give further un­solicited advice to him in the future. I have other things to do. But if he follows this formula, Paul might one day thank me — if only for the blessed silence he would enjoy as he rode in the back seat of a car driven by a professional driver who was also mute. And by a schedule concocted by one im­pervious to beseeching special de­mands from political pals.

When liberal Democratic candi­dates hit stinging blows, you can always count on the so- called es­tablishment “ mainstream media” to sit on the story. Last week, Michelle Obama, wife of Sen. Barack ( D., Ill.), took a wicked cut at Hillary Clinton. If you haven’t heard about the story on the net­works or read about it in your newspapers or on the wire servic­es, remember that what Mrs. Obama said was detrimental a) to the Obama campaign, with Michelle Obama hurling mud­balls and b) to the Clintons. Nei­ther big metropolitan daily in Chi­cago has referred to it, although they have special correspondents traveling with the Obamas. Rea­son: too negative to the Obamas and the Clintons. Nevertheless this is what really happened: Campaigning in Iowa, the Obamas have come cheek to jowl with the reality that a hefty polit­ical machine built by Bill Clinton is currently topping Obama. The young Illinois senator is 46 years old and is only three years out of the Illinois legislature. He is strug­gling to make voters feel confi­dent with the idea of him as commander-in-chief. All the while, Hillary is trading on her own ex­pertise beginning with the role she played as first lady and a so-called “ two-fer,” a co- partner with her husband in the White House.

Last week, Mrs. Obama had had enough of the Clintons. She had this to say about Barack’s top op­ponent, Mrs. Clinton: “ If you can’t run your own house, you can’t run the White House!”

It was a vicious cut, referring to the nation’s number- one philanderer who embarrassed his wife with an affair with intern Monica Lewinsky.

The skewering from Michelle Obama was doubly well-aimed.

First, at Hillary’s so- called lack of attention to her roving husband and second to the fact that Hillary has a big lead over Obama due to Bill Clinton’s political network of wealthy fund- raisers and big- city machine types.

If this charge had come from a Republican you can bet the net­works would be breaking into their programs with “ we interrupt this broadcast to bring you. . . .” But as it came from a liberal me­dia favorite’s wife, the story was suffocated.

To read more articles by Thomas F. Roeser, log on to www.tomroeser.com



TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; 911conspiracy; alqaedasman; darkhorse; electoralmap; fudgepacker; gaycandidate; keywordspammers; kookvote; legalizedrugs; logcabinrepublican; moonbats; nutjob; paulestinians; paulhaters; ronpaul; ronpaulcult; skinheadvoters; softonterror; truther
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To: t_skoz

‘If you want to reverse the results of 2006 and capitalize on the excitement of the Paul campaign...’

(chuckle)

You guys are amusing, I’ll give you that.


21 posted on 09/05/2007 7:51:17 AM PDT by Badeye (You know its a kook site when they ban the word 'kook')
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To: George W. Bush

Follow the link in my tag line. Ron Paul can not win. He can’t win in the debates. He can’t win in the primary, and he can’t win in the general.

RP is a joke, and not even a funny one.


22 posted on 09/05/2007 7:52:42 AM PDT by LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget (In regards to Ron Paul, Please see http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1889318/posts)
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To: t_skoz
So, the story is bunk because the campaign worker quit and decided to support a Paul challenger.. it isn’t the reverse, Eric quit and decided to support a Paul challenger because the story was true and Paul disgusted him?
23 posted on 09/05/2007 7:55:28 AM PDT by mnehring (If there's one thing that makes me sick it's when someone tries to hide behind politics- Joey Ramone)
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To: mnehrling
Great link. Some money quotes:

"I had to literally beg him to support the vote authorizing the President to send Troops to Afghanistan. (Emphasis added.) I actually threatened to resign if he did not vote that way. And another key District Staffer, practically threatened to resign, as well. At the last minute Ron voted in favor of the Authorization. I suspected he only did it, cause he knew if he hadn't he would cause the Republicans in the District to oppose him, and he wouldn't win reelection."

"But I do remember one time, when a group of Houston Jewish Young Republicans wanted to lobby the Congressman on some issues. I begged Ron to meet with them. He was very hesitant. He finally agreed. But the meeting turned out to be a disaster. The Jewish YRs came all the way from Houston, and all Ron did was berate them in our District Office about how the Israel Lobby was too powerful in Washington, and other issues. He also got defensive when the Jewish YRs expressed concern over Palestinian violence against Israel."

Yup, that's a guy I want in charge of our foreign policy. Didn't want the US to take on the gov't of AFGHANISTAN (that's the Taliban, NOT Iraq -- you know, the people behind 9-11), thinks it's all the "Israel Lobby"s fault, and gets defensive if someone dares think the terrorist scum in Palestine might be a legitimate concern for Israelis.

Uh huh, Go Ron Paul. GO AWAY, that is!!!

24 posted on 09/05/2007 7:55:59 AM PDT by piytar
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To: mnehrling
Interesting tagline, a quote from liberal Joey Ramone. He was a good singer, and I am a huge Ramones fan, but Johnny was the real thinker in that bunch.

Bonzo Goes To Bitburg?

The KKK Took My Baby Away?


RIP Johnny Ramone
1948-2004

25 posted on 09/05/2007 7:57:18 AM PDT by t_skoz ("let me be who I am - let me kick out the jams!")
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To: piytar
If you need anything for your file, let me know. I’ve gathered a lot of information on Paul’s votes that show him to be a moderate libertarian at best.. the funniest part is watching his supporters squirm to find excuses for those votes, even though, if those votes were cast by any other candidate, they would scream RINO.
26 posted on 09/05/2007 7:57:38 AM PDT by mnehring (If there's one thing that makes me sick it's when someone tries to hide behind politics- Joey Ramone)
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To: t_skoz
It’s from my favorite from them, Bonzo Goes To Bitburg. The quote really does fit Paul and his excuses doesn’t it?
27 posted on 09/05/2007 7:58:38 AM PDT by mnehring (If there's one thing that makes me sick it's when someone tries to hide behind politics- Joey Ramone)
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To: Badeye

That’s right Badeye. I forgot that Romney, Thomspson, Guiliani and the rest of them are so exciting that 40 thousand people are taking to the streets, creating their own campaign events, spending hundreds of thousands of dollars of their own money on these exciting, inspiring campaigns! That’s why Republicans swept Legislatures across the country in 2006!

Oh wait, never mind.


28 posted on 09/05/2007 8:00:23 AM PDT by t_skoz ("let me be who I am - let me kick out the jams!")
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To: mnehrling

Do you even know what Bonzo Goes To Bitburg was about?


29 posted on 09/05/2007 8:00:57 AM PDT by t_skoz ("let me be who I am - let me kick out the jams!")
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To: piytar; SJackson
4) So, at the end of the day, do I still believe Ron Paul is "an anti-Semite" as I said in my initial post? I think that was an overly harsh assessment, and I apologize for it. Nonetheless, I have emailed his campaign spokesman to ask if he stands by the main quotation in question here: "By far the most powerful lobby in Washington of the bad sort is the Israeli government." That was early in the afternoon, and I have not received an answer (I also asked yesterday on the phone). It remains a troubling statement for all of the reasons I have laid out if he stands by it.

Yet you leave out the writer's far more tempered assessment of the antisemite issue in which he apologizes for his accusations of antisemitism. Yet, he does not abandon his criticism of Ron Paul otherwise. It seems to me that he's being responsible and has examined the issue pretty thoroughly.

I think it does change the issue somewhat to focus on the Israeli government's lobbying activities as opposed to the actions of AIPAC who claim to represent Israel's interest. AIPAC is questionable to me on Pali policy because I don't think AIPAC and the Israeli government are in agreement over Pali policy and that some Israelis, like Netanyahu and his Likud allies, are trying to counter AIPAC's surrender-monkey influence at Foggy Bottom and in Congress by reaching out to evangelicals for support for Israel's sovereignty. That's just my take though, I don't claim to be an expert on the differences between the two. But I don't believe they are one and the same politically and in their lobbying focus.

[SJackson flagged due to some previous interest in the issue]
30 posted on 09/05/2007 8:00:57 AM PDT by George W. Bush
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To: mnehrling

Thanks, mnehrling, but I don’t really have a “file” on Ron Paul. I just dug that stuff up with a Yahoo search. Ron Paul is easy to shred with even a little digging. Frankly, I think he does have some good ideas, but his foreign policy is so flawed that he is simply not acceptable (to me) or truly viable as a candidate.

Actually, the only topic I have a “file” on is global warming — copied directly from a lengthy post by a freeper.


31 posted on 09/05/2007 8:02:17 AM PDT by piytar
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To: t_skoz
Absolutely, but it still was interesting, especially after that song Marky came out and with some interesting discussion on how he was wrong about Reagan.
32 posted on 09/05/2007 8:02:28 AM PDT by mnehring (If there's one thing that makes me sick it's when someone tries to hide behind politics- Joey Ramone)
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To: piytar
Dondero (Rittberg) is a known nutter, once in good graces with both the Libertarians and the Texas GOP. Now, no one will work for him and he spends his time trying to destroy the GOP and Libertarians and mostly just attacking people to prove he's relevant.

Dondero is radioactive. He's also quite a liar. We've had previous threads exposing this fraud.
33 posted on 09/05/2007 8:03:58 AM PDT by George W. Bush
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To: George W. Bush
I always find it funny that people are in good graces with someone until they write an expose, then suddenly, they are trashed as a nutter.. sounds like how the Clinton camp treated it’s former staffers who came clean.
34 posted on 09/05/2007 8:06:18 AM PDT by mnehring (If there's one thing that makes me sick it's when someone tries to hide behind politics- Joey Ramone)
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To: George W. Bush; Badeye
You guys must be too young to remember Alf Landon.

Elsewhere on our site, I espy "Dark Horse" activity. It concerns running a top general as a surprise candidate. Any thoughts?

Ron Paul? Even Duncan Hunter, whom I really could support, by the way; they strike me as too bland. They are ideologically sound, I suppose, but where's the pepper?

This race is about national security, absolutely No.1. That's what we should be punching on, right now through Nov '08. Force the Democrats to fight on our ground, not go chasing them around on "social" and woman's issues.

35 posted on 09/05/2007 8:08:04 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk ( Teddy K's 'Immigration Reform Act' of 1965. ¡Grácias, Borracho!)
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To: LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget
Follow the link in my tag line. Ron Paul can not win. He can’t win in the debates. He can’t win in the primary, and he can’t win in the general.

Of course. And the Paul-haters at FR (like you) troll these threads endlessly, spewing thousands of known falsehoods against Dr. Paul to FUD him or misrepresent him because he is such a non-threat?

You can't have it both ways. Either he's no threat or he is a threat. The obsessions of the Paul-haters notwithstanding, it's not rational to obsess over a candidate that truly has no chance whatsoever. The continued trolling of these threads is pretty evident that you do not believe what you are posting: Ron Paul is a threat or you wouldn't troll him so desperately and with such flimsy and repudiated "evidence".
36 posted on 09/05/2007 8:10:44 AM PDT by George W. Bush
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To: mnehrling
sounds like how the Clinton camp treated it’s former staffers who came clean.

Huh? When did the Xlintonoids ever come clean?

Oh, well, I suppose you have to manufacture some talking point or justification for posting nutjob attacks on Ron Paul.

There are plenty of reasons why various Republicans oppose Ron Paul politically. We recognize and expect that. But resorting to Dondero after his history of dishonesty and viciousness and grandstanding...well, it smacks of desperation.
37 posted on 09/05/2007 8:13:59 AM PDT by George W. Bush
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To: George W. Bush

This is your brain on drugs.


38 posted on 09/05/2007 8:16:10 AM PDT by Artemis Webb (RON PAUL: "It will be a little bit better now with the democrats now in charge of oversight ")
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To: George W. Bush
Good article, and maybe something that Ron Paul's official people could learn from. My observation is that his campaign is long on good ideas and grassroots support, but maybe short on old-fashioned politicking.

Of course, he still can't possibly win the primaries, given the well-known fact that he's a space Nazi.

39 posted on 09/05/2007 8:18:55 AM PDT by Turbopilot (iumop ap!sdn w,I 'aw dlaH)
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To: Kenny Bunk
"Ron Paul? Even Duncan Hunter, whom I really could support, by the way; they strike me as too bland. They are ideologically sound, I suppose, but where's the pepper?

Every time I take one of those little test that are suppose to help you find out what candidate is the best fit for you I come up with Duncan Hunter. I like Duncan Hunter. I like him a lot. But he not only has no real organization but like you say he does lack pepper. Hell...he lacks salt!

I'm supporting Fred but if Duncan ends up as VP or in a security spot on the cabinet it would be a wonderful thing.

40 posted on 09/05/2007 8:21:08 AM PDT by Artemis Webb (RON PAUL: "It will be a little bit better now with the democrats now in charge of oversight ")
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